Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
It could well be a case of deja vu for Arsenal on December 27. The Gunners needed to win to return to the top of the table and might need to do so again when the leaders host ninth-placed Brighton and Hove Albion. Time for our match prediction.
A win for Manchester City at Nottingham Forest earlier on Saturday will see a two-point lead turn into a one-point deficit. Arsenal will be confident of winning this game though and making it eight wins out of nine at home in this season's Premier League.
Brighton and Hove Albion are only five points adrift of the final Champions League place. That's despite the fact the Seagulls have gone four league games without a win and are struggling up front. More about that in the form section of this Premier League preview. They also have a poor recent record against Arsenal so may be happy their next two festive games are against West Ham and Burnley, both currently in the bottom three.
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Arsenal v Brighton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.35 | 5.6 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.41 | 7.34 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.85 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.45 | 8.9 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Brighton match is: Arsenal wins and leads at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/12/2025 between Arsenal and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.32% for a win of Arsenal against Brighton with odds of 1.41 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Brighton is 25.87% with odds of 5.85 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Arsenal with odds of 9 at Tonybet.
Arsenal - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 65.32% | 1.41 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 60.79% | 2.5 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 30.02% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Brighton Form
Arsenal and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 |
|
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 |
Arsenal and Brighton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
Arsenal vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
14 May 2023 - Premier League
Arsenal - Brighton: Form Analysis
Arsenal have won three of their last four league games, most recently winning 1-0 at Everton. Home form has played a big part in their great run this season with seven wins and a draw so far and only three goals conceded.
Each of their last nine/ten home games in all competitions have been won. Midweek saw them beat Crystal Palace to reach the Carabao Cup semi-finals. Earlier this season, the Gunners beat Brighton 2-0 at home in that competition. It was a struggle against Palace though, only going through after a penalty shootout. Strangely, Arsenal's last three home goals have all been scored by their opponents!
The Seagulls are struggling to get wins.
Brighton and Hove Albion have only earned two points from their last four league fixtures. Last weekend saw them held to a home goalless draw by Sunderland, the second successive game in which they had failed to score.
Only two of their eight away league games have been won this season with four defeats and just seven goals scored. Just one of the last six has been won with them failing to score in three of the last four.
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Arsenal against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderG. Magalhaes
M. Salmon
MidfielderE. Eze
C. Norgaard
ForwardN. Madueke
G. Martinelli
E. Nwaneri
G. Jesus
J. Steele
DefenderM. Wieffer
J. Veltman
O. Boscagli
MidfielderJ. Milner
ForwardY. Minteh
T. Watson
C. Kostoulas
D. Welbeck
Missing players
R. Calafiori
C. Mosquera
A. Webster
MidfielderS. March
ForwardS. Tzimas
Arsenal & Brighton Squad Analysis
Arsenal won in midweek but left out several key players for the Carabao Cup win over Crystal Palace. Players such as Rice, Saka, Gyokeres, Saliba, Odegaard and Trossard all began that game on the subs bench and are expected to be back in the starting line-up this weekend.
More creativity needed by the Gunners.
The last three games Arsenal have played has seen them fail to score from open play. Four goals have been scored but three were own-goals and the winner at Everton came from the penalty spot. No new injury problems have been revealed by Arteta but he will look for some more creativity.
Will Danny Welbeck start for Brighton against his former club? The striker has scored some important goals for the Seagulls this season. After a recent back injury he has spent most of Albion's recent games on the subs bench, coming on in the second half.
Carlos Baleba will definitely miss this game as he's away on international duty. Adam Webster will also be absent due to injury and there are doubts over Jan-Paul Van Heckke and he may not be playing on Saturday.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Brighton
V. Gyokeres
(14 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(13 Goals)
L. Trossard
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Odegaard
(6 Assists)
Y. Minteh
(4 Assists)
Arsenal - Brighton Key Points
- Arsenal have earned 22 points from their eight home league games this season.
- Brighton have gone four games without a win.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last five games against Brighton.
- Brighton have only won one of their last six away league games.
- Arsenal have led at half and full time in six home league games this season.
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Our Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction
Arsenal have turned the Emirates into a fortress this season. Along with Sunderland they are unbeaten at home in this season's Premier League and only dropped points against Manchester City. Just three home league goals have been conceded this season.
Brighton and Hove Albion are inconsistent and only won half the number of league games Arsenal have achieved this season. The Seagulls have gone four league games without a win. Our main Arsenal v Brighton prediction is Arsenal wins and leads at half and full time.
Arsenal vs Brighton Alternative Predictions
Second half to have most goals
Six of the last ten Premier League goals at the Emirates were scored in the second half. Earlier this season, Arsenal played Brighton and Hove Albion at home in the Carabao Cup. They won 2-0 and both goals came after the break.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Brighton
| Arsenal vs Brighton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.51 | 1.41 | -6.6% |
| Draw | 4.63 | 5.85 | +26.3% |
| Brighton wins | 7.42 | 9 | +21.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.2% and is now 70.9% (4.7%)
Arsenal vs Brighton - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
