Senegal vs DR Congo Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in AFCON Predictions
After winning starts to their respective 2025 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) campaigns, Senegal and DR Congo square off on matchday two on Saturday. This Group D match between the first-placed ‘Lions of Teranga’ and the second-placed Leopards comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
Senegal won 3-0 against Botswana on matchday one and will end their group stage fixtures on matchday three against Benin. DR Congo won 1-0 against Benin and will end against Botswana, so the winner here is virtually guaranteed the top spot.
Starting the tournament as one of the favourites and being FIFA’s highest-ranked African nation hasn’t put extra pressure on Senegal. They have lived up to that billing in the first game and will back their record of seven wins from the last eight games. DR Congo have won their last six internationals and will be confident of their chances, although they have been scoring just enough in recent games. Will that continue against Senegal in this intriguing fixture? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Senegal v DR Congo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.55 | 3.4 | 6 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.4 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.41 | 7.39 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.4 | 7 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.3 | 6.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Senegal and DR Congo?
Our prediction for the Senegal vs DR Congo match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/12/2025 between Senegal and DR Congo in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.53% for a win of Senegal against DR Congo with odds of 1.67 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Senegal vs DR Congo is 18.91% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.56% chance ⭐ for a win of DR Congo vs Senegal with odds of 7.39 at Betwinner.
Senegal - DR Congo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Senegal DR Congo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Senegal wins | 51.53% | 1.67 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 66.06% | 2.08 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 72.92% | 1.6 at LSbet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Senegal/Senegal | 22.24% | 2.55 at LSbet |
Senegal vs DR Congo Form
Senegal and DR Congo's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 |
|
2
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 |
Senegal and DR Congo Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
26 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
17 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
14 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
Senegal vs DR Congo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
Senegal - DR Congo: Form Analysis
Nicolas Jackson scored once in each half to lead Senegal to a comfortable 3-0 win over Botswana on matchday one. That was their seventh win in the last eight matches, including friendlies, losing only against Brazil in that sequence.
The Lions have won just one AFCON title in 2021 and will hope to add to that count, especially with their recent scoring run. Five of their recent seven wins saw them score at least three goals, which gives them an edge.
Senegal won 3-2 when these sides last met in September.
That was in the World Cup qualifiers, and DR Congo went on to win their next six matches in a row, one via penalties over Nigeria, to qualify for the World Cup. Four of those wins have come by a 1-0 score, so the Leopards have been scoring just enough to edge out contests.
Their matchday one win over Benin was also settled by a 16th-minute strike from Theo Bongonda, making it a fifth game in their last six fixtures to see them score exactly once during regular time.
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Senegal against DR Congo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
Y. Diouf
M. Diaw
DefenderE. Diouf
M. Sarr
A. Mendy
A. Seck
MidfielderP. Ciss
P. Sarr
L. Camara
H. Diarra
ForwardI. Mbaye
C. Sabaly
B. Dia
C. Ndiaye
H. Diallo
T. Fayulu
M. Epolo
DefenderM. Balikwisha
R. Bushiri
S. Kapuadi
G. Kalulu
D. Batubinsika
J. Kayembe
N. Mbuku
E. Kayembe
C. Pickel
ForwardB. Cipenga
F. Mayele
G. Kakuta
S. Essende
Senegal & DR Congo Squad Analysis
Senegal have no injury concerns in the camp and have a full squad to choose from. Sunderland’s Habib Diarra was allowed to join the squad late and could be in contention to make the XI here, or at least get some game time.
The Senegalese otherwise looked settled in their first game, appearing in a 4-2-3-1 formation. Veteran Sadio Mane started on the left flank, with the energetic Jackson starting as the lone forward. Ismaila Sarr and Iliman Ndiaye slotted in behind him to complete their forward line.
Jackson has six goals in his last six international matches.
DR Congo also appears to have no fresh absentees. Yoanne Wissa is a big miss for them, with the striker just returning to competitive action with Newcastle United. They will continue to put hopes on Cedric Bakambu and Elia Meschak for impact.
They stacked the midfield in a 4-1-4-1 formation against Benin and will likely do so here as well. Right-back Aaron Wan-Bissaka could look to make overlapping runs with Bongonda, their scorer from matchday one.
Most goals and assists
Senegal
DR Congo
P. Gueye
(3 Goals)
G. Kakuta
(2 Goals)
S. Mane
(3 Assists)
A. Masuaku
(1 Assists)
,
G. Kakuta
(1 Assists)
,
T. Bongonda
(1 Assists)
Senegal - DR Congo Key Points
- Senegal scored in their last 10 matches in a row.
- Congo scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- Congo scored exactly once in five of their last six matches during regular time.
- Senegal scored 2+ goals in six of their last seven matches.
- The last two matches between these sides played in the World Cup qualifiers saw BTTS.
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Our Senegal vs DR Congo Prediction
Senegal were one of the pre-tournament favourites, and they lived up to that billing on matchday one. The 3-0 win over Botswana was in line with expectations, and another win here over Congo will more or less confirm their playoff qualification. Having scored at least three goals in five of their last eight matches, the Senegalese will fancy another scoring encounter. Congo squeezed past Benin 1-0, and they scored exactly once in five of their last six games.
Going by how these teams played each other recently, our Senegal vs DR Congo prediction is BTTS.
Senegal vs DR Congo Alternative Predictions
Senegal to win and BTTS
Senegal came back from two goals down the last time they met Congo to eventually win 3-2. Their recent scoring form should be further evidence of their strong credentials, and they should win with both teams scoring goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Senegal DR Congo
| Senegal vs DR Congo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal wins | 1.74 | 1.67 | -4.0% |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.7 | +1.6% |
| DR Congo wins | 4.88 | 7.39 | +51.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Senegal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.5% and is now 59.9% (2.4%)
Senegal vs DR Congo - FAQs
The Senegal vs DR Congo AFCON match will be televised live on Channel 4, E4 and 4seven in the UK. Live streaming can also be viewed on Channel 4, as well as Channel 4 Sport YouTube.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our AFCON Livescore page!
This is the 35th edition of the biennial Africa Cup of Nations tournament organised by the Confederation of African Football (CAF). It will be the second edition hosted by Morocco and will be played between 21 December 2025 and 18 January 2026.
Egypt is the most successful nation in the history of AFCON, winning seven titles. The last of those wins came in 2010, and they have also been runners-up on three occasions, the last coming in 2021.
Cameroon are next in that list with five tournament wins, the last coming in 2017. Ghana won the competition four times, while Nigeria and Ivory Coast have had three wins each.
Ivory Coast are the defending champions from the 2023 edition.
The 24 teams are divided into six groups, with the top two teams of each group advancing to the round of 16. Joining them would be the best four third-placed teams.
Group A: Morocco, Mali, Zambia, Comoros.
Group B: Egypt, South Africa, Angola, Zimbabwe.
Group C: Nigeria, Tunisia, Uganda, Tanzania.
Group D: Senegal, DR Congo, Benin, Botswana.
Group E: Algeria, Burkina Faso, Equatorial Guinea, Sudan.
Group F: Ivory Coast, Cameroon, Gabon, Mozambique.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
