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30 November 2022 - 19:00 

- Day 3

World - World Cup

Saudi Arabia Mexico
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
VS
Mexico
Mexico

Tip :

Under 2.5

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Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Predictions & Betting Tips (World Cup)

 by Daniel Ngulu |

Saudi Arabia face Mexico in a deciding game in Group C of the 2022 FIFA World Cup at the Lusail Stadium in Qatar on Wednesday. Saudi Arabia go into this game with three points and in third place while Mexico are bottom of the group with a point. Poland top the group on four points with Argentina in second, ahead of Saudi Arabia on goal difference. Saudi Arabia can qualify with a win and would win the group if Poland draw with Argentina. A draw would see them qualify if they can get a better result than Argentina. For Mexico, only a win will keep their World Cup hopes alive and would qualify if Poland beat Argentina. Any other result in that game would see the Mexicans needing to vastly improve their goal difference.

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The best odds for betting

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.5 4.2 1.57
1xbet
5.08 4.3 1.66
Vbet
4.8 4.3 1.71
Betobet
5.25 4.2 1.63
Shangrila
5.1 4.4 1.6
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Saudi Arabia posted the first shock result of the 2022 World Cup in beating Argentina 2-1 but they couldn’t follow up on it against Poland and they will not be the favorites going into this game. Bookmakers offer odds of 5.00 for a Saudi win here, while Mexico are favored at odds of 1.7 and a draw is offered at 4.5.

Form

Ranking

4e
Saudi Arabia
World Cup Group C
3e
Mexico

Last matches

Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia Last matches
D W D L W L

26 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  0
Saudi Arabia

22 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  2
Saudi Arabia

16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
Croatia

10 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Saudi Arabia
1 :  1
Panama

6 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Saudi Arabia
1 :  0
Iceland

26 Oct 2022 - International Friendlies

Saudi Arabia
1 :  1
Albania
Mexico
Mexico Last matches
W L W L D L

26 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Argentina
2 :  0
Mexico

22 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Poland

16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  2
Sweden

9 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
4 :  0
Iraq

28 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Colombia

25 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Peru

Form Analysis

Saudi Arabia registered a major upset in beating Argentina 2-1 on matchday one after coming from a goal down. They couldn't, however, keep up with the high expectations and went on to lose 2-0 to Poland in the next game. In that game, they conceded more than a goal for the first time in 11 matches, but they have not kept a clean sheet in the last four. The Saudi team deserve credit for defensive compactness but they haven’t been scoring a lot. In their last 13 matches, they have scored more than a goal in just one game. Four of their last five matches have produced under 2.5 goals but this will not mean much going into this game. What matters more is that they need to improve on their World Cup record, which has just two wins in the last 15 games. In their last three World Cup matches, Saudi Arabia have three losses and failed to score in those defeats, while they have failed to keep a clean sheet in the last five matches. Mexico, on the other hand, have not won any of their last three matches, while they have conceded two or more goals in three of their last five matches. This includes a 2-0 loss to Argentina in their most recent game. They held on for long stretches against Argentina but their resistance was broken in the latter stages, leaving them with just one win in the last five matches. They’ve managed just two clean sheets in the last five matches and six of their last 10 games have ended in under 2.5 goals. The Mexicans have scored more than a goal in just three of their last 10 matches in competitive action. Mexico have managed seven clean sheets in the last 10 matches, compared to Saudi Arabia’s five in the last 10 competitive games.

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Starting 11

Saudi Arabia

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

21
M Alowais
19
H Bahebri
4
A Al Amri
17
H Altambakti
26
R Sharahili
9
F Al Birakan
3
A Madu
12
S Abdulhamid
10
S Al-Dawsari
23
M Kanno
20
A Alobud
9
R Jimenez
21
U Antuna
8
C Rodriguez
22
H Lozano
24
L Chavez
11
R Funes Mori
23
J Gallardo
15
H Moreno
3
C Montes
26
K Alvarez
13
G Ochoa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Mexico

Missing players

Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
Midfielder A Almalki
Mexico
Mexico
Midfielder A Guardado

Squad analysis

Mexico will go into this game without the services of Andres Guardado who is out injured. In a game they must win to progress, this will be a heavy blow and all eyes will be on how they line up for this game, being forced to send out an attacking team. Raul Jimenez may be a candidate for a starting berth but his recent injury record doesn’t guarantee much in terms of goals, though Gerardo Martino has no option but to use all the attacking talent at his disposal. Saudi Arabia’s Herve Renard will have bigger problems to deal with; Abdulelah Al Maliki is suspended for this game, while Yasser Al-Shahrani is out with injury and having undergone a jaw surgery, is out of the World Cup. Nawaf Al Abid was withdrawn late in the loss against Poland, having come on as a substitute in the second half and remains a doubt for this game.

Saudi Arabia - Mexico key points

  1. Saudi Arabia have five clean sheets in 10 competitive matches.
  2. Saudi Arabia have scored more than one goal in just one of their last 13 matches.
  3. Eight of Mexico’s last 10 games have ended in under 2.5 goals.
  4. Mexico have seven clean sheets in their last 10 competitive games.
  5. 20 of the last 21 matches played by Saudi Arabia have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  6. Saudi Arabia have failed to score in two of their last three games.
  7. Mexico have only scored more than once in three of their last 10 games.
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Our Saudi Arabia vs Mexico prediction

One major headache for both managers going into this game will be how to inspire their teams to score. The two sides are not prolific scorers but on the flipside, haven’t been conceding a lot, which has resulted in under 2.5 goals in most of their recent competitive games. We will back the same in this game.


 

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Other interesting tips

Draw - odds : 4.2 at Bet365

These two sides will want to be cautious even as they both try to win this game, to better their chances of advancing. In their scoring records, the two nations are almost matched and this could be another draw to wrap up their participation in an anti-climax. Five of the last nine Saudi Arabian games have been drawn.

Game to end goalless - odds : 13 at Bet365

Still on their scoring runs, these two nations haven’t been the strongest on that front. They come into this game having failed to register more than a goal in most of their competitive games. It took a big fight for Poland to unlock Saudi Arabia and the same can be said of Argentina against Mexico. With their defences having kept a lot of clean sheets in competitive action we will back this to end without goals.

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Saudi Arabia vs Mexico match : Frequently asked questions

Lusail is expected to be sunny, with 30 degrees the forecast.

The Saudi Arabia v Mexico game will be aired live on BBC and also on BBC iPlayer.

The Saudi Arabia v Mexico game will kick off at 17:00 GMT.

The Saudi Arabia v Mexico game will be played at the Lusail Stadium.

Saudi Arabia have three points and are third in the group. They will qualify if winning this match and top the group if Argentina beat Poland. Mexico simply must win to have any shot at qualification. A win coupled with a draw between Poland and Argentina sees them through, while any other result would need the Mexicans to win by three or even four goals to advance. 

This match between Saudi Arabia and Mexico will be refereed by Michael Oliver from England.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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