PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
We head to Philips Stadion on Thursday afternoon, where PSV Eindhoven will be playing host to Shakhtar Donetsk on Matchday 1 of their 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. The only previous encounter between these sides ended 3-2, and we are going with both teams to get on the scoresheet this week as our match prediction.
Peter Bosz’s side are set to become the first Dutch team to feature in the UCL proper for a 20th time this week after securing the Eredivisie title for a third successive season in 2025-26. However, the Boeren will be hoping for a better performance in Europe’s top-tier competition this year after failing to get to the knockouts last term by finishing in 28th place in the League Phase.
After finishing third in the Ukrainian Premier League in 2024-25, Arda Turan steered the Pitmen back to the summit of their domestic league last season to earn a return to the UCL. The Miners reached the semi-finals of the Conference League last term before bowing out 5-2 on aggregate to eventual champions Crystal Palace. Let’s get into the key stats!
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PSV Eindhoven v Shakhtar Donetsk Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.43 | 5.2 | 6.4 |
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1.45 | 5.18 | 6.99 |
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1.4 | 5.05 | 6.95 |
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1.4 | 5.05 | 6.95 |
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1.41 | 5 | 6.8 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our prediction for the PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2026 between PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.14% for a win of PSV Eindhoven against Shakhtar Donetsk with odds of 1.46 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk is 13.71% with odds of 5.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Shakhtar Donetsk vs PSV Eindhoven with odds of 6.99 at 1xbet.
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Form
PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
23 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
2 Aug 2026 - Johan Cruijff Schaal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
2 Aug 2026 - Johan Cruijff Schaal
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
10 May 2026 - Eredivisie
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
29 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
9 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
3 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
3 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
13 May 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
9 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
10 May 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk: Form Analysis
PSV Eindhoven endured a disappointing Champions League campaign last time out, only managing eight points from as many games (W2 D2 L4), scoring 16 goals while conceding the same number.
However, the Boeren have made a very impressive start to their domestic campaign this season, winning four and drawing one of their first five matches, while scoring a league-high 18 goals.
The hosts are unbeaten in their last five competitive home matches dating back to mid-March, and have scored two or more goals in their last 10 at Philips Stadion since losing 2-1 to Bayern Munich in January.
PSV have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine home games across all competitions!
Meanwhile, Shakhtar Donetsk finished in sixth place in the League Phase of the UECL last season and beat AZ Alkmaar 5-2 on aggregate in the quarter-finals before bowing out to Palace.
The Miners are currently second in the Ukrainian Premier League this season with 12 points after their first five games (W4 L1), scoring 10 goals while conceding just four during this period.
The visitors have won their last five competitive away games either side of the summer break and kept clean sheets in three of those matches. They also scored 2+ goals in four of their final five away games in the Conference League last term.
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Players list
M. Kovar
DefenderS. Dest
L. Geertruida
A. Obispo
MidfielderMauro Junior
K. Sano
N. Fernandez
G. Til
ForwardI. Perisic
R. van Bommel
R. Pepi
D. Riznyk
DefenderPedrinho Azevedo
V. Bondar
M. Matvienko
O. Karavaev
MidfielderO. Ocheretko
Y. Nazaryna
M. Gomes
Newerton
ForwardLuca Meirelles
Alisson
Substitutes
N. Olij
K. Ngom
DefenderY. Gasiorowski
R. Flamingo
MidfielderS. Mijnans
P. Wanner
A. Santos
ForwardA. Bouhamdi
F. Kostic
E. Bajraktarevic
D. Tvardovskyi
DefenderTobias
A. Ghram
MidfielderL. dos Santos Ferreira
D. Kryskiv
V. Tsukanov
Gabriel Carvalho
Isaque
G. Mendoza
ForwardL. Traore
P. Obah
K. Elias
Missing players
K. Sildillia
A. Nagalo
MidfielderJ. Schouten
S. Ouaissa
ForwardA. Plea
S. Lammers
D. Man
PSV Eindhoven & Shakhtar Donetsk Squad Analysis
Ricardo Pepi is one to watch for the hosts this week. The USA international has netted three goals in his last four league games, and also scored the winner in the 95th minute when these sides met in November 2024.
Ruben van Bommel has been the standout performer for the Boeren over the early stages of the season. The winger notched up an assist against Ajax at the weekend and now has five direct goal contributions in his last four league games (2 goals, 3 assists).
PSV will have to make do without the services of Alassane Plea, Jerdy Schoten, Sam Ouaissa, Kiliann Sildillia and Dennis Man due to injuries, while Mauro Junior is suspended for MD1.
Pepi recorded four goal contributions in five UCL appearances last season!
Turan opted to go with Luca Meirelles to lead the line for his side against Karpaty Lviv last weekend, but Kaua Elias, who is the team's top scorer with three goals this season, is expected to get the nod from the first whistle in this match.
Pedro Henrique will have a point to prove this week, as it was he who was sent off with his side 2-0 up when they last met this opponent. Following his dismissal, PSV came back to win the match 3-2.
The visitors will be without Pedrinho, Marlon, and Eguinaldo for this match through injury, while 24-year-old shot-stopper Kiril Fesyun is out for the foreseeable future due to a heart condition.
PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk Key Points
- Eight of PSV’s last nine competitive matches ended with both teams scoring.
- PSV have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 competitive home matches.
- PSV averaged 2.0 goals conceded per game in the UCL League Phase last season.
- Shakhtar Donetsk have scored in each of their last 14 competitive away matches.
- The last match between these sides ended in a 3-2 scoreline.
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Our PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction
PSV have made a very impressive start to the season, particularly in attack, but that has been necessary, as clean sheets have been rare for them, as the last time they shut out an opponent in any competition was in early April.
Containing the hosts on their home patch will not be an easy task for Shakhtar Donetsk, but they have shown that they are well capable of finding the net on their travels, having done so in each of their last 14 competitive away matches. Our PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction is BTTS.
PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
PSV Eindhoven wins
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PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk - FAQs
The Champions League match between PSV Eindhoven and Shakhtar Donetsk will be broadcast live on Ziggo Sport (Netherlands) and Megogo (Ukraine). UK viewers can tune in to TNT Sports.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
