Napoli vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
Arsenal start their quest for UEFA Champions League (UCL) glory with a matchday one fixture against Napoli at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Wednesday. This match in Naples between the ‘Partenopei’ and the ‘Gunners’ could be a rude reminder of the gulf between these clubs on current form, but will it be core to our match predictions?
Napoli would have ideally wanted to come into this game on the back of a win, but a late meltdown saw them lose to Inter Milan at the weekend. It’s still early days to say there’s pressure on Massimiliano Allegri, but another loss here will attract a few daggers.
The Gunners were the best team in the league phase last season and will aim for another perfect start. They have the tailwind of a cracking start to the league season, and Mikel Arteta’s team looks value for money in the winning stakes. Is that enough to warrant backing an away win? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Napoli v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.7 | 3.65 | 1.78 |
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4.88 | 3.82 | 1.79 |
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4.7 | 3.66 | 1.77 |
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4.5 | 3.7 | 1.78 |
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4.74 | 3.72 | 1.74 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2026 between Napoli and Arsenal in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.2% for a win of Napoli against Arsenal with odds of 4.95 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Arsenal is 20.26% with odds of 3.82 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Napoli with odds of 1.8 at Roobet.
Napoli vs Arsenal Form
Napoli and Arsenal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Serie A
30 Aug 2026 - Serie A
22 Aug 2026 - Serie A
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2026 - Serie A
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Serie A
22 Aug 2026 - Serie A
17 May 2026 - Serie A
2 May 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
31 Aug 2026 - Premier League
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2026 - Premier League
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Champions League
24 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
Napoli vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Apr 2019 - Europa League
Napoli - Arsenal: Form Analysis
From being 2-0 up in the 53rd minute to losing 3-2 to Inter through a goal in the stoppage time, Napoli saw a whirlwind of emotions engulf the side at the weekend. That was a second consecutive defeat in the league, erasing whatever little positives were earned in a 2-0 win over Genoa on matchday one.
Europe presents a challenge of a different kind, as Napoli won just two of their last ten matches in the competition proper (D3, L5). They have just two defeats in their last nine opening games in the UCL (W5, D2), raising hopes of beating the odds here.
Napoli have 12 wins from their last 21 UCL home games (D7, L2).
Arsenal conceded early at the weekend, in the second minute, but recovered to beat Chelsea 2-1. It was a third Premier League win in a row for the defending champions, who also have hopes of beating their European duck this season.
The Gunners had a perfect winning record in the league phase last year in this competition, while remaining unbeaten in regular time in the entire UCL tournament last year (W11, D4).
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Napoli vs Arsenal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Contini
V. Milinkovic-Savic
DefenderB. Badiashile
S. Beukema
M. Olivera
MidfielderC. Favasuli
B. Gilmour
K. De Bruyne
ForwardL. Lucca
N. Lang
D. Neres
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderP. Hincapie
MidfielderM. Merino
E. Eze
B. Guimaraes
M. Dowman
M. Zubimendi
ForwardV. Gyokeres
N. Madueke
Missing players
A. Buongiorno
L. Marianucci
MidfielderS. Mctominay
J. Timber
W. Saliba
Napoli & Arsenal Squad Analysis
The hosts will be without Scott McTominay and Giovane, along with Alessandro Buongiorno and Luca Marianucci. The absence of McTominay is the biggest in terms of impact, as he was Napoli’s leading UCL scorer from last season.
Napoli’s 4-3-3 formation could be tested in the middle with Stanislav Lobotka and Frank Anguissa likely to bear the brunt of Arsenal’s midfield dominance. Rasmus Hojlund will be the central striker for the Neapolitans, with the Danish striker key to any little hopes they may have.
Hojlund has scored once in each of his last two matches.
Arsenal are still without William Saliba and Jurrien Timber, with the duo’s absence robbing Mikel Arteta of his favoured back four. Regardless, the presence of Gabriel Magalhaes gives them teeth, with the Brazilian winning 82 of his last 121 UCL duels since the start of the 2024-25 season.
The Gunners are set to start in their 4-2-3-1 formation with Martin Odegaard playing right behind their lone striker – Kai Havertz. The German has three goals to his name this season, defying most of his critics.
Napoli - Arsenal Key Points
- Napoli lost their last two matches.
- Napoli were beaten in five of their last ten matches in the Champions League proper (W2, D3).
- Arsenal have won their last 12 consecutive league phase matches, including all eight last season.
- Arsenal have won their last four matches.
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Our Napoli vs Arsenal Prediction
Napoli were shocked at the weekend when they failed to keep a 2-0 lead and lost 3-2 to Inter Milan. That’s in sharp contrast to how Arsenal came back from conceding a second-minute goal to Chelsea before bouncing back for a convincing 2-1 win. The results and the nature of those are reflective of how these sides are going ahead of starting their European engagements.
Arsenal had a perfect record in the league phase last season and look primed to continue that. Our Napoli vs Arsenal prediction is Arsenal wins.
Napoli vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions
Martin Odegaard Over 0.5 Shots on Target
Martin Odegaard scored at the weekend for Arsenal to make it three goals in four games for the Gunners, including the Community Shield match. The Denmark midfielder is likely to remain central to their chances and should play on the front foot. Back him to get at least one shot on target.
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Napoli vs Arsenal - FAQs
The Napoli vs Arsenal UEFA Champions League match will be broadcast live on Paramount+ and Prime Video in the United Kingdom. In Italy, Sky Sport and Prime Video are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
Napoli will play Villarreal (away), Bodo/Glimt (home), Porto (away), Manchester City (away), Club Brugge (home), Sabah (away), and Viking (home) in their remaining matches in the League Phase.
Arsenal will play Lille (home), Bayern Munich (away), Slavia Prague (away), Borussia Dortmund (home), Real Madrid (home), Real Betis (away), and Sabah (home) in their remaining matches of the League Phase.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
