France - Ligue 1
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lyon will push to extend their winning start to the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season when they travel to Rennes on matchday four. This match between the ninth-placed Les Rennais and the second-ranked Les Gones on Sunday at Roazhon Park comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Nine points keep Lyon in second place, with only goal difference separating them from leaders PSG. The hosts, Rennes, have four points (W1, D1, L1), with only one point separating them from the relegation zone.
Rennes drew 1-1 away at Angers before the international break, failing to hold on to their lead. The break has come at the right time for the hosts, who got just one point from the last two matchdays.
The lone win for the home team came on matchday one in a 1-0 win over Marseille. That was a third victory in a row for Rennes in home league fixtures, making them a tough contender.
Lyon defeated Marseille 1-0 at home before the break, continuing their excellent start to the season. All three of their wins have come with a clean sheet: a 1-0 away win over Lens and a 3-0 home win over Metz.
The visitors need to be guarded in their optimism, though, as Lyon lost two of their recent three league trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rennes v Lyon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.6 | 2.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rennes and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Rennes vs Lyon match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2025 between Rennes and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.98% for a win of Rennes against Lyon with odds of 2.82 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rennes vs Lyon is 18.75% with odds of 3.64 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Rennes with odds of 2.6 at Bet365.
Rennes vs Lyon Form
Rennes and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
10
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 |
Rennes and Lyon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
9 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
16 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
Rennes vs Lyon last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Ait Boudlal
MidfielderM. Camara
O. Mangala
E. Nuamah
Most goals and assists
Rennes
Lyon
E. Lepaul
(2 Goals)
G. Mikautadze
(1 Goals)
,
C. Tolisso
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Karabec
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Fofana
(1 Goals)
Q. Merlin
(2 Assists)
M. Fofana
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Maitland-Niles
(1 Assists)
,
P. Sulc
(1 Assists)
Rennes - Lyon Key Points
- In six of their last eight home league games including one this season, Rennes saw under 2.5 goals.
- Three of Rennes’ last five league matches played anywhere, saw two or fewer goals scored.
- Lyon kept a clean sheet in their last four Ligue 1 matches.
- Four of Lyon’s last five league fixtures produced two or fewer goals.
- In their last two league trips, Lyon saw fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Rennes vs Lyon Prediction
It has been a perfect start for Lyon to the season, as they won all three games with a clean sheet. With PSG also starting the campaign with three wins, Lyon can’t risk dropping points in this game and losing track of the top spot. That said, Rennes has been a banana-peel fixture for them in recent years. At this venue, Rennes won three of four home Ligue 1 games against Lyon.
Goals could be at a premium considering the tight nature of games, and our Rennes vs Lyon prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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