Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Prediction published on 03/11/2025, 20:56  by Geoffrey Ejiga | Modified on 04/11/2025 at 22:15 in Tennis Predictions

There are a few men who can boast of having never lost to Novak Djokovic, and Alejandro Talibo is one of them. Surprisingly, despite being the heavy underdog in their past two meetings, Talibo beat Djokovic twice, winning both games in two sets. The question now is, will lightning strike thrice for Talibo, or will the world No.5 get his revenge? See our best Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Talibo match prediction below.

For us, the value bet lies not in the match winner or total sets bet, but in the number of games in the first set. We're predicting less than 9.5 games in the first set, which is a bet that's now won in their only two past meetings, and in a good number of their recent games.

Their last meeting produced nine games in Set 1, while the first meeting saw eight games in the first set. And for Talibo, seven of his last 12 singles have now also produced fewer than ten games in the first set.

Then, for Djokovic, three of his last four (excluding his recent retirement against Taylor Fritz) singles have now also gone under 9.5 games in the first set. If we then look further back, we also see that 15 of Djokovic’s last 23 singles have also seen under ten games in the first set.