Europe - Women's Euro
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Women's Euro Predictions
It's time for the knockouts in the UEFA Women's Euro 2025, and kickstarting the action will be Norway and Italy. This quarter-final match will be played on Wednesday at Stade de Geneve, and our prediction is that both teams are likely to score goals.
The winner of this match will move on to the semi-finals and play the winner of the quarter-final game between Sweden and England. Both Norway and Italy are playing their first quarter-finals in the competition since 2013, and they won't be short on motivation to do well.
The Norwegians were entertaining in their three group games of the competition, winning all three and topping Group A. Italy managed to squeeze behind Spain in Group B, although they managed to score in each of their three group stage games. Interestingly, both teams have recently faced defensive issues, which have obscured their scoring capabilities. Will that continue in this knockout fixture? Read more to find our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Norway W v Italy W Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.1 | 3.1 | 2.45 |
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3 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
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2.88 | 3 | 2.45 |
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2.88 | 3 | 2.38 |
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3.05 | 3.1 | 2.43 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Norway W and Italy W?
Our prediction for the Norway W vs Italy W match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/07/2025 between Norway W and Italy W in Women's Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.83% for a win of Norway W against Italy W with odds of 3.17 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norway W vs Italy W is 29.35% with odds of 3.25 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy W vs Norway W with odds of 2.5 at Betfred.
Norway W vs Italy W Form
Norway W and Italy W Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
6 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
2 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
26 Jun 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
6 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
26 Jun 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
25 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
29 Nov 2024 - Women's Euro
25 Oct 2024 - Women's Euro

3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
7 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
3 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
25 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
29 Oct 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
25 Oct 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
3 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
2 Dec 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
Norway W vs Italy W Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jun 2024 - Women's Euro
31 May 2024 - Women's Euro
Norway W - Italy W: Form Analysis
Norway topped Group A of the competition with three consecutive wins. They started with 2-1 wins over Switzerland and Finland, which confirmed their top spot in the group. In the final group game they edged out Iceland 4-3 despite resting a few regulars.
This is the first time in their Euros history that Norway have won all three group stage games. Beating Iceland could prove to be a moral booster, as it came against a team sitting above them in the FIFA rankings.
Norway won 11 of the 16 prior matches against Italy, losing only three.
The two recent match-ups came in the Euros qualifiers, where both games ended in draws. Italy finished second in Group B with four points (W1, D1, L1), although their last match was a 3-1 defeat to Spain. Their other group games have also seen Italy score exactly once, in a 1-0 win over Belgium and a 1-1 draw against Portugal.
Italy's form has been indifferent lately, as they could win just three of their eight recent fixtures (W3, D2, L3). Having scored in 12 of their last 13 matches in all competitions, Italy are primed to continue their scoring form.
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Norway W vs Italy W last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Norway W & Italy W Squad Analysis
Marit Lund has been suspended for Norway after receiving a red card against Iceland. Other than that, the Norwegians have no other fitness issues. They are likely to stay true to their 4-3-3 formation, with Ada Hegerberg likely to play ahead in the forward line.
Hegerberg will return to the playing XI after resting for the last match, while Graham Hansen also comes back into the side. She has two goals and an assist from the first two matchdays and will once again be crucial to their chances.
Signe Gaupset has five goals in her last six competitive matches.
Two of those have come in the last game against Iceland, and the young midfielder is likely to start once again. Italy have no injury issues and are likely to field an unchanged side. The veteran Italian forward Cristiana Girelli could be crucial for their chances, as she boasts five goals in her last six matches for country and club.
She could play as a lone forward in their 4-4-1-1 formation, which could once again be the system they play here. That said, Italy have also used an adventurous 3-4-3 system against Portugal, but the free-flowing Norwegians could see Italy stack their midfield.
Most goals and assists










Norway W - Italy W Key Points
- Norway’s three matches in this competition have seen both teams score goals.
- Norway failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last seven matches including friendlies.
- Three of Italy’s last four matches have seen both teams score goals.
- Italy scored in 12 of their last 13 matches including all three games in this competition.
- The latest match between these teams ended in a 1-1 draw in the Euro 2025 qualifiers.
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Our Norway W vs Italy W Prediction
Norway topped their group with ease, winning all three matches. While they scored eight goals, they also conceded five, underlining their defensive concerns. Italy narrowly made it out of Group B, behind Spain, but just ahead of Belgium. They scored exactly once in each of their three matches, while conceding four goals in their last two matches against Portugal and Spain.
Looking at their recent form and their attacking prowess, combined with defensive troubles, our Norway W vs Italy W prediction is both teams to score.
Norway W vs Italy W - Other Interesting Predictions
Norway Women to qualify
Norway should be back to full strength after resting their regulars for the inconsistent last group game against Iceland. They have been impressive in this tournament and will fancy their chances of qualification, if not in regular time, at least in extra time.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Norway W vs. Italy W game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Norway W and Italy W when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Women's Euro!
Norway W vs Italy W match : Frequently asked questions
The Norway Women vs Italy Women UEFA Women's Euro 2025 fixture will be shown in the UK on ITV and ITV4. You can also tune into BBC1 and BBC2. In Norway, the match would be available on NRK and TV 2 Play, while in Italy, it is RAI PLAY that will show this game live.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Women's Euro 2025 Livescore page!
Norway and Italy have a long history in the UEFA Euros. They met in the 1993 final in Cesena where Norway beat hosts Italy to claim their second European title.
That was their second title and enroute their first in 1987, Norway – when they were hosts – defeated Italy in the semi-finals. They were also paired together in the group stages of this tournament in 1997, 2001, and 2005.
More recently, these sides played in the Women's Euro 2025 qualifiers in Group A1. Both games ended in draws with a 0-0 draw in Oslo and 1-1 draw in Ferrara.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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