Inter Milan vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
With a place in the top eight still up for grabs, continental powerhouses Inter Milan and Arsenal clash on matchday seven of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League on Tuesday. This match between the sixth-placed Nerazzurri and the first-placed Gunners at San Siro comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
Arsenal are assured of at least a top-16 place, while Inter are still battling it out to remain in that race. The Gunners are the team to beat in Europe, as they are the only side yet to drop points in this Champions League campaign. Inter also started with four consecutive wins but have since gone on to lose two in a row.
Interestingly, this is a match-up between two teams at the top of their league standings. Inter are leading Serie A, while Arsenal are top of the table in the Premier League. Will that add extra spice to this intriguing clash? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Inter Milan v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.3 | 2.51 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.14 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.3 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.3 | 2.62 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Arsenal match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/01/2026 between Inter Milan and Arsenal in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.12% for a win of Inter Milan against Arsenal with odds of 2.85 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Arsenal is 17.57% with odds of 3.3 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Inter Milan with odds of 2.9 at 888Starz.
Inter Milan - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Inter Milan Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 42.12% | 2.85 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.76% | 2.26 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan | 16.4% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Inter Milan vs Arsenal Form
Inter Milan and Arsenal's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +19 |
|
10
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +8 |
Inter Milan and Arsenal Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
19 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
Inter Milan vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
Inter Milan - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Inter started their Champions League campaign with four consecutive wins, the first three of which came without conceding a goal. Their season has faded off since then, as the Nerazzurri were beaten 2-1 away at Atletico Madrid and 1-0 at home against Liverpool.
That defeat to Liverpool came after the wins against Slavia Prague and Kairat at this venue. The hosts come into this fixture after a pair of 1-0 wins in Serie A, as part of five wins in their last six competitive games (D1).
Inter have won two of their last three matches against Arsenal.
Arsenal have won all six matches in the League Phase of this campaign. They won five games without conceding a goal, including their latest away at Club Brugge before last Christmas. The only goal they conceded came against Bayern Munich on matchday five.
The Gunners also have the record of winning all three away UCL matches this season without conceding a goal. Arsenal come here on the back of a 0-0 away draw at Nottingham Forest in the Premier League, though, a second draw in their last four competitive games (W2, D2).
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Inter Milan against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Martinez
A. Calligaris
DefenderY. Bisseck
C. Augusto
M. Cocchi
S. De Vrij
M. Darmian
MidfielderD. Frattesi
A. Diouf
H. Mkhitaryan
ForwardA. Bonny
F. Esposito
T. Setford
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderB. White
G. Magalhaes
D. Rice
C. Norgaard
M. Odegaard
ForwardE. Nwaneri
K. Havertz
N. Madueke
G. Martinelli
V. Gyokeres
Missing players
R. Di Gennaro
MidfielderH. Calhanoglu
P. Hincapie
Inter Milan & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Hakan Calhanoglu missed Inter’s last two matches and could be out of this fixture as well. Also missing for the hosts is Denzel Dumfries with an ankle injury. Alessandro Bastoni and Marcus Thuram could be recalled to the side after sitting out of last weekend’s fixture.
Inter are likely to stick to their 3-5-2 system, with Thuram likely to partner Lautaro Martinez up front. The Argentine has been key to Inter’s chances this season in the Champions League, having scored four goals in five UCL matches.
Martinez has eight Champions League home goals since the start of 2025.
Arsenal have fewer injury concerns than their hosts, with only Riccardo Calafiori and Piero Hincapie as key injury absences. That should give the visitors enough choice to stick to their 4-3-3 system.
Leading the strike line would be the misfiring Swedish forward Viktor Gyokeres, while Bukayo Saka could be their creative outlet on the wings. It would be interesting to see how Arsenal can accommodate Gabriel Martinelli, who scored in all five of his Champions League matches this season.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Arsenal
L. Martinez
(4 Goals)
G. Martinelli
(6 Goals)
A. Bonny
(3 Assists)
L. Trossard
(5 Assists)
Inter Milan - Arsenal Key Points
- Five of Inter’s last seven matches saw under 2.5 goals during regular time.
- Inter kept a clean sheet in three of their six Champions League matches this season.
- Arsenal kept a clean sheet in two of their last four competitive matches.
- Arsenal conceded just one goal in their six Champions League matches this season.
- The Gunners won all three away UCL matches this season without conceding a goal.
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Our Inter Milan vs Arsenal Prediction
This is a crucial match for both teams, as Arsenal are looking to confirm a top-eight place, while Inter are looking to at least guarantee their top-16 place. The Gunners are the only side yet to drop a point in the League Phase of the Champions League, while Inter lost steam with consecutive defeats in their last two matchdays. Another loss here could push them to the brink, but Arsenal are going to be a tough one to get past.
This match could be a tight one, and our Inter Milan vs Arsenal prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Inter Milan vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions
Inter Milan wins
Contrary to recent form, Inter are likely to approach this match with a stronger need to win. Arsenal have been the team to beat in this Champions League campaign, but their poor recent record against Italian clubs could stop them. The Nerazzurri could surprise the odds here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan Arsenal
| Inter Milan vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 3.42 | 2.85 | -16.7% |
| Draw | 3.42 | 3.3 | -3.5% |
| Arsenal wins | 2.14 | 2.9 | +35.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.2% and is now 35.1% (5.8%)
Inter Milan vs Arsenal - FAQs
The Inter Milan vs Arsenal UEFA Champions League match will not be broadcast live on TV in the UK. Fans can stream this clash live on Amazon Prime Video. In Italy, Sky Italia are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
Inter have a positive record against Arsenal in the recent matches played between these sides. The Nerazzurri have two wins out of the last three head-to-head games in the Champions League (L1). That includes a 1-0 win here last season.
Arsenal have traditionally struggled against Italian teams, and their last win against a Serie A club in this competition came back in 2009. They have failed to score in their five such games since that victory (D1, L4).
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
