Newcastle vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
St. James’ Park sets the stage for a showdown of major significance on Wednesday night, when Newcastle United meet PSV Eindhoven on Matchday 7 of the UEFA Champions League. The Magpies are 12th in the League Phase standings, while the Boeren are in 21st place after six games. Check out our match prediction below!
With the League Phase table still tightly compact, the race for knockout qualification is still wide-open. Newcastle’s 10 points leave them two points off the top eight teams and three above the 24th-place cutoff. This is arguably the Geordies' best chance of claiming another group-stage victory, as they will travel to France to face PSG on MD8.
PSV are absolutely flying back home in the Eredivisie this season, but with eight points in this competition, they are uncomfortably close to missing out on the playoffs. The Red and Whites will know that taking something away from Tyneside is crucial before meeting Bayern Munich in their final match of the League Phase. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Newcastle v PSV Eindhoven Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.37 | 5.8 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.65 | 8.7 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.7 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.8 | 8.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and PSV Eindhoven?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs PSV Eindhoven match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2026 between Newcastle and PSV Eindhoven in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.88% for a win of Newcastle against PSV Eindhoven with odds of 1.38 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs PSV Eindhoven is 16.89% with odds of 6.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.23% chance ⭐ for a win of PSV Eindhoven vs Newcastle with odds of 9.25 at LSbet.
Newcastle - PSV Eindhoven Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle PSV Eindhoven Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 49.23% | 9.25 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.17% | |
| Both Team To Score | 64.29% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PSV Eindhoven | 20.99% | 21 at Bet365 |
Newcastle vs PSV Eindhoven Form
Newcastle and PSV Eindhoven's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 |
|
28
|
8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Newcastle and PSV Eindhoven Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
16 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
13 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
16 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
13 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
31 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
Newcastle - PSV Eindhoven: Form Analysis
Newcastle squandered a golden opportunity to remain in the top eight of the UCL standings on MD6, when they conceded in the 88th minute and were forced to settle for a 2-2 draw against Leverkusen.
The Magpies enter this match after a disappointing goalless draw against Premier League basement club Wolves, which followed a 2-0 loss to Man City in the first leg of the EFL Cup semi-final.
However, barring the loss to City last week, Newcastle have been solid at home. They’ve only lost one of their last 14 games at St James’ (W11 D2), which included wins against Benfica and Bilbao in this competition.
Newcastle have scored 2+ goals in each of their last five UCL games!
Meanwhile, after stunning Liverpool 4-1 at Anfield, PSV Eindhoven suffered their second loss in this season’s Champions League on MD6, going down 3-2 to La Liga giants Atletico Madrid at home.
Since then, though, the Boeren have racked up five wins in a row in domestic competition and extended their lead in the Eredivisie to 16 points by beating Fortuna Sittard 2-1 over the weekend.
The visitors have taken five points from their three UCL away games (W1 D2) and are unbeaten on the road across all competitions this season. The last time they lost an away game was at the start of March against Go Ahead Eagles.
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Newcastle against PSV Eindhoven Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Thompson
A. Ramsdale
DefenderA. Murphy
L. Shahar
MidfielderL. Miley
J. Ramsey
J. Willock
N. Woltemade
S. Neave
A. Elanga
N. Schiks
T. Smolenaars
DefenderR. Flamingo
A. Obispo
N. Verkooijen
J. Van Den Berg
N. Fernandez
ForwardC. Driouech
E. Bajraktarevic
Missing players
D. Burn
F. Schar
E. Krafth
MidfielderJ. Murphy
ForwardW. Osula
N. Olij
DefenderS. Dest
ForwardA. Plea
M. Boadu
R. Pepi
R. van Bommel
Newcastle & PSV Eindhoven Squad Analysis
While Anthony Gordon has not been at his best in the Premier League this season, he has been exceptional in Europe, currently on seven direct goal contributions in six UCL games (5 goals, 2 assists).
Nick Woltemade had a quiet afternoon at Molineux over the weekend and will likely make way for Yoanne Wissa in the starting lineup in midweek. Anthony Elanga returned from injury in Newcastle’s last match and will be in contention to start this one.
Eddie Howe still has several players unavailable through injury, including Jacob Murphy, Tino Livramento, Fabian Schar, Jamaal Lascelles, Dan Burn and Emil Krafth, while Will Osula is a doubt.
Ricardo Pepi is set to be sidelined for the next two months for PSV!
The United States international has been in good form this season, scoring 11 goals in 20 games, but he suffered a broken arm last week against Excelsior and has begun rehabilitation.
Pepi’s injury could open the door for Couhaib Driouech to stake a claim for a starting spot. The Moroccan has scored three goals off the bench in this competition and was deployed as the number nine by Peter Bosz against Sittard this past weekend.
Aside from Pepi, the visitors are also missing Nick Olij, Myron Boadu, Ruben van Bommel and Allasane Plea through injury. Ismael Saibari has returned from the AFCON but will miss this match due to a suspension for an accumulation of yellow cards.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
PSV Eindhoven
A. Gordon
(10 Goals)
I. Saibari
(3 Goals)
, 
R. Pepi
(3 Goals)
,
C. Driouech
(3 Goals)
J. Murphy
(3 Assists)
,
K. Trippier
(3 Assists)
,
H. Barnes
(3 Assists)
G. Til
(3 Assists)
Newcastle - PSV Eindhoven Key Points
- Newcastle’s last two UCL games ended with both teams scoring.
- Newcastle have scored two or more goals in nine of their last 10 home games in all competitions.
- Newcastle are averaging 1.89 while PSV average 1.85 xG per 90 in the Champions League this season.
- All six of PSV’s six UCL games ended with both teams scoring.
- PSV have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 away games in all competitions.
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Our Newcastle vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction
Barring the loss in the first leg of the Carabao Cup semi-final to Man City, Newcastle have been excellent at home since the start of October. They have won 11 of their 14 games in this period (D2 L1), and scored two or more goals in all but one of those matches.
However, PSV have been in sensational form on the road this term, still unbeaten across all competitions, while having scored 20 goals in their last seven away games ahead of this one. Therefore, our Newcastle vs PSV Eindhoven prediction is BTTS.
Newcastle vs PSV Eindhoven Alternative Predictions
Couhaib Driouech to score or assist
The Moroccan has scored three goals and provided an assist off the bench in this competition. With Ricardo Pepi sidelined, he started as the number nine at the weekend and could do likewise in this match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle PSV Eindhoven
| Newcastle vs PSV Eindhoven | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 1.53 | 1.38 | -9.8% |
| Draw | 4.83 | 6.4 | +32.5% |
| PSV Eindhoven wins | 6.4 | 9.25 | +44.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSV Eindhoven is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 44.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 15.6% and is now 10.8% (-4.8%)
Newcastle vs PSV Eindhoven - FAQs
The Champions League match between Newcastle and PSV Eindhoven will take place on January 21 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Newcastle and PSV Eindhoven will be played at St. James’ Park in Newcastle.
The Champions League match between Newcastle and PSV Eindhoven will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
