Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Champions League Predictions
Atalanta and Athletic Bilbao will hope to put behind them disappointing outings in their recent domestic assignments as they face off in the Champions League. The two sides meet in the seventh round of matches in the competition, hosted by Atalanta in Bergamo. Going into this game, Atalanta are fifth in the league stage standings, while Athletic Bilbao are 28th, with five points. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
With 13 points garnered, Atalanta have just one more than the ninth-placed side. It means the risk of missing an automatic qualification slot still exists, but being unbeaten in five Champions League outings gives them confidence.
On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao’s last 11 away matches against Italian clubs produced just one win. The Spaniards lost six, and coming here with only one win in the last eight matches in Europe places them as underdogs. The Basque side is two points shy of the top 24.
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Atalanta v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.72 | 3.75 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.76 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.74 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.75 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.7 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Atalanta wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2026 between Atalanta and Athletic Bilbao in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.14% for a win of Atalanta against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 1.78 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao is 15.02% with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Atalanta with odds of 5.75 at LSbet.
Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 62.14% | 1.78 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 52.89% | 2.03 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.52% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta | 28.91% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Atalanta and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
|
29
|
8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 |
Atalanta and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - Serie A
10 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao: Form Analysis
While Atalanta seems to be in a commanding position as far as advancement to the next stage is concerned, things could change drastically. The Italians haven't lost a league stage game since their 4-0 matchday one defeat at PSG.
Four wins in the next five matches have La Dea sitting fifth on 13 points. They posted a crucial win in the last round, beating Chelsea 2-1 at home. Coming into this match though, they didn’t have the best of auditions. Atalanta conceded late to draw 1-1 with struggling Pisa in Serie A. That result didn’t just prolong their chase for a top six place but also ended their three-game winning run.
Atalanta and Athletic will be meeting for the first time ever.
Athletic Club have had a poor season both in Europe and at home. They aren’t coming into this game on a great run but will be hoping it turns out better. One stat that could pump some confidence in them is that Atalanta are winless in the last seven games against La Liga opposition.
It would be advisable, though, that Athletic rely on their own abilities. They have only posted one win in their latest 11 away matches against Italian sides, and that was against Sampdoria in 1997. Athletic haven't won in normal time any of their last eight matches. They are coming off a 3-2 loss in Mallorca.
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Atalanta against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 5 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
F. Rossi
M. Sportiello
DefenderG. Scalvini
I. Hien
H. Ahanor
L. Samardzic
Y. Musah
M. Pasalic
ForwardD. Maldini
K. Sulemana
N. Krstovic
A. Lookman
A. Padilla
M. Santos
DefenderJ. Areso
J. de Luis
MidfielderA. Perez
O. Sancet
S. Sanchez Camilo
I. Sanchez
M. Vesga
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
N. Serrano
A. Hierro
Missing players
R. Bellanova
M. Bakker
A. Laporte
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardI. Williams
M. Sannadi
Atalanta & Athletic Bilbao Squad Analysis
Atalanta’s match against Pisa had a positive in the team not suffering fresh injuries. It could have been tough for a side that already has Berat Djimsiti out with a hip injury. Djimsiti shares the treatment room with Raoul Bellanova, but both are set to leave the infirmary soon.
In terms of firepower, Atalanta will welcome back Ademola Lookman, who had a superb AFCON journey. The Nigerian may, however, start from the bench. Charles De Ketelaere has also been key for La Dea, with goals in the last two Champions League games.
Atalanta welcomes Lookman, while Bilbao misses injured Inaki William.
Athletic Bilbao will once again pin hopes on the attacking prowess of Gorka Guruzeta. While in Europe he has gone on a dry spell since matchday three, he is still a threat in the final third. The Spaniard has three goals in Europe and has had a fine start to 2026.
In four matches this year, he already has five goal involvements. Nico Williams ended his own run without scoring with a goal against Mallorca and looks to score in consecutive matches for the first time this season.
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Athletic Bilbao
L. Samardzic
(4 Goals)
G. Guruzeta
(5 Goals)
C. De Ketelaere
(2 Assists)
, 
M. De Roon
(2 Assists)
M. Jauregizar
(2 Assists)
,
R. Navarro
(2 Assists)
Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Atalanta are unbeaten in their last four matches, winning three.
- Atalanta posted six wins in their last seven matches.
- Athletic lost three times in their last six away matches.
- Atalanta are unbeaten in five UCL matches and won four.
- Athletic lost two of their three away matches in UCL.
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Our Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Atalanta were slow starters both domestically and in Europe, but that is now a distant memory. Their 4-0 loss to PSG on matchday one remains the only defeat they’ve suffered so far in Europe. They were on the brink of four straight wins domestically last time out, but here they come as firm favorites. La Dea have also won six of the last seven home games.
Meanwhile, Athletic are struggling. They are winless in 90 minutes in the last six matches, losing three. In Europe this season, they lost twice on three games, and this will be a difficult outing for them. Our prediction for Atalanta v Athletic Bilbao is that Atalanta wins.
Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao Alternative Predictions
Half with most goals - Second
While Atalanta are expected to pick up three points from this match, their recent outings have shown signs of struggling. Against Pisa, for example, they scored very late but still conceded the equalizer. In the Champions League, all their eight goals so far came in the second half. There is a case for the most goals in this game to come in the second half.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Athletic Bilbao
| Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 2.08 | 1.78 | -14.4% |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.95 | +8.5% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 3.85 | 5.75 | +49.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.1% and is now 56.2% (8.1%)
Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao - FAQs
The Atalanta v Athletic Bilbao match will be played at Stadio di Bergamo in Italy.
The Atalanta v Athletic Bilbao match will be played on Wednesday, 21st January.
For Italian fans, the Atalanta v Athletic Bilbao match will be aired on Sky and Amazon Prime. In Spain, Telefonica will carry the feed, while Sportytrader will have the livescores for this and other Champions League matches.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
