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2023 Australian Open Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Australian Open 2023 prediction on who will win the Australian Open as well as our expert predictions on all the matches of the first ATP Grand Slam of the season. Lots of information for your sports betting!

2023 Australian Open Preview

Australian Open Betting Tips

The Australian Open is the first major tournament of the 2023 tennis season. We can be assured of a great tournament as the best players in the world battle it out to win the title. First held in 1905, it has been played on a hard court since 1988 and offers fast and excellent tennis, ideal for tennis fans. There will be plenty of great matches to be placing bets on. So if you want to bet on tennis, then the Australian Open is just what you are looking for. 

Tournament details

  • The place: Melbourne Park, Melbourne (Australia)
  • The dates : January 16 to 29, 2023
  • The surface : Hard (outdoor)
  • Prize Money: $34.8m
  • Last winner: Rafael Nadal

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Our tips for successful betting on the Australian Open

Australian Open Free Betting Tips

Do you want to make as many reliable Australian Open 2023 predictions as possible? Do you want to increase your winnings throughout the Australian fortnight? No problem, you are on the right page! Before we look at the important statistics for your tennis predictions, here are our experts' tips for betting on the AO. Applying them will allow you to shine in this first grand slam tournament of the year 2023.

Analyse the players' form

Unsurprisingly, the first thing to do is to analyse the form of the two players involved in the Australian Open match you wish to predict. This is a central element of your analysis, you must take into account the last performances of each player. You need to see how the players have been performing in their most recent matches. Particularly the rankings of the players they have been playing against. A player who has beaten some top 10 ranked opponents is clearly in good form. If their wins have been against lower ranked players and recent games against top ranked opponents have been lost, then that has to be taken into consideration.

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Take into account the surface of the tournament

Second tip: to make good predictions on the Australian Open, do not forget to consider the surface used by the tournament. In tennis, what may seem like a detail is in fact a major element, and some players do not get the same results at all from one surface to another. It's important to find out what surface you're playing on and to take the time to check out the latest performances on that surface. In Melbourne, for the Australian Open, it is the hard court that is used outdoors (or indoors depending on the weather conditions). A fast surface that favours the complete tennismen, and that allows a great show. So don't rush to the victory of the favourite players on paper. If they don't like the surface, they can lose even against players with lower ATP rankings.

Look at the history of duels

To make a good prediction on the Australian Open, you should also look at the history of the last duels between the two players (head to head). Indeed, in tennis, the psychological advantage is very important and often plays a role in the outcome of a match. For example, Novak Djokovic has won his last nine matches against Stefanos Tsitsipas so it’s always an idea to back him to beat the Greek. We advise you to take more into account the last head-to-head played on the same surface as the OA (hard), and those played in the same tournament (previous editions). They will be all the more helpful for your analysis of the match.

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Observe the history in the tournament

Fourth tip: check the last history of the players in the same competition (Australian Open). Indeed, most players have their favourite tournaments, where they feel particularly comfortable. Whether it's the playing surface, the crowd or the facilities, some players like some competitions more than others, and are used to performing there. For example, Novak Djokovic is a nine-time Australian Open champion.  In order to make more reliable predictions about this Australian Open tennis tournament, be sure to look at previous results players have had in this tournament.

Take into account the ATP Race

Finally, don't forget that the winner of this tournament will receive 2000 ranking points so a good performance in any Grand Slam is important for the rankings. Of course, the competition is placed at the beginning of the season and many other tournaments will make up for a possible poor performance in Melbourne.  In a match between two players who seem destined to compete with each other throughout the season, expect a competitive game. Some matches are won on motivation, and this ATP Race can clearly count in the scenario of a match in Melbourne. Don't forget, for example, that Novak Djokovic was unable to attend last year's tournament. So he has a lot to gain in this new edition of the Australian tournament.

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Statistics to know for your Australian Open predictions

Australian Open Statistics

In order to make a maximum of winning predictions on the Australian Open tennis, some figures are good to know. Here are the key statistics that our experts advise you to keep in mind before making your predictions. They were taken from the last edition of the tournament (in 2022). Some of them will make a difference in the 2023 Australian Open campaign.

  • Average number of games per match: 36.7 games
  • Three-set matches: 46%
  • Four-set matches: 34%
  • Five-set matches: 20%
  • Matches where the winner won the first set: 85%
  • Matches with a golden set (6-0): 10%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set: 18%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set: 19%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set: 17%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 4th set: 10%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 5th set: 2% (8% of the matches in 5 sets)
  • Come-back (0-2 then 3-2): 1% of the matches

Among other things, it will be smart to predict matches in three sets for this new Australian Open, not to expect too many white sets during the matches (6-0), and to predict the win of the first set for the announced favourite. Of course, there is no truth in tennis, but this will already allow you to place bets closer to the truth. The Australian Open 2023 is perhaps the best way to start the year for bettors.

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Djokovic Wins a Tenth Australian Open Title

Prediction Australian Open 2023 Winner - Novak Djokovic

After his absence due to non-vaccination last year, Novak Djokovic made his return in 2023 and won the Australian Open for the tenth time. Not just that but it saw him draw level on 22 Grand Slam men's singles titles with Rafael Nadal who lost in the second round of this tournament. Djokovic beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final and in doing so returned to the top of the world rankings.

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Sabalenka Finally Wins a Grand Slam

aryna-sabalenka

It's finally happened. Aryna Sabalenka has won a Grand Slam women's singles title. The Belarusian beat Elena Rybakina in three sets to win the title. The set lost in the final was the only one she dropped in the tournament.

Want to read our predictions on the women's circuit? Check our tennis betting tips page, all the analysis of the editorial staff on the WTA are there.

Our current Australian Open predictions:

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