Tottenham vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Champions League Predictions
The buzz returns at the 62,850-capacity Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Tuesday as Spurs lock horns with Borussia Dortmund in this high-stakes penultimate Champions League league-phase fixture. Both sides are just one point behind the top eight with identical records, adding another layer of intrigue to this clash. Read on for more details and our prediction.
Despite an underwhelming domestic league run, Tottenham Hotspur's 2025–26 UCL campaign is going as planned. However, pressure has mounted on head coach Thomas Frank recently following an unceasing run of dismal results. This crunch tie offers the Danish tactician a chance to arrest waning fans' confidence as well as bolster the team's top-eight hopes in Europe's premier club competition.
With a distant 11-point gap from table-toppers Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal exit last month, Borussia Dortmund's hopes of silverware this season lie in the Champions League. Yet that prospect appears highly unlikely with the German side firmly below the pecking order of the competition's leading contenders. They have lost all four of their previous Champions League meetings with Tottenham Hotspur and recorded seven losses (D1) in their last eight trips to face English opposition. Let's get into further details.
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Tottenham v Borussia Dortmund Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.7 | 2.43 |
|
|
2.69 | 3.58 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.78 | 3.54 | 2.43 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Tottenham vs Borussia Dortmund match is: BTTS (Both teams to score).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/01/2026 between Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.21% for a win of Tottenham against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 2.88 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs Borussia Dortmund is 27.49% with odds of 3.7 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Tottenham with odds of 2.62 at Shangrila.
Tottenham - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tottenham Borussia Dortmund Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 38.3% | 2.62 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.92% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 15.14% | 4 at Bet365 |
Tottenham vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 |
|
17
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 |
Tottenham and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
Tottenham vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Mar 2019 - Champions League
13 Feb 2019 - Champions League
21 Nov 2017 - Champions League
13 Sept 2017 - Champions League
Tottenham - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis
Tottenham Hotspur ran riot on Slavia Prague in their last Champions League outing, winning 3–0 to rack up their third victory in the competition. However, that would happen to be their only win in five home matches (D1, L3). This poor recent run of form came to a head at the weekend following a shock home defeat to relegation–battliing West Ham United in the Premier League.
The loss to West Ham marked a third consecutive defeat for Thomas Frank's team and extended their winless run to five matches overall. They have both scored and conceded in four of those.
Borussia Dortmund are level with PSG at the top of the Champions League scoring charts this season with 19 goals
Borussia Dortmund surrendered their lead twice, eventually settling for a disappointing 2–2 draw at home against Bodo/Glimt in their last UCL match. They come into this match off the back of a thrilling 3–2 victory against St. Pauli in the Bundesliga, thanks to Emre Can's stoppage-time penalty.
Renowned for their all-out attacking style, Niko Kovač's team have been virtually unstoppable in the final third. They have averaged three goals per game in their last three domestic fixtures and 3.2 goals across their six Champions League outings. The Black and Yellow have also struggled defensively, conceding in five of their six Champions League matches and their last five away matches.
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Tottenham against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
A. Kinsky
B. Austin
DefenderJ. Byfield
M. Hardy
J. Rowswell
MidfielderC. Olusesi
ForwardR. Kolo Muani
Y. Akhamrich
D. Scarlett
L. Williams-Barnet
T. Thompson
S. Ostrzinski
A. Meyer
DefenderF. Mane
N. Sule
MidfielderE. Can
C. Chukwuemeka
A. Anselmino
ForwardF. Silva
M. Beier
J. Duranville
J. Ryerson
Missing players
B. Davies
M. van de Ven
MidfielderJ. Maddison
R. Bentancur
D. Kulusevski
M. Kudus
ForwardRicharlison
Tottenham & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis
Ben Davies exited the West Ham match on a stretcher, joining Spurs' growing injury list featuring Richarlison, Mohammed Kudus, Rodrigo Bentacur, James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski. Micky van de Ven is also out, but due to suspension. Categorically, Thomas Frank has a good count of creative attackers to cover for the aforementioned absentees.
Leading the list is Xavi Simons, who has a goal and an assist in the competition, and boasts elite numbers for progressive carries, assists, tackles, blocks, and interceptions in Europe. Wilson Odobert found the net in the team's 4–0 victory over FC Copenhagen, and is available for the clash. Randal Kolo Muani has made light of his cameos in the competition with 4 G/A and is now in contention to replace Richarlison in the No. 9 role.
Jobe Bellingham, 20, has recorded 96% passing accuracy – an elite mark for his level – in his 305 Champions League minutes for Borussia Dortmund
Niko Kovač has alternated between Niklas Süle and Emre Can at right-back after Aaron Anselmino's injury, with either of the pair expected to start on Tuesday.
Jobe Bellingham has remained Kovač's priority option for Marcel Sabitzer, who is down with a calf issue. Tottenham will also have to keep an eye on attacking trio – Felix Nmecha, Serhou Guirassy, and Julian Brandt – who have contributed nine of the team's 19 Champions League goals.
Most goals and assists
Tottenham
Borussia Dortmund
R. Kolo Muani
(4 Goals)
S. Guirassy
(4 Goals)
P. Porro
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Romero
(2 Assists)
,
R. Kolo Muani
(2 Assists)
,
W. Odobert
(2 Assists)
S. Guirassy
(3 Assists)
Tottenham - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Tottenham Hotspur have both scored and conceded in their last four matches overall.
- All of Tottenham Hotspur’s last four home matches ended with both teams finding the net.
- Borussia Dortmund have both scored and conceded in five of their six Champions League matches.
- Borussia Dortmund’s last five away matches have ended with both teams finding the net.
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Our Tottenham vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Thomas Frank will look to crack the mounting pressure on his job with a strong performance against Dortmund, but will have to keep things tight at the back to stand a chance. Their porous defense has been evidenced in their recent struggles to keep a clean sheet and, categorically, doing so against a free-scoring Dortmund is unlikely.
Interestingly, while Dortmund have been prolific in the attack, they have also had their share of defensive problems in the Champions League – conceding in five of their six Champions League outings. Our Tottenham Hotspur vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is BTTS (Both teams to score).
Tottenham vs Borussia Dortmund Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund's terrific scoring record is worth noting, with all six of their Champions League matches producing not fewer than four goals. Four of Tottenham's last five Champions League matches, including their most recent three domestic fixtures, have ended with over 2.5 goals. With the two teams known for not holding back in the attack and boasting a consistently decent scoring record, we expect Tuesday's clash to produce at least three goals scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tottenham Borussia Dortmund
| Tottenham vs Borussia Dortmund | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins | 2.22 | 2.88 | +29.7% |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.7 | -1.1% |
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 3.37 | 2.62 | -22.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 22.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.7% and is now 38.2% (8.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
