Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
Old hostilities will be renewed as Luciano Spalletti welcomes Jose Mourinho as Juventus host Benfica in a crucial matchday seven fixture on Wednesday. This match between the 17th-placed Old Lady and the 25th-placed Eagles comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
Juventus are only marginally outside the top 16 places but will be wary of the fact that they are only three points ahead of their visitors! Benfica are the first team outside the top 24, and a loss here could make their chances of qualification complicated for the final matchday fixtures.
These two sides have history in this competition, and it's Benfica who have an upper hand. Nevertheless, the Old Lady will hope to change the script in front of their fans. Jose Mourinho will gun for revenge and underline his credentials as one of the master tacticians when he comes to big games. Who will come out with full points? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Juventus v Benfica Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.72 | 3.8 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.9 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.76 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.9 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Juventus and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/01/2026 between Juventus and Benfica Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.28% for a win of Juventus against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 1.75 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon is 15.95% with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Juventus with odds of 5.6 at Tonybet.
Juventus - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Juventus Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus wins | 47.28% | 1.75 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.4% | 1.96 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.21% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Juventus/Juventus | 19.57% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Juventus and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 |
|
24
|
9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 |
Juventus and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
12 Jan 2026 - Serie A
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
2 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Oct 2022 - Champions League
14 Sept 2022 - Champions League
28 Jul 2018 - International Champions Cup
Juventus - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
Juventus have nine points from their six league games this season (W2, D3, L1), but recent results are encouraging. After starting the season with three draws from their first four matchdays (D3, L1), Juventus posted back-to-back wins over Bodoe/Glimt (3-2) and Pafos (2-0).
The Italian giants were beaten 1-0 away at Cagliari at the weekend, which ended their seven-game unbeaten run in all competitions (W6, D1). With this being his first Champions League game in charge of Juventus, Spalletti will hope for a positive impact.
Juventus lost seven of their last nine matches against Benfica (W1, D1).
That should boost Benfica's hopes, with the visitors also coming off back-to-back wins in this competition. After starting with four defeats in a row, three without scoring, the Eagles soared high with wins against Ajax and Napoli, both by a 2-0 score.
Benfica are coming off a 2-0 away win at Rio Ave in the domestic cup competition at the weekend. That result ended a two-game losing sequence, while their away form remained pristine. Benfica have won seven of their last nine away matches in all competitions (D1, L1) coming into this trip.
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Juventus against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Pinsoglio
M. Perin
DefenderJ. Rouhi
J. Cabal
F. Gatti
J. Mario
MidfielderV. Adzic
T. Koopmeiners
E. Zhegrova
ForwardF. Conceicao
F. Kostic
L. Openda
D. Ferreira
DefenderJ. Neto
A. Silva
G. Oliveira
D. Banjaqui
MidfielderE. Barrenechea
M. Silva
F. Ivanovic
D. Prioste
ForwardJ. Rego
R. Rego
Bruma
Missing players
D. Rugani
MidfielderJ. Boga
ForwardA. Milik
D. Vlahovic
Juventus & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Juventus are set to miss their usual absentees, including Arkadiusz Milik, Daniele Rugani, and Dusan Vlahovic. The hosts don't have any other major injury absences as they chase crucial points here.
Spalletti usually lined up his teams in 4-2-3-1 formations with the energy provided by the wingers. That would leave Jonathan David as the lone striker up ahead, but his form has shown enough confidence for the home fans to hope for another year.
David has two goals and an assist from his last three matches.
Richard Rios is out of contention for Benfica, who continues to miss a larger pool of players. The likes of Alexander Bah, Nuno Felix, and Samuel Soares, among others, are already out of this game on the injured list.
The Portuguese visitors are also likely to stick to their combination of 4-2-3-1, which could make this an interesting game. Their lone striker could be the red-hot Vangelis Pavlidis, who comes here on the back of eight goals in his last seven competitive matches for the club.
Most goals and assists
Juventus
Benfica Lisbon
W. McKennie
(4 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(2 Goals)
, 
L. Barreiro
(2 Goals)
, 
A. Schjelderup
(2 Goals)
P. Kalulu
(2 Assists)
, 
K. Yildiz
(2 Assists)
G. Sudakov
(2 Assists)
,
V. Pavlidis
(2 Assists)
Juventus - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Three of Juventus’ last four Champions League matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- In five of Juventus’ last eight home matches in all competitions, fewer than three goals were scored.
- Five of Juve’s last eight competitive games returned two or fewer goals.
- Six of Benfica’s last ten competitive matches have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- Benfica saw under 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five Champions League games.
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Our Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
This is a big game for new Juventus coach Luciano Spalletti, who is bidding to take Juventus deeper in this competition. The Old Lady are only narrowly out of the top 16, but a win here could change the complexion. On the other hand, Benfica travel here staring at the top-24 teams from the outside. The Portuguese visitors were heading to the basement when they started this campaign with four successive defeats, but back-to-back wins have got them back on track.
This could be a tight game nevertheless, and our Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon Alternative Predictions
Benfica wins
Benfica wins. Jose Mourinho loves plotting the fall of a big team, and Benfica fans would love that to be Juventus here. Considering their strong record against Juventus – Benfica won seven of their last nine matches against the Italians – the visitors could fancy getting full points on this trip.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Juventus Benfica Lisbon
| Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus wins | 1.84 | 1.75 | -4.9% |
| Draw | 3.84 | 3.95 | +2.9% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 4.77 | 5.6 | +17.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Juventus is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.3% and is now 57.1% (2.8%)
Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon - FAQs
The Juventus vs Benfica Lisbon UEFA Champions League match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 4 in the UK and Ireland. Fans can stream this clash live on Paramount+.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
