Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
St James’ Park couldn’t have asked for a bigger fixture than this, as Newcastle United host Barcelona on matchday one in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League. This match on Thursday is likely to be an exciting game between the Magpies and the Catalans with BTTS and over 2.5 as our prediction. With so many impressive scorers and personalities in both the teams set to take the field, this could be a great chance for the home fans to enjoy European action.
Newcastle missed European football last year but are back in the top continental competition. While they would have wanted a better preparation than going through the Alexander Isak saga in the summer, there’s hunger in the squad to prove their worth on the big stage.
The Barcelona squad needs no introduction, as the big guns from the Spanish side are likely to go for goals. The Catalans found their scoring shoes last weekend, and with the tactical genius Hansi Flick at the helm, they are set to go for goals. Are we in for a Champions League classic this week in Newcastle? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.7 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.75 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.6 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.8 | 2.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Barcelona match is: BTTS and over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/09/2025 between Newcastle and Barcelona in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.11% for a win of Newcastle against Barcelona with odds of 3.12 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Barcelona is 22.66% with odds of 3.9 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Newcastle with odds of 2.4 at Bet365.
Newcastle vs Barcelona Form
Newcastle and Barcelona's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|
8
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Newcastle and Barcelona Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2025 - Champions League
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Newcastle - Barcelona: Form Analysis
Newcastle defeated Wolves 1-0 at home last weekend in the Premier League for their first victory of the season. That result was preceded by two draws and one loss. That defeat was a 3-2 reverse against Liverpool at this venue, although that match was decided by a last-gasp late winner conceded deep into stoppage time.
When the Magpies last played in the Champions League, they finished fourth in their group. They finished with three defeats (W1, D2, L3), and two of those losses have come at this venue.
Newcastle won only one of their last eight matches in Europe (D3, L4).
Barcelona travel here with three wins and one draw from their four league matches. The latest of those games was a 6-0 home victory over Valencia, making it 13 goals over those four games.
The Catalans were beaten semi-finalists last season when they lost to Inter Milan. They had six wins out of eight League phase matches last year in the Champions League, scoring 28 goals in those fixtures.
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Newcastle vs Barcelona last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Ramsey
Y. Wissa
M. Ter Stegen
DefenderA. Balde
MidfielderGavi
F. De Jong
Newcastle & Barcelona Squad Analysis
Jacob Ramsey is the only confirmed absentee for Newcastle, while their latest signing, Yoane Wissa, is yet to be fully fit after sustaining an injury on international duty. The hosts will have high hopes for another summer signing, Nick Woltemade, who scored his debut club goal at the weekend.
The lanky German is likely to lead their line in a 4-3-3 formation with the slick Sandro Tonali is pulling the strings in the midfield, starting right behind him. The mood of home fans could be lifted with the runs of Joelinton and Bruno Guimaraes on the flanks.
Lamine Yamal is doubtful for Barcelona after missing last weekend.
He missed their last weekend’s win over Valencia and could continue to be out of action here. Also doubtful is the midfield maestro Frenkie de Jong. With Robert Lewandowski and Raphinha playing from the bench in their last match, he could be well-rested and ready for an impact.
The 4-2-3-1 formation for the visitors is likely to be led by Robert Lewandowski, who scored a brace coming off the bench in their last game. Keep an eye on Barcelona’s loanee from Manchester United, Marcus Rashford, who has eight goals in 11 career starts against the Magpies (five goals and three assists).
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Barcelona
B. Guimaraes
(1 Goals)
, 
W. Osula
(1 Goals)
, 
N. Woltemade
(1 Goals)
Raphinha
(3 Goals)
T. Livramento
(1 Assists)
,
J. Murphy
(1 Assists)
L. Yamal
(2 Assists)
Newcastle - Barcelona Key Points
- Three of Barcelona’s last four matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- Four of Barcelona’s last five Champions League matches have seen both teams score and over three goals scored.
- Seven of Barcelona’s away matches in the Champions League have also produced at least three goals and BTTS.
- Five of Newcastle’s last eight home matches in all competitions saw at least three goals scored.
- Newcastle failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five Champions League matches, played in 2023.
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Our Newcastle vs Barcelona Prediction
There was an instant improvement last weekend in the mood at St James’ Park when Newcastle won against Wolves. Barcelona are definitely a stronger opponent than that, and it would take a lot to compete, but the Magpies will be a confident lot. The Catalans travel here on the back of finding their scoring shoes against Valencia. With Hansi Flick’s side usually part of heavy-scoring games, expect entertainment here.
Teams are likely to give their all for goals, and that’s why our Newcastle vs Barcelona prediction is BTTS and over 2.5.
Newcastle vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions
Raphinha to score anytime
Raphinha has to be one of the most transformed players over the last season or so. He scored 13 and assisted nine more in 14 games for Barcelona in the Champions League last season. The Brazilian will look to add to that tally here and comes here after scoring a brace against Valencia in a second-half cameo. Expect him to start and get on the scoreboard.
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Newcastle vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions
The Newcastle vs Barcelona UEFA Champions League match is set to be broadcast live in the UK on TNT Sports 1. Subscribers can also hook on to the contest live online through the Discovery+ app and the website. In Spain, the official broadcasters are Telefonica and RTVE.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
Let’s start with Newcastle. After this round, they are going to face Union Saint-Gilloise (away), Benfica (home), Athletic Bilbao (home), Marseille (away), Bayer Leverkusen (away), PSV Eindhoven (home), and Paris Saint-Germain (away).
Barcelona’s fixtures are the ones we shall look at now. The visitors will next face – after this round – in that order – Paris Saint-Germain (home), Olympiacos (home), Club Brugge (away), Chelsea (away), Eintracht Frankfurt (away), Slavia Prague (away), and Copenhagen (home).
This is the second season for the new format, as 36 teams start the League phase with four matches at home and four on the road. The top eight ranked teams from this phase will receive a bye to the round of 16. The teams ranked from 9th to 24th will play in the knockout phase play-offs. Among these, the teams from 9th to 16th are seeded, while the others are unseeded. Teams that are ranked from 25th to 36th will be eliminated from all eliminations, as no drop-down to the Europa League is on offer for the teams.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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