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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Toronto Predictions
Alex Michelsen looks to end a losing run of three matches. The 22nd seed takes on qualifier Tomas Barrios Vera in round two of the ATP Masters tournament in Toronto. Here's our match prediction.
The 20-year-old is 33rd in the live rankings. He has a bit of work to do to ensure a seeding at next month's US Open. Last week saw him lose in his first match, going down in two sets to Daniel Evans in Washington.
That followed a couple of grass court losses, though he did reach the Mallorca semi-final. Michelsen received a bye in round one of this tournament. The winner of this match will play either unseeded Reilly Opelka or 16th seed Tomas Machac in the last 16.
Michelsen has won 11 of his 20 hard court matches played this year. He's reached one semi-final, a quarter-final and got to the last 16 in the Australian Open.
Tomas Barrios Vera has already won two matches this week. One was in the qualifying rounds and the Chilean then defeated Gaels Monfils in three sets in round one. He's now 132nd in the live rankings.
He mainly plays on clay and before this week had not won a match in an ATP Tour hard court tournament this year. We tip Michelsen to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera v Alex Michelsen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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4.5 | 1.2 |
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4.2 | 1.22 |
|
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4.25 | 1.22 |
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|
4.5 | 1.18 |
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4.4 | 1.22 |
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Who will win the Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Alex Michelsen Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Alex Michelsen match is: Alex Michelsen to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Alex Michelsen game on 29/07/2025 of the current ATP Toronto season:
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has a 36.41% chance to win against Alex Michelsen according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 4.7.
- Alex Michelsen has a 63.59% probability of winning facing Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera ⭐ with odds of 1.22 at William Hill.
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Alex Michelsen Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has a 36.41 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera | 36.41 % |
| Alex Michelsen | 63.59 % |
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Alex Michelsen Form
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera and Alex Michelsen Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
27 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
26 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
21 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
10 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
8 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
22 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
27 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
26 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
25 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
20 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alex Michelsen Key Points
- Vera is 99 plaes below his opponent in the live rankings.
- This is the first time in 2025 that Vera has got past round one of an ATP Tour event.
- Before this week, Vera had not won a main draw hard court match in 2025.
- Michelsen has reached one hard court semi-final this year.
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Our Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Alex Michelsen Prediction
Alex Michelsen has a good opportunity to win his first ever match in the Canadian Open. It's only his second appearance and he has had some good runs in ATP Tour hard court tournaments this year.
He faces Tomas Barrios Vera who is far more at home on clay than this surface. This is only his sixth hard court match in 2025. He did beat Gael Monfils in round one though, so Michelsen cannot be complacent. Our prediction for Tomas Barrios Vera v Alex Michelsen is Alex Michelsen to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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