Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Matthew Newman | in NBA Predictions
The 15-15 Golden State Warriors will host the 12-19 Dallas Mavericks on Christmas Day for a Western Conference matchup in the NBA. The Warriors are 8th in the West ahead of our prediction on the game with their visitors in 11th.
Home cooking has been good for the Warriors, 9-4 at the Chase Center. Those four losses have come in their last eight here, though they have won their last two against the Phoenix Suns and the Orlando Magic.
The Magic have not been great on the road but they are currently the six seed in the East, on top of the Southeast Division, so a winning margin of 23 has to go down as a positive ahead of their Christmas fixture.
Dallas arrives off the back of a narrow win over the Denver Nuggets. They have lost four straight on the road, however, with an overall record of just 3-9 when they have been on their travels.
One of those three wins came in Washington who have the worst record in the NBA, the other two at the Clippers and the Nuggets. The latter was a good showing and having beaten them last time out, they appear to be Denver’s bogey team.
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The Best Betting Odds for Golden State Warriors v Dallas Mavericks Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.31 | 3.6 |
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1.3 | 3.5 |
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1.28 | 3.85 |
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1.3 | 3.4 |
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1.28 | 3.5 |
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Who will win the Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks match is: Golden State Warriors -5.5 alternative spread
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks game on 25/12/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Golden State Warriors has a 58.28% chance to pick up the win against Dallas Mavericks according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.52.
- There is a probability of 41.72% ⭐ for Dallas Mavericks to win vs Golden State Warriors with odds of 3.85 at Unibet.
Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Form
Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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8
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0.516 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 3 |
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11
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0.375 | 32 | 12 | 20 | -1 |
Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
18 Dec 2025 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Dec 2025 - NBA
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
23 Dec 2025 - NBA
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12 Dec 2025 - NBA
6 Dec 2025 - NBA
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22 Nov 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
22 Dec 2025 - NBA
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29 Nov 2025 - NBA
Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Golden State Warriors - Dallas Mavericks Key Points
- Golden State are 5-1 against teams from the Southwest division this season.
- Dallas’s last three road losses have come by six, seven and seven points.
- The Warriors are just 6-5 ATS as home favourite so an alternative spread is worth investigating.
- The Mavs are just 1-3 against Pacific teams so far.
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Our Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.