Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

USA - NBA

Golden State Warriors
25/12/2025 17:00
Dallas Mavericks

Prediction :

 

Golden State Warriors -5.5 alternative spread

 
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 by Matthew Newman | in NBA Predictions

The 15-15 Golden State Warriors will host the 12-19 Dallas Mavericks on Christmas Day for a Western Conference matchup in the NBA. The Warriors are 8th in the West ahead of our prediction on the game with their visitors in 11th.

Home cooking has been good for the Warriors, 9-4 at the Chase Center. Those four losses have come in their last eight here, though they have won their last two against the Phoenix Suns and the Orlando Magic.

The Magic have not been great on the road but they are currently the six seed in the East, on top of the Southeast Division, so a winning margin of 23 has to go down as a positive ahead of their Christmas fixture.

Dallas arrives off the back of a narrow win over the Denver Nuggets. They have lost four straight on the road, however, with an overall record of just 3-9 when they have been on their travels. 

One of those three wins came in Washington who have the worst record in the NBA, the other two at the Clippers and the Nuggets. The latter was a good showing and having beaten them last time out, they appear to be Denver’s bogey team.

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The Best Betting Odds for Golden State Warriors v Dallas Mavericks Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.31 3.6
William Hill
1.3 3.5
Unibet
1.28 3.85
Betway
1.3 3.4
Ladbrokes
1.28 3.5
Check all Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks odds

Who will win the Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks match is: Golden State Warriors -5.5 alternative spread

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks game on 25/12/2025 of the current NBA season:

  • Golden State Warriors has a 58.28% chance to pick up the win against Dallas Mavericks according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.52.
  • There is a probability of 41.72% ⭐ for Dallas Mavericks to win vs Golden State Warriors with odds of 3.85 at Unibet.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Form

Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks's standings in the NBA

Teams % P W L Series
8
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
0.516 31 16 15 3
11
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
0.375 32 12 20 -1

Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks Last Matches

Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors Last matches
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

22 Dec 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
120 :  97
Orlando Magic

20 Dec 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
119 :  116
Phoenix Suns

18 Dec 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
99 :  98
Golden State Warriors

14 Dec 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
136 :  131
Golden State Warriors

12 Dec 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
120 :  127
Minnesota Timberwolves

7 Dec 2025 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
91 :  123
Golden State Warriors
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

22 Dec 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
120 :  97
Orlando Magic

20 Dec 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
119 :  116
Phoenix Suns

12 Dec 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
120 :  127
Minnesota Timberwolves

2 Dec 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
112 :  124
Oklahoma City Thunder

29 Nov 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
104 :  96
New Orleans Pelicans

26 Nov 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
100 :  104
Houston Rockets
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

18 Dec 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
99 :  98
Golden State Warriors

14 Dec 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
136 :  131
Golden State Warriors

7 Dec 2025 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
91 :  123
Golden State Warriors

6 Dec 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
94 :  99
Golden State Warriors

4 Dec 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
99 :  98
Golden State Warriors

19 Nov 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
110 :  96
Golden State Warriors
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks Last matches
W L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

23 Dec 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
131 :  130
Denver Nuggets

22 Dec 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
119 :  113
Dallas Mavericks

20 Dec 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
121 :  114
Dallas Mavericks

18 Dec 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
116 :  114
Detroit Pistons

15 Dec 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
140 :  133
Dallas Mavericks

12 Dec 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
119 :  111
Brooklyn Nets
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

23 Dec 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
131 :  130
Denver Nuggets

18 Dec 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
116 :  114
Detroit Pistons

12 Dec 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
119 :  111
Brooklyn Nets

6 Dec 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
122 :  109
Houston Rockets

3 Dec 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
118 :  108
Miami Heat

22 Nov 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
96 :  102
Memphis Grizzlies
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

22 Dec 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
119 :  113
Dallas Mavericks

20 Dec 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
121 :  114
Dallas Mavericks

15 Dec 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
140 :  133
Dallas Mavericks

5 Dec 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
132 :  111
Dallas Mavericks

1 Dec 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  131
Dallas Mavericks

29 Nov 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
110 :  114
Dallas Mavericks

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Golden State Warriors

50 %

Dallas Mavericks

50 %

23 Feb 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
126 :  102
Dallas Mavericks

12 Feb 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
111 :  107
Golden State Warriors

15 Dec 2024 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
133 :  143
Dallas Mavericks

12 Nov 2024 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
120 :  117
Dallas Mavericks

5 Apr 2024 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
108 :  106
Golden State Warriors

2 Apr 2024 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
104 :  100
Dallas Mavericks

Golden State Warriors - Dallas Mavericks Key Points

  1. Golden State are 5-1 against teams from the Southwest division this season.
  2. Dallas’s last three road losses have come by six, seven and seven points.
  3. The Warriors are just 6-5 ATS as home favourite so an alternative spread is worth investigating.
  4. The Mavs are just 1-3 against Pacific teams so far.
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Our Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

This is the third and final game of a home stand for the Warriors, 2-0 so far. Their wide-margin win over the Orlando Magic in their most recent outing was one of their better performances of the season and should give them plenty of confidence going in. They have an extra day of rest over their opponents, 5-3 this season when they have had a rest advantage with the Mavs 1-4 with a rest disadvantage. The Warriors are a little short on the money line but equally an 8.5 spread is a touch too big, so our Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks prediction is the Warriors -5.5 on the alternative spread.

Prediction :

 

Golden State Warriors -5.5 alternative spread

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction