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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Toronto Predictions
Ninth seed Alex de Minaur takes on Frances Tiafoe (seeded seventh) for a place in the ATP Toronto quarter-finals. Can de Minaur continue his good form in this outdoor hard court Masters tournament? Read our match prediction below.
This tournament was last played in Toronto two years ago and de Minaur reached the final on that occasion. He’s only had to play one match so far in this tournament. That was a straight sets win over Francisco Comesana.
He received a walkover in round three after Chris O’Connell withdrew. July saw de Minaur win the hard court tournament played in Washington. Earlier this year he was the runner-up in Rotterdam. The Australian is up to seventh in the live rankings.
This is the fifth match between these two players and de Minaur leads 3-1. All matches were played on hard courts but only one was played this decade.
Frances Tiafoe had a tough battle in the last round. The American needed three sets to get past unseeded Aleksandar Vukic. That was the second set he’s dropped in as many matches. He’s 13th in the live rankings.
A win over de Minaur will take the 27-year-old into his second successive hard court quarter-final. However, we tip de Minaur to get the win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Frances Tiafoe v Alex De Minaur Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.2 | 1.33 |
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3.4 | 1.32 |
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Who will win the Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alex de Minaur to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur game on 03/08/2025 of the current ATP Toronto season:
- Frances Tiafoe has a 42.31% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.55.
- Alex De Minaur has a 57.69% probability of winning facing Frances Tiafoe ⭐ with odds of 1.34 at 22bet.
Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Frances Tiafoe has a 42.31 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 42.31 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 57.69 % |
Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur Form
Frances Tiafoe and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
25 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
24 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
27 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
26 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
25 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
24 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
3 Nov 2022 - Rolex Paris Masters
Frances Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- De Minaur has won three of his four matches against Tiafoe.
- Tiafoe has dropped a set in both of his matches in this tournament.
- De Minaur won the recent hard court tournament played in Washington.
- Only seven players have earned more ranking points than de Minaur this year.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Alex de Minaur has continued the good form shown when winning the Washington title. He’s only had to play one match so far in Toronto, so he should be the fresher of these two players. He is the favorite to progress to a quarter-final against either Flavio Cobolli or Ben Shelton.
Frances Tiafoe has struggled so far in this tournament, dropping a set in each of his two matches. He has only won one of his previous four matches against de Minaur. Our Alex de Minaur v Frances Tiafoe prediction is Alex de Minaur to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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