Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Prediction & Betting Tips - Rolex Paris Masters
ATP - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rolex Paris Masters Predictions
Second seed Jannik Sinner had never made it past round three of the Paris Masters until this week. Sunday sees him in the final of this indoor hard court tournament as he faces the ninth-seeded Felix Auger-Aliassime. Here's our match prediction.
It's a big match for Sinner because he's not just trying to win his first Paris Masters title. Lifting the trophy will see him again become world number one, replacing Carlos Alcaraz who lost in round two of this tournament. Sinner has made it to this final without dropping a set.
This is also a very important match for Felix Auger-Aliassime for two big reasons. The Canadian has never won an ATP Tour Masters event. He's also eighth in the ATP Live Race and a win on Sunday will take him into the Tour Finals. Not winning the title will mean an anxious wait to see if ninth-placed Lorenzo Musetti can take his qualifying place by winning the ATP Tour event in Athens.
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The Best Betting Odds for Felix Auger Aliassime v Jannik Sinner Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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7 | 1.1 |
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8.5 | 1.1 |
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|
7 | 1.1 |
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7 | 1.09 |
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6.2 | 1.05 |
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Who will win the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner match is: Sinner wins on -4.5 games handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner game on 02/11/2025 of the current Rolex Paris Masters season:
- Felix Auger Aliassime has a 31.92% chance to win against Jannik Sinner according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 8.5.
- Jannik Sinner has a 68.08% probability of winning facing Felix Auger Aliassime ⭐ with odds of 1.11 at Melbet.
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Felix Auger Aliassime has a 31.92 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 31.92 % |
| Jannik Sinner | 68.08 % |
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Form
Felix Auger Aliassime and Jannik Sinner Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Nov 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
31 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
24 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
1 Nov 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
31 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
26 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
25 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
5 Sept 2025 - ATP US Open
14 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
2 May 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
5 May 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Felix Auger Aliassime - Jannik Sinner: Form Analysis
Jannik Sinner has won 33 of his 36 hard court matches played in 2025. Of that impressive tally, nine have been played on indoor hard courts and the Italian has won all of them. Saturday saw him demolish third-seeded Alexander Zverev, losing just one game.
Sinner is yet to drop a set this week.
That was his fourth successive straight sets win this week. Only in one of the eight sets he's played has his opponent won more than three games. Sinner won the Erste Open in Vienna last week and has now won 15 of his last 16 matches, the only loss coming when retiring against Tallon Griekspoor.
There have been four previous matches between Sinner and Auger-Aliassime. They are level at 2-2 but Sinner leads 2-1 on hard courts. Sinner's two wins both came in the second half of this year with victories in Cincinnati and the US Open.
Sinner has played just over four hours in Paris this week. However, Felix Auger-Aliassime has taken nearly ten-and-a-half hours to reach his second Masters final and first on this surface. Saturday saw him beat Alexander Bublik in straight sets, Each of his first three matches went to a decider.
Auger-Aliassime has also been ultra-consistent in 2025. He has won three titles (all on hard courts), most recently the European Open. He's won 11 of his last 12 matches and his only loss was via a retirement.
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Felix Auger Aliassime & Jannik Sinner Squad Analysis
Felix Auger Aliassime - Jannik Sinner Key Points
- All four of Sinner's wins this week would have still won on a -4.5 games handicap.
- Sinnner's last two wins over Auger-Aliassime would have covered this handicap.
- Sinner has only lost seven games in his last two matches.
- Auger-Aliassime has won five matches this week but would have lost four on a -4.5 handicap.
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Prediction
Three times this week Felix Auger-Aliassime has lost the first set of a match. He fought back to win on each occasion but can't afford to make a slow start in this Paris Masters final against Jannik Sinner. The Italian will again become world number one if he wins this final.
No sets have been lost by Sinner this week with just one game lost in his semi-final. August 2025 saw him beat Auger-Aliassime for the loss of two games. Our main Felix Auger-Aliassime v Jannik Sinner prediction is Sinner wins on -4.5 games handicap.
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 9.5 games in first set
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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
