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29 November 2022 - 10:00 

- Day 3

World - World Cup

Ecuador Senegal
Ecuador
Ecuador
VS
Senegal
Senegal

Tip :

Under 2.5

Odds : 1.53

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Ecuador vs Senegal Predictions & Betting Tips (World Cup)

 by Daniel Ngulu |

Senegal and Ecuador have everything to play for as the 2022 FIFA World Cup enters match day 3, with each of the top three teams in the group having a chance at advancing to the Round of 16. For these two sides, this game at the Khalifa International Stadium on Tuesday will be the decider. Ecuador enter the match with four points which puts them even with leaders the Netherlands, while Senegal currently sit in third-place with three points. Senegal, who beat hosts Qatar in their last game, will definitely see themselves qualify for the round of 16 with a win today. A draw could also see them through should the Netherlands lose to Qatar and Senegal best them on the subsequent goal differential and head-to-head scenarios that would apply.  A Senegal win coupled with a Netherlands draw or loss will see the Lions of Teranga top the group. For Ecuador, a win or a draw against Senegal guarantees them progress through to the knockout stages. A loss for Ecuador would see them needing a Netherlands loss and superior goal differential tiebreaker to qualify. Should Ecuador and the Dutch both win, the group winner will be decided on goal differential and goals scored – should this also be the same, then fair play points (team with the lower yellow / red card count) would decide the winner between the two.

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The best odds for betting

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.45 3 3.25
1xbet
2.5 3.06 3.31
Vbet
2.46 3.27 3.2
Betobet
2.5 3.05 3.2
Shangrila
2.47 3.1 3.1
See all Ecuador vs Senegal odds Welcome Bonus 

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Ecuador held their own well against the Netherlands, rising from a goal down to draw and keep their unbeaten run going and it is little wonder they are billed favorites going into this game. The bookmakers are offering best bets for an Ecuador win at 2.37, while Senegal come in with odds of 3.2 for a win and a draw is offered at 3.32.

Form

Ranking

3e
Ecuador
World Cup Group A
2e
Senegal

Last matches

Ecuador
Ecuador Last matches
W D D D W D

25 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Netherlands
1 :  1
Ecuador

20 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Qatar
0 :  2
Ecuador

12 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
0 :  0
Iraq

27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Japan
0 :  0
Ecuador

23 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

11 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
1 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.
Senegal
Senegal Last matches
L D W D L W

25 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Qatar
1 :  3
Senegal

21 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Senegal
0 :  2
Netherlands

27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Senegal
1 :  1
Iran

24 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Senegal
2 :  0
Bolivia

17 Jul 2022 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
1 :  1
Senegal

15 Jul 2022 - COSAFA Cup

Zambia
4 :  3
Senegal

Form Analysis

Ecuador are one of the dark horses of this competition and will take a lot of credit for a mature performance against the Netherlands in their second game, which ended 1-1. They conceded very early in the game but did not panic, until goal-poacher Enner Valencia grabbed the equalizer following moments of sustained pressure on the Dutch. They even had decent openings to win the game but in the end a draw was fair for both sides. That result means Ecuador have now gone undefeated in their last nine matches and they have an impressive seven clean sheets in that run. That goal conceded against the Netherlands was the first they let in inside eight matches but they will want to look more at the gem that Valencia is. The experienced forward has scored all their goals (six) in the last five World Cup matches. Ecuador come into this game unbeaten in four World Cup matches. Ecuador’s last nine matches have all produced under 2.5 goals and it is partly due to their own inadequacies in attack, having scored more than a goal in just two of the last 15 matches. Excluding friendly matches, Ecuador have posted three wins in their last 10 matches, kept four clean sheets and eight of them posted under 2.5 goals. Senegal on the other hand, will be looking to build on their 3-1 win over hosts Qatar, as they recovered from the 2-0 loss to the Netherlands, which remains their second defeat in 10 matches. The win over Qatar was their 10th in 16 matches but they have two clean sheets only in the last five games. Excluding friendly and non-FIFA matches, Senegal have suffered just two wins, and won seven of the last 10, keeping four clean sheets and six of them ending in under 2.5 goals. One area to work on for Senegal is their concentration especially in the second half. They have conceded six goals in the second half in the last 10 games. In their opening two matches at this competition, they conceded three goals, all coming in the second half and they now have no clean sheet in their last nine World Cup matches. On a more positive angle, they’ve only failed to score in three of their last 10 World Cup matches.

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Starting 11

Ecuador

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

1
H Galindez
25
J Porozo
2
F Torres
3
P Hincapie
7
P Estupinan
5
J Cifuentes
16
J Sarmiento
23
M Caicedo
19
G Plata
24
D Reasco
13
E Valencia
18
I Sarr
4
P Abou Cisse
20
B Dieng
26
P Alassane Gueye
5
I Gueye
6
N Mendy
14
I Jakobs
22
A Diallo
3
K Koulibaly
21
Y Sabaly
16
E Mendy

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

Senegal

Missing players

Ecuador
Ecuador
Midfielder M Caicedo
Senegal
Senegal
Midfielder C Kouyate

Squad analysis

Both these nations have injury worries for key players. In the last two matches, Ecuador had to withdraw skipper Enner Valencia with indication of a knee injury. Just as it was in the first game, the striker had ice on his knee after he was unable to continue in the final stages of the Netherlands game. He is a doubt for this game, but Ecuador haven’t indicated that it is serious enough to rule him out. The man who has scored all the goals in Ecuador’s last five World Cup matches is not an ordinary player and the South Americans will be praying the knee injury isn’t serious. As for Senegal, the big boost they had for the last game was defender Abdou Diallo being declared fit for the match after his substitution in the first. He lasted the entire game against Qatar and will definitely vie for a starting berth. Senegal will however be deprived of the services of Crystal Palace midfielder Cheikhou Kouyate who was injured in the opening game. The African champions will miss his versatile qualities that enable him to provide cover at the back while at the same time offering a threat in attack. No player is suspended for this game, and the West Africans should go into this game in good health.

Ecuador - Senegal key points

  1. Senegal have scored more than a goal in one of their last five matches.
  2. Six of Senegal’s last 10 competitive matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
  3. Eight of Ecuador’s last 10 competitive matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
  4. Each of Ecuador’s last nine matches have ended in under 2.5 goals.
  5. Ecuador have scored more than a goal in just two of their last 15 matches.
  6. Ecuador have seven clean sheets in the last nine matches.
  7. Senegal have conceded more than a goal in one of their last five matches.
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Our Ecuador vs Senegal prediction

Senegal boosted their chances of advancing by beating Qatar and they have to do it all over again here. An area of concern for them though, is that they haven’t been scoring a lot of goals. Fortunately, Ecuador are also not high scorers, which points to the possibility of a low scoring game. Go for under 2.5 goals here.

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Other interesting tips

Draw - odds : 3.2 at Bet365

Ecuador will come into this game as the stronger of the two sides, but they will know Senegal badly needs a win so they have to be cautious. They only need a draw to progress and there is a need to protect their key players for the next stage of the competition. As such, they may just play for a draw, which is also a viable bet here.

Both teams to score - No - odds : 1.8 at Bet365

Still sticking with the scoring trends of these two sides, there is a possibility Enner Valencia may miss this game with injury. If he does, the chance of seeing goals in this game diminishes massively, as Senegal aren’t known to be strong in that respect. In this case we can as well bet against both sides scoring.

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Ecuador vs Senegal match : Frequently asked questions

Al Rayyan is expected to be sunny, with 30 degrees the forecast during the Ecuador v Senegal game.

The Ecuador v Senegal game will be aired live on ITV and online at ITVX.

The Ecuador v Senegal game will kick off at 15:00 GMT.

The Ecuador v Senegal game will be played at the Khalifa International Stadium in Al Rayyan.

Ahead of the Ecuador v Senegal game, Ecuador are second in the group with four points following their win over Qatar and a draw with Netherlands in the opening two games. They come into this match knowing a win or a draw sends them through to the next stage. Senegal currently sit third in the group on three points after their 3-1 win over Qatar. The Lions of Teranga will take the mentality that they must win this match in order to qualify, as a Netherlands loss to Qatar is unlikely. 

The referee for the Senegal vs Ecuador match is Clement Turpin. The Frenchman notably oversaw the Read Madrid vs Liverpool Champions League final last season.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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