ATP - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rolex Paris Masters Predictions
For the 22nd time Daniil Medvedev faces Alexander Zverev. Medvedev is seeded 11th in the Paris Masters with his opponent being the third seed. The winner of this quarter-final will face either Jannik Sinner or Ben Shelton in the last four. Here's our match prediction.
Daniil Medvedev is enjoying a strong end to his 2025 season. A semi-final in the Shanghai Masters was followed by a title triumph in Almaty. So far this week, the Russian has played two matches. Thursday saw him come from behind to beat Lorenzo Sonego and is 12th in the live rankings.
Of their previous 21 matches, Medvedev has won 14 and is 11-7 up on hard courts.
Alexander Zverev is attempting to end a run of five straight losses to Medvedev, including two this year, the most recent being in Beijing last month. The German is third in both the live rankings and ATP Race with his Tour Finals place already secured.
Last week saw him lose in the Erste Open final to Jannik Sinner.
Zverev had a tough opening match here, dropping the first set to Camilo Ugo Carabelli. That was followed by a straight sets win over 15th seed Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina. We tip more than 23.5 games in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Daniil Medvedev v Alexander Zverev Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 2 |
|
|
1.73 | 2.1 |
|
|
1.85 | 1.85 |
|
|
1.76 | 2.08 |
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|
1.63 | 1.95 |
|
Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev match is: more than 23.5 games played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev game on 31/10/2025 of the current Rolex Paris Masters season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 60.36% chance to win against Alexander Zverev according to Ladbrokes ⭐ with the odds of 1.85.
- Alexander Zverev has a 39.64% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 2.1 at Betway.
Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 60.36 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 60.36 % |
| Alexander Zverev | 39.64 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Form
Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
19 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
26 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
25 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
29 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
21 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open
26 Jan 2024 - ATP Australian Open
15 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals
3 Oct 2023 - ATP Beijing Open
17 Aug 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev Key Points
- Over three sets, three of the last five matches between these two players have seen more than 23.5 games played.
- More than 23.5 games have been played in seven of Medvedev's last nine matches.
- Four of Zverev's last seven matches have had more than 23.5 games played in them.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Six have been played in the last four matches between Medvedev and Zverev.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
Daniil Medvedev is in his first Paris Masters quarter-final since 2021. He's struggled at times this year but has shown much improved form in recent months. He faces long-term rival Alexander Zverev for a place in the last four.
Zverev was a finalist in Vienna last week but hasn't beaten Medvedev since 2023. There's been several close matches and a side bet on a tie-break being played could produce a dividend. Our main Daniil Medvedev v Alexander Zverev prediction is more than 23.5 games played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
