Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfils Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Gael Monfils begins his final Australian Open campaign. He takes on qualifier Dane Sweeny in round one of this outdoor hard court tournament. Will this be the last singles match for Monfils in this Grand Slam? Read our match prediction below.
A tough second round match against either eighth seed Ben Shelton or Ugo Humbert awaits the winner.
Monfils has announced that this will be his final year on tour. The Frenchman has twice reached the Australian Open quarter-finals. 2025 saw the 39-year-old win 14 of his 23 matches played on this surface. His one match this year saw him lose in three sets to Fabian Marozsan.
He’s currently 162nd in the live rankings, just two places above his opponent. Monfils has dropped over 50 places as he’s defending the points earned when getting to round four here last year.
Dane Sweeny was only three when Monfils made his Grand Slam debut in 2004. The Australian is playing in round one here for only the second time, the other in 2024. He played 104 matches last year, winning 71 on outdoor hard courts winnng eight Challenger Tour titles.
2026 has seen him reach the last eight in Brisbane's ATP Tour event.
We tip more than 3.5 sets in this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Dane Sweeny v Gael Monfils Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.48 | 1.54 |
|
|
2.38 | 1.52 |
|
|
2.5 | 1.56 |
|
|
2.39 | 1.58 |
|
Who will win the Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfils Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfils match is: more than 3.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfils game on 19/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Dane Sweeny has a 60.19% chance to win against Gael Monfils according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.5.
- Gael Monfils has a 39.81% probability of winning facing Dane Sweeny ⭐ with odds of 1.58 at 888Starz.
Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfils Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Dane Sweeny has a 60.19 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | 60.19 % |
| Gael Monfils | 39.81 % |
Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfils Form
Dane Sweeny and Gael Monfils Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
14 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
3 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
2 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
12 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
27 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
22 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Dane Sweeny - Gael Monfils Key Points
- More than 3.5 sets have been played in three of the last four Australian Open matches played by Monfils.
- Sweeny has only played one main draw match in this tournament and more than 3.5 sets were played.
- Monfils has played more than 3.5 sets in each of the last seven Grand Slam matches he has played.
- Both players have won a set in each of the last four matches Monfils has played.
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Our Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfils Prediction
Dane Sweeny is 15 years younger than his opponent, but this could be a close first round match. Sweeny was prolific on the Challenger Tour last year with eight titles. This year has gone well for him on the ATP Tour with a run to the last eight in Brisbane.
Gael Monfils is playing here for the final time. He’s still capable of playing high-class tennis at the age of 39. He has lost nine of his last ten matches though. Our Dane Sweeny v Gael Monflls prediction is more than 3.5 sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
