Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilic Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
It's been eight years since Marin Cilic was the losing finalist in the Australian Open. Wednesday sees him take on 21st seed Denis Shapovalov for a place in round three of this outdoor hard court tournament. Can the veteran win? Time for our match prediction.
Waiting in round three for the winner will be either 12th seed Casper Ruud or unseeded Jaume Munar.
Marin Cilic is in the second round of a Grand Slam for the first time since the 2022 US Open. The 37-year-old has suffered several injuries in recent years missing seven Grand Slams in 2023 and 2024.
Round one this year saw him beat Daniel Altmaier. He won the first two sets without losing a game. He's now 66th in the live rankings. Cilic trails Shapovalov 3-2 in previous meetings. Both of their outdoor hard court matches were won by Shapovalov. This is their first match since 2021.
Denis Shapovalov beat Yunchaokete Bu in straight sets to reach round two, taking his 2026 record to 1-1.
The Canadian (23rd in the live rankings) was a quarter-finalist in Melbourne four years ago. A win will take him into round three of a Grand Slam for the second successive tournament.The 26-year-old won two hard court titles last year. We tip him to beat Cilic.
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Denis Shapovalov v Marin Cilic Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 2.23 |
|
|
1.58 | 2.37 |
|
|
1.67 | 2.2 |
|
|
1.61 | 2.18 |
|
|
1.6 | 2.22 |
|
Who will win the Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilic Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilic match is: Denis Shapovalov wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilic game on 22/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Denis Shapovalov has a 47.63% chance to win against Marin Cilic according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.67.
- Marin Cilic has a 52.37% probability of winning facing Denis Shapovalov ⭐ with odds of 2.37 at Betwinner.
Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilic Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Denis Shapovalov has a 47.63 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | 47.63 % |
| Marin Cilic | 52.37 % |
Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilic Form
Denis Shapovalov and Marin Cilic Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
18 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
7 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
5 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
19 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Denis Shapovalov - Marin Cilic Key Points
- Cilic is 43 places below Shapovalov in the live rankings.
- Cilic has lost both of his hard court matches against Shapovalov.
- Cilic hasn't made it past round two of an outdoor hard court tournament in 11 months.
- Shapovalov won two hard court titles in 2025.
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Our Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilic Prediction
Marin Cilic will be trying to turn the clock back when he faces 21st seed Denis Shapovalov in round two of this Grand Slam. He was the runner-up here eight years ago, taking Roger Federer to five sets. Injuries have blighted his career in recent years.
Denis Shapovalov is the worthy favorite to reach round three. He won a couple of hard court titles last year. The Canadian has won both of his hard court matches against Cilic without losing a set. Our Denis Shapovalov v Marin Cilic prediction is Denis Shapovalov wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
