Roma vs Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions
Roma and Stuttgart will look to move up into the top eight spots of the League Phase of the UEFA Europa League (UEL) when they meet on matchday seven on Thursday. This match in Rome between the tenth-placed Giallorossi and the ninth-placed Reds comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.
Both teams have an identical record (W4, L2) coming into this round, with their 12 points keeping them one point outside the top eight positions. With the race to a direct spot in the round of 16 up for grabs for the winner, there’s enough context in this fixture.
The Italians will look to bank on their superior home record, which is among the best in Europe. That said, Stuttgart have been impressing on the road recently and will look to go toe-to-toe with their famed hosts. Is there a classic awaiting us in Rome with stakes high for both the teams? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Roma v Stuttgart Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.21 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.4 | 3.42 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.48 | 3.32 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.4 | 3.15 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Stuttgart?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Stuttgart match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/01/2026 between Roma and Stuttgart in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.67% for a win of Roma against Stuttgart with odds of 2.26 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Stuttgart is 13.55% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Stuttgart vs Roma with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
Roma - Stuttgart Prediction and Best Odds:
| Roma Stuttgart Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 44.79% | 3.5 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.39% | 1.93 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Stuttgart/Stuttgart | 19.85% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Roma vs Stuttgart Form
Roma and Stuttgart's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 |
|
11
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +6 |
Roma and Stuttgart Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
13 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia
10 Jan 2026 - Serie A
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
29 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia
10 Jan 2026 - Serie A
29 Dec 2025 - Serie A
15 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
Roma - Stuttgart: Form Analysis
Roma won 3-0 away at Celtic on matchday six early last December, which was their third win in a row in the UEL group phase. These wins have helped the Giallorossi bounce back from consecutive defeats on matchdays two and three.
The hosts are coming off a 2-0 away win at Torino last weekend in Serie A, which made it three wins out of their last four competitive games (L1). Roma’s record at Stadio Olimpico adds another layer of intrigue, as they have six wins from their last eight competitive home games.
Roma haven’t drawn any of their last 34 competitive matches (W23, L11).
Stuttgart thrashed Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-1 at home in their last game of this competition. That was also their third win in a row in the League Phase, the other two coming with a clean sheet.
The German visitors drew 1-1 at home against Union Berlin in the Bundesliga at the weekend. That made it six games unbeaten for Stuttgart (W4, D2), and with three of those victories coming on the road, they have enough form to make a match of this trip.
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Roma against Stuttgart Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
P. Gollini
G. De Marzi
DefenderW. Franca
E. Ndicka
G. Mancini
E. Lulli
MidfielderB. Cristante
E. Morucci
P. Dybala
F. Bredlow
F. Hellstern
DefenderM. Herwerth
J. Vagnoman
Y. Spalt
B. Bouanani
L. Penna
C. Olivier
M. Catovic
ForwardE. Demirovic
Missing players
M. Hermoso
MidfielderT. Baldanzi
ForwardA. Dovbyk
D. Zagadou
L. Jaquez
ForwardT. Tomas
L. Jovanovic
Roma & Stuttgart Squad Analysis
Roma are likely to be without defender Mario Hermoso, who hobbled off injured at the weekend. They have a long list of players inactive for this competition and a longer list of absentees, with the likes of Evan Ferguson and Stephan El Shaarawy questionable.
The hosts have usually lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, while their last UEL game saw them fielded in a 3-5-2 system. It could be a challenge to see how they work around the injuries to their forwards, with Paolo Dybala’s experience likely to be key.
Deniz Undav has one goal and three assists in four UEL games this season for Stuttgart.
The visitors have used different formations in the recent weeks, but their most favoured is the 4-2-3-1 system regularly used in this competition. That could give Undav a chance to lead the line and make a difference to the scoreline!
Angelo Stiller is likely to be out for Stuttgart after the midfielder could be assessed late. Lazar Jovanovic, Tiago Tomas, Dan Axel Zagadou and Luca Jaquez are out of this encounter due to injury, while Bilal El Khannouss is also unlikely to feature following his AFCON participation.
Most goals and assists
Roma
Stuttgart
D. Malen
(4 Goals)
B. El Khannouss
(5 Goals)
B. Zaragoza
(4 Assists)
D. Undav
(5 Assists)
Roma - Stuttgart Key Points
- Roma scored 2+ goals in six of their last eight home matches in all competitions.
- Four of Roma’s six Europa League matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- Nine of Stuttgart’s last 12 matches in all competitions have seen three or more goals scored.
- Stuttgart scored 2+ goals in each of their last three UEL games.
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Our Roma vs Stuttgart Prediction
There is plenty to play for in Rome, with both teams boasting an identical record and vying for a spot in the top eight. Roma and Stuttgart have a chance to pencil in their ticket to the next round this week. A strong home record makes Roma heavy favourites to win here and push ahead, but Stuttgart won’t be easy pushovers. This could prove to be an intriguing fixture with goals likely to be the order of the day.
Roma and Stuttgart are set to entertain, so our Roma vs Stuttgart prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Roma vs Stuttgart Alternative Predictions
Roma wins and BTTS
Roma are a strong force at home, which is underlined by a record of six wins from their last eight matches here in all competitions. They have also won each of their last three games in the UEL, which could continue here. That’s likely to continue with both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Stuttgart
| Roma vs Stuttgart | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 1.84 | 2.26 | +22.8% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.7 | +1.4% |
| Stuttgart wins | 4.1 | 3.5 | -14.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stuttgart is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 24.4% and is now 28.6% (4.2%)
Roma vs Stuttgart - FAQs
The Roma vs Stuttgart UEFA Europa League match is set to be shown on TNT Sports 3 in the UK. In Germany, the match is broadcast live by RTL and Sky. For the fans in Italy, Sky Italia is the official broadcaster.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Europa League Livescore page!
This is the first match between these sides.
Roma enjoy hosting German clubs, as they were beaten in just two of their last 11 home games against Bundesliga sides (W7, D2).
Stuttgart don’t boast of a positive record when playing Serie A sides, as the Germans have lost six of their 11 such games (W2, D3).
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
