Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open

ATP - ATP Australian Open

ATP 17 Czech Republic
Jakub Mensik
21/01/2026 19:00
ATP 23 Spain
Rafael Jodar

Prediction :

 

Jakub Mensik wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions

16th seed Jakub Mensik bids to reach the outdoor hard court Australian Open third round for the second successive year. To do so, he must defeat qualifier Rafael Jodar. Will we see a seed knocked out? Read our match prediction below.

Unseeded opposition will be met in round three, either Hubert Hurkacz or Ethan Quinn.

Jakub Mensik had to come from two sets to one to get past Pablo Carrena Busta in round one. The 20-year-old has now won six of his eight matches this year. Last weekend saw him win the outdoor hard court tournament played in Auckland beating Sebastian Baez in the final.

Mensik is 17th in the live rankings, one place below his career-high.

Rafael Jodar is playing in his first Grand Slam tournament. The 19-year-old had to make it through the qualifying rounds. He won three matches with the final qualifier going the distance. Round one saw him beat fellow qualifier Rei Sakamoto in five sets after winning the first two sets.

Jodar has won ten of his 11 matches played in 2026 and was runner-up in the Canberra Challenger Tour event. He's up to a career high 118th in the live rankings. This will be tough and we tip Mensik to win this.

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Jakub Mensik v Rafael Jodar Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.45 2.76
Betwinner
1.53 2.53
Bet365
1.44 2.75
Roobet
1.51 2.4
BC Game
1.51 2.44
Check all Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar odds

Who will win the Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar match is: Jakub Mensik wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar game on 21/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:

  • Jakub Mensik has a 53.04% chance to win against Rafael Jodar according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.55.
  • Rafael Jodar has a 46.96% probability of winning facing Jakub Mensik ⭐ with odds of 2.8 at Tonybet.

Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jakub Mensik has a 53.04 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jakub Mensik53.04 %
Rafael Jodar46.96 %

Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar Form

Jakub Mensik and Rafael Jodar Last Matches

Jakub Mensik Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Jakub Mensik
3 :  0
Rafael Jodar

19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Jakub Mensik
3 :  2
Pablo Carreño-Busta

16 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Jakub Mensik

15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Jakub Mensik
2 :  1
Fabian Marozsan

15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
0 :  2
Jakub Mensik

14 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Hamad Medjedovic
1 :  2
Jakub Mensik
Rafael Jodar Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Jakub Mensik
3 :  0
Rafael Jodar

20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Rei Sakamoto
2 :  3
Rafael Jodar

14 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Luca Van Assche

13 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Chris Rodesch
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar

12 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Li Tu
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar

19 Dec 2025 - Next Gen ATP Finals

Martin Landaluce
0 :  3
Rafael Jodar

Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Jakub Mensik

100 %

Rafael Jodar

0 %

21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Jakub Mensik
3 :  0
Rafael Jodar

Jakub Mensik - Rafael Jodar Key Points

  1. Jodar is 101 places below Mensik in the live rankings.
  2. Mensik won the ATP Tour title in Auckland last weekend.
  3. Mensik is attempting to reach round three of this Grand Slam for a second year in a row.
  4. Jodar is playing in his first Grand Slam.
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Our Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar Prediction

It's been a momentous month for Rafael Jodar. The teenager has had success on lower level tours but has moved up to the ATP Tour. His only previous event had been last year's Next Gen Finals. He won his three qualifiers and battled to win a five-setter in round one.

His lack of experience probably caused him to lose a two-set lead before winning the decider. Now he takes on Jakub Mensik who came to Melbourne fresh from winning the ATP Auckland title. Our Jakub Mensik v Rafael Joda prediction is Jakub Mensik wins.

Prediction :

 

Jakub Mensik wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodar Prediction