Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
Fenerbahce seek to boost their Europa League knockout round chances when they welcome Aston Villa this week. With two rounds left to play in the league phase, the Canaries are currently sitting in 12th place, four points behind their visitors, who are third. This is the first meeting between these two sides in almost 50 years and we have a prediction for the match below.
Villa won both home and away when they last met, coincidentally, in the Europa League, back in 1977. This one is definitely one of the toughest fixtures of the round Fenerbahce come into this match in red-hot form, whereas the Villans have been sporadic and are coming off a loss.
The visitors will feel less pressured here, as they have already secured a knockout phase spot. The push is now for Fenerbahce, who are yet to confirm a similar slot. We are on for a big match at the Chobani Stadium in Istanbul!
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Fenerbahce Istanbul v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.49 | 3.6 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.5 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.54 | 2.78 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 3 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.5 | 2.76 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Aston Villa match is: Fenerbahce wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/01/2026 between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Aston Villa in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.05% for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul against Aston Villa with odds of 2.55 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Aston Villa is 22.89% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 3 at Bet365.
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fenerbahce Istanbul Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 39.06% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.35% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 71.43% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 16.59% | 7 at Bet365 |
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Aston Villa Form
Fenerbahce Istanbul and Aston Villa's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 |
|
19
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 |
Fenerbahce Istanbul and Aston Villa Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
14 Jan 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
10 Jan 2026 - Super Cup
6 Jan 2026 - Super Cup
23 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
20 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Super Cup
23 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
15 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
1 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
14 Jan 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
10 Jan 2026 - Super Cup
20 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Fenerbahce are seeking to end the league phase among the top eight teams. The Turkish giants will be confident of clawing closer to achieving that, given their superb form. Domenico Tedesco’s men have lost just once since the final weekend of September, going undefeated in 20 of 21 matches.
Recently, they have taken things up a notch, winning seven of eight outings. Fener claimed a fourth consecutive victory when they edged a five-goal thriller away to Alanyaspor to keep in hot pursuit of the Turkish Super League. Tied with two other teams on 11 points in the UEL, Efsane earned a dominant 4-0 victory away to Brann in the last round.
Villa eyes top spot at the close of the league phase.
Villa can end the league phase on top if they win their remaining fixtures. They are tied with Lyon and Midtjylland, with goal difference separating them. Unai Emery’s men have lost just once in the competition and won five. They earned a hard-fought 2-1 victory away to Basel on matchday six, with the result part of an incredible 11-game winning streak.
That win confirmed Villa’s progress into the next round as a seeded team. Since losing that exceptional winning run, the Lions haven’t been the same. They have been unable to secure consecutive wins in the five matches that have followed, winning just twice. Villa are coming off a 1-0 loss at home to Everton.
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Fenerbahce Istanbul against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
T. Cetin
E. Biterge
DefenderE. Alvarez
Y. Demir
C. Soyuncu
MidfielderH. Karatas
Talisca
O. Aydin
S. Proctor
J. Wright
DefenderI. Maatsen
E. Konsa
P. Torres
MidfielderK. Young
A. Garcia
A. Onana
G. Hemmings
J. Jimoh-Aloba
ForwardE. Guessand
Missing players
R. Barkley
J. McGinn
B. Kamara
Fenerbahce Istanbul & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Youssef En-Nesyri has been the subject of transfer talks this January. He is yet to return after the recently concluded AFCON and might miss out here. Archie Brown, Levent Mercan, and Sebastian Szymanski are unavailable due to injury.
The hosts will also have new signings Mert Gunok, Anthony Musaba, and Matteo Guendouzi unavailable. The absences are a big blow, but Fener have a strong squad with former Aston Villa players Jhon Duran and Marco Asensio available.
Anderson Talisca has scored 17 goals, four coming in five Europa League outings.
Villa were dealt a big blow this weekend with captain John McGinn suffering a knee injury in the loss to Everton. With fellow midfielders Amadou Onana, Ross Barkley, and Boubacar Kamara also sidelined, the visitors have been left almost bare in the engine room. Donyell Malen, scorer of seven goals with three coming in the UEL, has recently switched clubs.
This leaves Ollie Watkins, who is yet to score in Europe, as the only option in the number 9 role. Jadon Sancho missed the last match due to illness and isn’t a guaranteed inclusion at the moment for this trip. Morgan Rogers’ Villa’s top scorer with eight goals, will be a sure starter to support Watkins.
Most goals and assists
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Aston Villa
K. Akturkoglu
(6 Goals)
J. McGinn
(5 Goals)
, 
O. Watkins
(5 Goals)
N. Dorgeles
(2 Assists)
M. Rogers
(5 Assists)
, 
E. Buendia
(5 Assists)
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Aston Villa Key Points
- Fenerbahce have won seven of their last eight games.
- In their last 10 home games, Fenerbahce have won seven times.
- Villa are coming off their second loss in five matches.
- Fenerbahce are unbeaten at home in the Europa League, winning two of three matches.
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Our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Aston Villa Prediction
Fenerbahce are coming into this match in red-hot form. The hosts have won seven times in their last eight outings and are on a four-match winning streak. They are an exciting, free-flowing offensive team and have been tough at home in Europe.
Their visitors, on the other hand, have been sluggish lately and have found it hard to string together wins. Villa are also depleted and are missing the key players. It is also worth noting that Fenerbahce haven’t yet secured their place in the next round, while Villa have. Our prediction for Fenerbahce v Aston Villa is that Fenerbahce wins.
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Aston Villa Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
For our second prediction, we are backing this match to produce an over 2.5 goals outcome. Fenerbahce are a strong attacking team, and so are their visitors. Both have scored a combined 19 goals in the Europa League.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fenerbahce Istanbul Aston Villa
| Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins | 2.9 | 2.55 | -12.1% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.65 | +9.0% |
| Aston Villa wins | 2.35 | 3 | +27.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 27.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 33.3% (-9.2%)
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Aston Villa - FAQs
This match will be played on Thursday, 22 January.
This match will be played at Fenerbahce’s Sukru Saracoglu Stadium in Istanbul, Turkey.
Fans in the UK will have a live telecast of this match on TNT Sports 1, and in Turkey on TRT. For live updates of this, as well as the other Europa League fixtures this week, check out Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
