Canada vs Qatar Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
After finally picking up their first World Cup point, the 2026 co-hosts Canada will look for a victory against Qatar on matchday two on Thursday. With all four teams in Group B having identical records after 1-1 results on matchday one, the winner of this fixture could boost their top-two chances. The ‘Reds’ and the ‘Maroon One’ have shown inclination for low-scoring games recently, but will that trend continue?
Canada started their campaign with a tight 1-1 draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina, needing a 78th-minute equalizer. This was their first point in World Cups, having previously lost six games in the 1986 and 2022 editions put together.
Qatar defied all the odds in their 1-1 draw against Switzerland, where their stoppage-time equalizer came after absorbing waves of attacks. The global stage seems to have spurred them, but is it enough to topple another fancied opponent? We look deep into the two setups to present our analysis, team news, and match predictions for you!
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Canada v Qatar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 5.4 | 10 |
|
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1.3 | 5.73 | 12.1 |
|
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1.26 | 5.65 | 12 |
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1.26 | 5.65 | 12 |
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1.29 | 5.5 | 10 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Canada and Qatar?
Our prediction for the Canada vs Qatar match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/06/2026 between Canada and Qatar in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.94% for a win of Canada against Qatar with odds of 1.3 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Canada vs Qatar is 36.64% with odds of 5.83 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 1.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Qatar vs Canada with odds of 14 at Betsson.
Canada vs Qatar Form
Canada and Qatar's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
|
3
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Canada and Qatar Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
7 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
28 May 2026 - International Friendlies
7 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
4 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
1 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
7 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
1 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 May 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Canada vs Qatar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Sept 2022 - International Friendlies
Canada - Qatar: Form Analysis
Canada conceded in the 21st minute on matchday one but dug deep to find a late goal from Southampton forward Cyle Larin to draw 1-1 against Bosnia. The result extended their unbeaten run to nine games (W3, D6), their joint-best ever, but they still have work to do.
The ‘Reds’ have failed to convert their chances against Bosnia, having struck 13 shots overall but with an expected goal count of just 1.25. Positively, that was just the fourth time in their last 12 matches that the Canadians have conceded.
Canada hit four shots on target against Bosnia, their most in a World Cup game.
Qatar needed a 94th-minute goal to deny Switzerland at the death in their 1-1 draw. It was a memorable day for the ‘Maroon One’ as they withstood 26 shots, amounting to 3.24 expected goals (xG), before stunning the Swiss.
It was just the second goal in the World Cups for Qatar, who lost all three matches in the previous edition. They are still winless in their last seven matches (D3, L4), although conceding more than one goal in just two games.
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Canada vs Qatar last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. St. Clair
O. Goodman
DefenderM. Bombito
N. Sigur
J. Waterman
A. Davies
A. Jones
MidfielderN. Saliba
J. Osorio
M. Choiniere
J. Shaffelburg
ForwardP. David
A. Ahmed
J. Nelson
C. Larin
M. Barsham
S. Zakaria
DefenderS. Albrake
A. Mohialdin
L. Mendes
MidfielderA. Fathy
A. Hatem
K. Boudiaf
A. Alganehi
ForwardA. Ali
M. Muntari
A. Alaaeldin
M. Manai
Tahsin Mohammed
H. Alhaydos
Missing players
A. Davies
Canada & Qatar Squad Analysis
Alphonso Davies missed Canada’s first game of the tournament due to an ongoing hamstring tear. There’s still no clarity on his availability for this game against Qatar, while Moise Bombito’s availability is also a concern, with the defender’s leg injury likely to see him miss all group games.
The hosts are likely to line up in a 4-4-2 formation again, although coach Jesse Marsch has to take a call on striker Jonathan David. He missed a big chance and had just 0.39 xG count against Qatar, while his replacement Promise David assisted the winner.
Larin’s goal came with his first touch and after just 121 seconds.
Goalkeeper Mahmoud Abunada was the star of Qatar’s show against Switzerland, although he suffered a scary clash in the 14th minute. He made five saves and kept Qatar in the game, which eventually helped them snatch a point.
The ‘Maroon One’ lined up in a 4-3-3 system, with star player Akram Afif on the left wing. Qatar will be looking for improved performance from Afif, who did not attempt any shots during the match.
Canada - Qatar Key Points
- Ten of Canada’s last 11 matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Canada kept a clean sheet in eight of their last 12 matches.
- Five of Qatar’s last six matches have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- Three of Qatar’s four World Cup matches have seen two or fewer goals scored.
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Our Canada vs Qatar Prediction
Qatar absorbed the pressure and struck late to sensationally deny Switzerland points in a 1-1 draw on matchday one. Can they repeat that trick against Canada? Mind you, they are likely to bank on their defensive strengths, while the hosts are expected to do all the running. Canada have a mean defence themselves and will push to keep a clean sheet.
The only previous head-to-head was a 2-0 win for Canada in a 2022 friendly. Things could go the same way this time, so our Canada vs Qatar prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Canada vs Qatar Alternative Predictions
Canada wins
Not many would have given Qatar a chance on matchday one, but here we are – they are on the same number of points as all other three teams in the group. There’s temptation to back them to repeat the dose, but Canada could be a tougher nut to crack, looking at their defensive strengths in recent months. It’s Canada’s game to lose.
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Canada vs Qatar - FAQs
The Canada vs Qatar World Cup match will be shown live on Bell Media in Canada, while Alkass Sports is the official broadcaster in Qatar. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
The 48 teams are divided into 12 groups.
Group A: Mexico, South Africa, South Korea, Czech Republic
Group B: Canada, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar, Switzerland
Group C: Brazil, Morocco, Haiti, Scotland
Group D: United States, Paraguay, Australia, Turkey
Group E: Germany, Curacao, Ivory Coast, Ecuador
Group F: The Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, Tunisia
Group G: Belgium, Egypt, Iran, New Zealand
Group H: Spain, Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, Uruguay
Group I: France, Senegal, Iraq, Norway
Group J: Argentina, Algeria, Austria, Jordan
Group K: Portugal, DR Congo, Uzbekistan, Colombia
Group L: England, Croatia, Ghana, Panama
The top two teams of each group will progress to the knockout stage, along with the eight best third-placed teams. That makes it 32 teams for the first stage of the knockouts.
The knockouts will be played in a single-elimination format. If the teams are level during regulation time, 30 minutes of extra time will be played. If the teams are still tied at the end of extra time, a penalty shootout will be used to determine the winner.
Brazil are the most successful team in the history of the World Cups, winning the title five times (1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, and 2002).
Germany are the second-most successful team with four titles, including their success as West Germany (1954, 1974, 1990, 2014).
Italy have also won the title four times (1934, 1938, 1982, 2006), but have failed to qualify for this edition.
Argentina are the next best side, winning the title on three occasions (1978, 1986, and 2022). They are the defending champions.
France (1998, 2018) and Uruguay (1930, 1950) have won two titles each.
England (1966) and Spain (2010) have won the World Cup once each.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
