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Atletico Madrid vs Elche Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
23/08/2025 13:30
Elche

Prediction :

 

Atletico Madrid wins the match & over 2.5

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in LaLiga Predictions

Estadio Metropolitano will come to life for the first time in the 2025-26 La Liga season on Saturday when Atletico Madrid play host to Elche. Los Colchoneros and Los Franjiverdes are 15th and ninth in the league standings, respectively, after the first week. Let’s get into the match prediction.

After a jam-packed summer, which included the FIFA Club World Cup and a couple of tough friendlies, Atletico Madrid faded in their season opener against Espanyol last week and lost the match 2-1. 

Julian Alvarez was the only Atleti goal scorer last week and has now netted three goals in his last three league matches on either side of the summer break. 

Diego Simeone will be looking forward to returning to Estadio Metropolitano, where his side won each of their final four league games last season and scored three or more goals in each of those victories. 

Meanwhile, after earning promotion back to the top flight after two seasons in the second tier, Elche's primary goal this term will be to stay as far clear of the drop as possible. 

Los Franjiverdes made a fairly positive start to their top-flight season, taking a point off Real Betis via a 1-1 draw in which Rodrigo Riquelme scored their only goal midway through the first half. 

Indeed, the visitors face a massive step up in class of opposition now, but they did fare well on the road last season, recording 15 wins, three draws, and three defeats in the Segunda Division. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Elche Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.25 5.25 15
Betfred
1.25 5.5 13
William Hill
1.25 5.5 12
Betway
1.25 5.75 11
Unibet
1.23 6 13
Check all Atletico Madrid vs Elche odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Elche?

Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Elche match is: Atletico Madrid wins & over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Elche in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.14% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Elche with odds of 1.28 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Elche is 9.86% with odds of 6.25 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25% chance ⭐ for a win of Elche vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 15 at Bet365.

Atletico Madrid vs Elche Form

Atletico Madrid and Elche's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
Elche
Elche
1 1 0 1 0 0
14
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
0 1 0 0 1 -1

Atletico Madrid and Elche Last Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Last matches
L W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Botafogo

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Seattle Sounders
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Botafogo

18 May 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Betis

10 May 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Real Sociedad

24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

14 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  2
Valladolid

2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Seattle Sounders
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid

25 May 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  4
Atletico Madrid
Elche
Elche Last matches
W L L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Aug 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  1
Betis

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
1 :  0
Hércules

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
1 :  0
Almería

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Al Ain FC
4 :  3
Elche

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
0 :  2
Al Ahli

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
2 :  1
Getafe
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Aug 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  1
Betis

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
1 :  0
Hércules

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
1 :  0
Almería

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
0 :  2
Al Ahli

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
2 :  1
Getafe

18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
2 :  1
Millwall
D W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Al Ain FC
4 :  3
Elche

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Blackburn
1 :  0
Elche

1 Jun 2025 - LaLiga 2

La Coruna
0 :  4
Elche

17 May 2025 - LaLiga 2

Huesca
2 :  1
Elche

3 May 2025 - LaLiga 2

Burgos
0 :  1
Elche

26 Apr 2025 - LaLiga 2

Granada
1 :  1
Elche

Atletico Madrid vs Elche Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

83 %

Draw

0 %

Elche

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (home team)
0.17
Goals scored (away team)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

15 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Elche
0 :  4
Atletico Madrid

14 May 2023 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

29 Dec 2022 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Elche

11 May 2022 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

22 Aug 2021 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Elche

1 May 2021 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid
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Atletico Madrid vs Elche last Lineups

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
J. Oblak
14
M. Llorente
24
R. Le Normand
17
D. Hancko
3
M. Ruggeri
20
G. Simeone
5
J. Cardoso
4
C. Gallagher
10
A. Baena
19
J. Alvarez
11
T. Almada
20
A. Rodriguez
35
A. Houary
11
G. Valera
8
M. Aguado
14
A. Febas
30
R. Martinez Moya
21
L. Petrot
6
P. Bigas
22
D. Affengruber
15
A. Nunez
1
M. Dituro

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Elche

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

J. Gimenez

Midfielder

A. Baena

Elche
Elche
Midfielder

Y. Santiago

Forward

Josan

A. Boayar Benaisa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Elche
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Alvarez (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain G. Valera (1 Goals)
Best assists
Best assists
Portugal M. Neto (1 Assists)

Atletico Madrid - Elche Key Points

  1. Four of Atletico Madrid's last five league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Atletico Madrid only lost one home game across the entire of last season.
  3. Atletico Madrid scored two or more goals in each of their last five home league games.
  4. Three of Elche's last five competitive matches ended with over 2.5 goals.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Elche Prediction

It wasn't much of a summer break for Atletico Madrid, who went from the end of the league season to the US and into pre-season preparations in quick succession. Last week's defeat was far from ideal, and they will be aching to respond with a big performance at home this weekend. 

Elche did very well to earn a point against Betis last week, but they will know better than most that earning points on the road in the top-flight, especially at Estadio Metropolitano, is far from an easy task. Our Atletico Madrid vs Elche match prediction is Atletico Madrid wins & over 2.5. 

Prediction :

 

Atletico Madrid wins the match & over 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atletico Madrid vs Elche Prediction
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