South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Universidad Catolica will host Alianza Lima in the return leg of their Copa Sudamericana tie this Thursday. Heading into the match, Alianza lead the tie at 2-0 and will be looking to make the most of their first-leg advantage. Read on for our prediction.
Universidad Catolica will welcome this opportunity to play at home, looking to overturn the two-goal deficit. They are unbeaten at home in the last four Copa Sudamericana matches, all of which they won.
However, they managed just one clean sheet in those four matches, and that passes as their major concern. Universidad Catolica kept only two clean sheets in their last 10 matches and also failed to score in just two.
The hosts will want to take advantage of a side that rarely keeps clean sheets in continental matches. In the last 12 matches across the two continental competitions, Alianza Lima kept just two clean sheets.
One of them was against Universidad Catolica. At the same time, they only failed to score in three of those matches, so we may be looking at a game with high scores here.
Their 2-0 first-leg win represented a third straight clean sheet for Alianza. They couldn’t keep up in their latest game, conceding late in a 3-1 win at home against ADT.
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The Best Betting Odds for Universidad Catolica v Alianza Lima Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.7 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.85 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.55 | 4.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Universidad Catolica and Alianza Lima?
Our prediction for the Universidad Catolica vs Alianza Lima match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/08/2025 between Universidad Catolica and Alianza Lima in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.8% for a win of Universidad Catolica against Alianza Lima with odds of 1.77 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Universidad Catolica vs Alianza Lima is 28.26% with odds of 3.86 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Alianza Lima vs Universidad Catolica with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Universidad Catolica vs Alianza Lima Form
Universidad Catolica and Alianza Lima Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Serie A
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
8 Aug 2025 - Serie A
3 Aug 2025 - Serie A
27 Jul 2025 - Serie A
19 Jul 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Serie A
3 Aug 2025 - Serie A
19 Jul 2025 - Serie A
29 Jun 2025 - Serie A
25 Jun 2025 - Serie A
28 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
8 Aug 2025 - Serie A
27 Jul 2025 - Serie A
12 Jul 2025 - Serie A
5 Jul 2025 - Serie A
21 Jun 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
9 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
5 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
31 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
27 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
27 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
16 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
31 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
23 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
19 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
12 Jul 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
28 Jun 2025 - Liga 1 Perú
Universidad Catolica vs Alianza Lima Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
Most goals and assists
Universidad Catolica
Alianza Lima
B. Palacios
(17 Goals)
P. Guerrero
(10 Goals)
D. Romero
(2 Assists)
, 
M. Diaz
(2 Assists)
E. Castillo
(4 Assists)
,
F. Gaibor
(4 Assists)
Universidad Catolica and Alianza Lima Stats in Copa Sudamericana
Universidad Catolica - Alianza Lima Key Points
- Alianza Lima failed to score once in the last seven matches.
- Four of Alianza’s last seven matches had goals on both ends.
- In two of Alianza’s last three away matches, both teams scored.
- Universidad Catolica managed one clean sheet only in their last five matches.
- Both teams scored in three of Universidad Catolica’s last four Sudamericana home games.
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Our Universidad Catolica vs Alianza Lima Prediction
Two sides in good scoring shape face off here, and we can only expect to see goals. Alianza Lima failed to score in the first leg, which was the only such occurrence in their last eight Sudamericana matches. In six of the eight matches, both teams scored.
Meanwhile, Alianza managed just two clean sheets in their last nine continental matches. At the same time, the visitors kept just two clean sheets in that run. Our prediction for Universidad Catolica v Alianza Lima is for both teams to score.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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