Ukraine vs Northern Ireland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
02/10/2026 13:45
Northern Ireland

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Ukraine are set to take on Northern Ireland in their next UEFA Nations League outing, a Group B2 encounter. The two nations are tied on four points atop the pool that has seen just two goals scored in the opening two rounds. Each of these sides has at least three clean sheets in their latest five outings, and our prediction backs another low-scoring affair.

Ukraine will once again not enjoy home advantage, as they host this encounter in Slovakia. They kept their fourth clean sheet in five matches in their last outing as they drew with Georgia.

Here they go hunting for their second straight win against Northern Ireland, having triumphed in a 2021 friendly.

Northern Ireland recorded their third clean sheet in four matches in their last outing. They played out a 0-0 draw with Hungary, falling just short of their 1-0 win over Georgia in matchday one action.

That marked a fourth game out of 10 without scoring, a stat they will surely want to improve on. Wins have also been spread out for Northern Ireland, who come here on just two victories in their last six outings.

Such low returns have also been occasioned by a poor scoring run, as NI haven’t scored more than a goal in nine straight outings.

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Ukraine v Northern Ireland Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.89 3.35 4
1xbet
1.93 3.42 4.56
Melbet
1.89 3.34 4.44
Betwinner
1.9 3.32 4.46
22bet
1.86 3.4 4.5
Check all Ukraine vs Northern Ireland odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Ukraine and Northern Ireland?

Our prediction for the Ukraine vs Northern Ireland match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/10/2026 between Ukraine and Northern Ireland in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.28% for a win of Ukraine against Northern Ireland with odds of 1.95 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ukraine vs Northern Ireland is 14.03% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Northern Ireland vs Ukraine with odds of 4.56 at 1xbet.

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland Form

Ukraine and Northern Ireland's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Northern Ireland
4 2 1 1 0 +1
1 Ukraine
4 2 1 1 0 +1

Ukraine and Northern Ireland Last Matches

Ukraine
Ukraine Last matches
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  0
Ukraine

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
0 :  1
Ukraine

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
0 :  2
Ukraine

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Ukraine
1 :  0
Albania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  0
Iceland
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Ukraine
1 :  0
Albania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  0
Iceland

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  1
Azerbaijan

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
0 :  2
France

20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
3 :  1
Belgium
D W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  0
Ukraine

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
0 :  1
Ukraine

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
0 :  2
Ukraine

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

France
4 :  0
Ukraine

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
3 :  5
Ukraine

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Azerbaijan
1 :  1
Ukraine
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland Last matches
L D W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland
0 :  0
Hungary

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  1
Northern Ireland

8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Guinea

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Wales
1 :  1
Northern Ireland

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Northern Ireland
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland
0 :  0
Hungary

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Guinea

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Luxembourg

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
0 :  1
Germany

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
2 :  0
Slovakia

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Iceland
L L L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  1
Northern Ireland

8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Wales
1 :  1
Northern Ireland

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Northern Ireland

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Slovakia
1 :  0
Northern Ireland

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Germany
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ukraine

100 %

Draw

0 %

Northern Ireland

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

3 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies

Ukraine
1 :  0
Northern Ireland
Ukraine vs Northern Ireland Prediction

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland last Lineups

Ukraine

Formation : 3 - 2 - 3 - 2

12
A. Trubin
5
V. Bondar
3
E. Sarapii
4
M. Taras
17
O. Pikhalyonok
19
Y. Nazaryna
20
O. Zubkov
21
M. Khlan
2
B. Mykhaylichenko
8
M. Ponomarenko
11
V. Vanat
14
I. Price
10
J. Donley
16
P. Kelly
3
J. Devenny
19
S. Charles
7
E. Galbraith
22
C. Brown
15
R. McConville
4
T. Atcheson
5
T. Hume
1
P. Charles

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Northern Ireland

Substitutes

Ukraine
Ukraine
Goalkeeper

G. Yermakov

D. Riznyk

Defender

M. Matvienko

I. Zabarnyi

Midfielder

V. Veleten

O. Ocheretko

M. Shaparenko

A. Yarmolenko

V. Brazhko

Forward

V. Tsygankov

D. Sikan

R. Yaremchuk

Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
Goalkeeper

B. Peacock-Farrell

C. Hazard

Defender

P. McNair

B. Spencer

M. Forbes

Midfielder

P. Smyth

T. Devlin

K. Morrison

Forward

B. Graham

J. Magennis

D. Charles

C. O'Neill

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ukraine
CD Huachipato Northern Ireland
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine D. Sikan (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Northern Ireland S. Charles (1 Goals)
Best assists
Ukraine G. Sudakov (1 Assists)
Best assists
Northern Ireland T. Hume (1 Assists)

Ukraine and Northern Ireland Stats in UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
Ukraine
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
50%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
0%
50%
Draws
50%
0.5
Average goals per match
0.5
0.5
Goals scored per match
0.5
0
Goals conceded per match
0
100%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
100%
No goals conceded
100%
0%
BTTS
0%

Ukraine - Northern Ireland Key Points

  1. Northern Ireland haven’t scored more than once in nine matches.
  2. Nine of Northern Ireland’s last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals.
  3. Four of Ukraine’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
  4. When at home, six of Ukraine’s last 10 games had under three goals.
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Our Ukraine vs Northern Ireland Prediction

Ukraine have a strong record in the history of this fixture. However, as they are forced to play home matches away from home, Northern Ireland will see that as an advantage coming into this encounter.

Northern Ireland’s only win in this fixture dates back to 2016 in a European Championship match that ended in under 2.5 goals. Only one of these teams’ six meetings actually produced more than two goals, so a low-scoring bet could pass here. Our prediction for Ukraine v Northern Ireland is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.