Germany vs Netherlands Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Group A2 at the UEFA Nations League will be decided on Monday when Germany take on the Netherlands at the Olympiastadion in Berlin. These sides played to a 1-1 draw in Amsterdam on Matchday 1, and we are going for both teams to get on the scoresheet here, as discussed in our match prediction.
Die Mannschaft are starting to find their feet under Jurgen Klopp. With their victory over Serbia, Germany remained in third place but are now level with second-placed Greece on eight points. A victory here will take them above the Dutch at the top, but a lot still depends on the result between Greece and Serbia
Xavi has enjoyed a positive start to life with the Netherlands. The Barcelona legend is unbeaten in his first five games in charge of the Oranje after making light work of Greece on Friday night, and with his side now on 11 points, all they need is a draw in this match to secure top spot in the group heading into the quarter-finals. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Germany v Netherlands Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.88 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
|
|
1.90 | 4.20 | 3.74 |
|
|
1.86 | 4.10 | 3.66 |
|
|
1.80 | 4.12 | 3.49 |
|
|
1.86 | 4.10 | 3.66 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Germany and Netherlands?
Our prediction for the Germany vs Netherlands match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2026 between Germany and Netherlands in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.04% for a win of Germany against Netherlands with odds of 1.92 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Germany vs Netherlands is 28.13% with odds of 4.2 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Netherlands vs Germany with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
Germany vs Netherlands Form
Germany and Netherlands's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +9 |
|
3
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 |
Germany and Netherlands Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Germany vs Netherlands Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
6 Sept 2019 - Euro
Germany - Netherlands: Form Analysis
After a couple of disappointing results in September, Germany are now unbeaten in their last three Nations League matches following an impressive 3-1 victory over Serbia on the road on Friday.
Die Mannschaft have conceded the fewest goals of any team in League A (3), outperforming their 5.9 xGA. However, they have underperformed their 11.5 xG, scoring just six goals in their five games.
The hosts have split their two home games in this competition, one win and one loss, but that defeat is the only one they have suffered in their last seven on home soil (W6) since September last year.
Germany are unbeaten in their last five matches against the Netherlands in all competitions (W2 D3)!
Meanwhile, the Netherlands secured a stunning 7-0 victory over Greece at home on Friday night and are now one of only three teams with an unbeaten record in League A heading into MD6.
Oranje have scored 14 goals, which is the joint-second-most in the top tier. They have recorded the most shots on goal per match (8.6) and have created the second-most big chances (24) to date.
The visitors are unbeaten in their last six away games in all competitions (W4 D2). The last time they lost on the road was to Spain on penalties in the quarter-finals of last season’s Nations League.
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Germany vs Netherlands last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Nuebel
J. Urbig
DefenderN. Brown
N. Schlotterbeck
F. Jeltsch
MidfielderS. El Mala
R. Baku
F. Nmecha
L. Karl
T. Bischof
ForwardN. Fullkrug
Y. Ebnoutalib
R. Roefs
M. Flekken
DefenderL. Geertruida
I. Maatsen
MidfielderG. Zechiel
G. Til
Q. Timber
T. Koopmeiners
J. Kluivert
ForwardM. Meerdink
R. van Bommel
N. Lang
Missing players
C. Gakpo
Germany & Netherlands Squad Analysis
Florian Wirtz was one of the standout performers for Germany in Serbia. The Liverpool attacking midfielder scored his side’s second goal and ended with a match-high five shots at goal (three on target) and 1.57 xG.
Brajan Gruda is another to keep an eye on here. The Brighton loanee marked his debut for the national team with a goal, won a match-high 19 duels, and completed eight successful dribbles on the right flank.
Die Mannschaft came away from the last match with no new injury concerns. Waldemar Anton pulled out of the squad before the last match and was replaced by RB Leipzig’s Ridle Baku.
Tijjani Reijnders scored the first hat-trick in the 2026-27 Nations League!
The former Man City midfielder netted all three goals in the space of 21 first-half minutes. He should be ready to go again this week, having been substituted in the 62nd minute of the match.
Donyell Malen also had an impressive outing, notching up a goal and two assists in the rout. The Roma forward has now recorded a staggering 12 direct goal contributions in his last eight games for club and country.
Oranje also came away from the last match unscathed. Virgil van Dijk is the notable omission from the squad this month, meaning Spurs duo Micky van de Ven and Jan Paul van Hecke will likely continue as the central defensive pairing.
Most goals and assists
Germany
Netherlands
F. Wirtz
(2 Goals)
T. Reijnders
(4 Goals)
M. Mittelstadt
(1 Assists)
,
J. Kimmich
(1 Assists)
J. Veerman
(2 Assists)
,
D. Dumfries
(2 Assists)
,
D. Malen
(2 Assists)
Germany and Netherlands Stats in UEFA Nations League
Germany - Netherlands Key Points
- Seven of Germany’s last 10 matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Germany have scored two or more goals in five of their last six home games.
- Nine of the Netherlands’ last 10 matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- The Netherlands are averaging 2.8 goals per game in this competition.
- The reverse fixture between these sides ended 1-1 in September.
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Our Germany vs Netherlands Prediction
Germany are in an awkward position, needing a result here and Greece to drop points against Serbia to progress. With both matches kicking off simultaneously, Die Mannschaft have to remain focused on securing all three points.
However, the Netherlands have looked very good under Xavi and are now the second-highest-scoring team in League A after their stunning victory over Greece. This should be a close contest, and we’re expecting goals at both ends. Our Germany vs Netherlands prediction is BTTS.
Germany vs Netherlands Alternative Predictions
Draw
Donyell Malen to score or assist
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Germany vs Netherlands - FAQs
The UEFA Nations League match between Germany and the Netherlands will be played at the Olympiastadion in Berlin, Germany.
The UEFA Nations League match between Germany and the Netherlands will be broadcast on DAZN (Germany) and NOS (Netherlands). UK viewers can tune in to Prime Video UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
