Greece vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Greece and Serbia are coming off defeats in the UEFA Nations League and will look to bounce back when they face off on matchday six. While they remain second in Group A2, Greece suffered a humiliating defeat in Holland, as fourth-placed Serbia were humbled at home by Germany. Greece won their only competitive game against Serbia, and this prediction backs them for the same.
Greece has a psychological mountain to climb after losing 7-0 on Friday. They can still advance to the quarter-final if they match or better Germany’s result against the Netherlands.
That may not be a given, especially with Greece failing to score in two matches and having not won a home game in four.
Serbia are coming from a 3-1 defeat at home against Germany. That was their fifth straight defeat in as many matches in this group and seventh on the bounce.
They have only managed two wins in the last 10 games, which adds to a shambolic recent run that has them on zero clean sheets in the last 14 matches. This run has cost Serbia their place in the top tier after two seasons up.
That run only serves to pile the pressure on head coach Veljko Paunovic, whose 12 months in charge yielded six straight defeats away from home. The Serbians have lost two of their three past meetings with Greece, and having had two players sent off in the last game makes things even harder.
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Greece v Serbia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.40 | 4.70 | 6.60 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.71 | 6.83 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.60 | 6.65 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.98 | 7.34 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.60 | 6.65 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Greece and Serbia?
Our prediction for the Greece vs Serbia match is: Greece wins & over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2026 between Greece and Serbia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.89% for a win of Greece against Serbia with odds of 1.49 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Greece vs Serbia is 33.26% with odds of 4.98 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Serbia vs Greece with odds of 7.34 at Betwinner.
Greece vs Serbia Form
Greece and Serbia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -5 |
|
4
|
0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -7 |
Greece and Serbia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
Greece vs Serbia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Serbia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
C. Mandas
O. Vlachodimos
DefenderG. Vagiannidis
K. Koulierakis
D. Giannoulis
P. Chatzidiakos
MidfielderT. Bakasetas
I. Koutsoupias
ForwardA. Tetteh
G. Masouras
A. Douvikas
D. Petrovic
D. Rosic
DefenderS. Erakovic
S. Bukinac
N. Simic
MidfielderV. Kostov
V. Dragojevic
M. Krpic
ForwardV. Lucic
A. Zivkovic
A. Mitrovic
L. Jovic
Most goals and assists
Greece
Serbia
A. Douvikas
(1 Goals)
,
C. Tzolis
(1 Goals)
,
D. Kourbelis
(1 Goals)
,
G. Masouras
(1 Goals)
,
F. Ioannidis
(1 Goals)
A. Zivkovic
(1 Goals)
,
L. Jovic
(1 Goals)
,
M. Cvetkovic
(1 Goals)
,
S. Babic
(1 Goals)
K. Tsimikas
(1 Assists)
,
V. Pavlidis
(1 Assists)
,
G. Masouras
(1 Assists)
,
F. Ioannidis
(1 Assists)
D. Tadic
(1 Assists)
,
S. Lukic
(1 Assists)
,
A. Terzic
(1 Assists)
Greece and Serbia Stats in UEFA Nations League
Greece - Serbia Key Points
- Serbia have suffered seven straight defeats.
- Greece beat Serbia in two of their three previous meetings.
- Nine of Serbia’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 15 goals were scored in Greece’s last five matches.
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Our Greece vs Serbia Prediction
Greece are coming off a humiliating defeat and will be eyeing an immediate response. Playing at home favors that, while it serves the purpose even better that Serbia are on a poor run. The visitors have only managed two wins in their last 10 matches, a run that includes seven straight defeats.
In the process they conceded three goals four times. Greece haven’t had the strongest of runs, but this doesn’t look like a match to trouble them. Therefore, our prediction for Greece v Serbia is that Greece wins & over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
