Ukraine vs Georgia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
17/11/2026 11:45
Georgia

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Ukraine and Georgia will meet in the final match of Group B3 in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday night. The reverse fixture ended goalless in September, and we are leaning toward another low-scoring outcome here as our match prediction. 

Ukraine’s hopes of promotion were officially ended after losing to Northern Ireland 1-0 on the road on Saturday night. They are two points ahead of Georgia and need at least a draw to remain in League B. 

The Blue and Yellows have only scored two goals in this competition while conceding six. They have only created seven big chances and accumulated just 4.0 xG across their five matches in the competition. 

Ukraine are playing their “home” games in the UNL in Slovakia and have lost both to this point. However, they have not lost any of their last 10 matches against this opponent across all competitions. 

Meanwhile, Georgia have endured a very poor Nations League campaign. They have taken just two points from their five matches and will have to face the relegation playoffs with anything less than a victory in this game.

The Crusaders have recorded 4.1 xG but are the only team in League B that has failed to score a goal in the UNL this season. They have conceded four goals despite having 6.4 xGA to date.

The visitors have won only two of their last nine away games in all competitions and failed to score in four matches during this period. 

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Ukraine v Georgia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
2.13 3.35 3.15
1xbet
2.27 3.42 3.36
Melbet
2.22 3.34 3.28
Betwinner
2.39 3.49 2.58
22bet
2.22 3.34 3.28
Check all Ukraine vs Georgia odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ukraine and Georgia?

Our prediction for the Ukraine vs Georgia match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/11/2026 between Ukraine and Georgia in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.08% for a win of Ukraine against Georgia with odds of 2.39 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ukraine vs Georgia is 32.22% with odds of 3.49 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Georgia vs Ukraine with odds of 3.36 at 1xbet.

Ukraine vs Georgia Form

Ukraine and Georgia's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Ukraine
4 5 1 1 3 -4
4 Georgia
2 5 0 2 3 -4

Ukraine and Georgia Last Matches

Ukraine
Ukraine Last matches
W W D L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Ukraine

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
1 :  2
Hungary

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
0 :  3
Northern Ireland

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  0
Ukraine

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
0 :  1
Ukraine

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
0 :  2
Ukraine
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
1 :  2
Hungary

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
0 :  3
Northern Ireland

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Ukraine
1 :  0
Albania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  0
Iceland

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
2 :  1
Azerbaijan
W L W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland
1 :  0
Ukraine

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  0
Ukraine

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
0 :  1
Ukraine

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
0 :  2
Ukraine

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

France
4 :  0
Ukraine

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
3 :  5
Ukraine
Georgia
Georgia Last matches
W L D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

14 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  2
Hungary

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland
0 :  0
Georgia

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
1 :  0
Georgia

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  0
Ukraine

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  1
Northern Ireland

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Georgia
2 :  0
Bahrain
D D W L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  2
Hungary

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  0
Ukraine

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  1
Northern Ireland

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Georgia
2 :  0
Bahrain

2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Georgia
1 :  1
Romania

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Georgia
2 :  2
Israel
L L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland
0 :  0
Georgia

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
1 :  0
Georgia

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Lithuania
0 :  2
Georgia

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
2 :  1
Georgia

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Turkiye
4 :  1
Georgia

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Spain
2 :  0
Georgia

Ukraine vs Georgia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ukraine

33 %

Draw

67 %

Georgia

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
0 :  0
Ukraine

16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
1 :  1
Ukraine

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
1 :  0
Georgia
Ukraine vs Georgia Prediction

Ukraine vs Georgia last Lineups

Ukraine

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

12
A. Trubin
13
I. Zabarnyi
3
E. Sarapii
22
M. Matvienko
16
V. Mykolenko
7
O. Kashchuk
6
Y. Yarmoliuk
18
O. Ocheretko
8
G. Sudakov
14
D. Sikan
9
R. Yaremchuk
22
G. Mikautadze
19
G. Tsitaishvili
20
N. Gagnidze
17
G. Kvernadze
14
A. Mekvabishvili
10
G. Chakvetadze
4
L. Lochoshvili
3
L. Dvali
5
S. Goglichidze
2
O. Kakabadze
1
G. Mamardashvili

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Georgia

Substitutes

Ukraine
Ukraine
Goalkeeper

D. Riznyk

G. Yermakov

Defender

I. Alekseevich Krupsky

M. Taras

Midfielder

O. Andriyevskiy

Y. Nazaryna

B. Krushinsky

V. Oleksandrovych

H. Synchuk

Forward

I. Krasnopir

A. Dovbyk

V. Vanat

Georgia
Georgia
Goalkeeper

L. Gugeshashvili

N. Kalichava

Defender

G. Maisuradze

S. Sazonov

Irakli Azarov

J. Tabidze

Midfielder

I. Yegoian

N. Lominadze

G. Moistsrapishvili

Forward

B. Zivzivadze

Z. Davitashvili

G. Guliashvili

Ukraine and Georgia Stats in UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
Ukraine
Georgia
Georgia
20%
Wins
0%
60%
Losses
60%
20%
Draws
40%
1.6
Average goals per match
0.8
0.4
Goals scored per match
0
1.2
Goals conceded per match
0.8
60%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
40%
No goals conceded
40%
20%
BTTS
0%

Ukraine - Georgia Key Points

  1. Five of Ukraine’s last eight games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Ukraine have failed to score in three of their last four games in this competition.
  3. Each of Georgia’s last eight games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  4. Georgia are the only team in League B that has failed to score in the UNL this season.
  5. The reverse fixture between these sides ended goalless in September.
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Our Ukraine vs Georgia Prediction

While Ukraine’s hopes of promotion to the top flight were ended over the weekend, they still have work to do, needing at least a point to secure third place and retain their spot in League B in this competition. 

Georgia have been good defensively, but have not scored a single goal in the Nations League. With Ukraine having only scored twice themselves in this competition, all indicators suggest that this should be a low-scoring affair. Our Ukraine vs Georgia prediction is under 2.5 goals.  

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.