Estonia vs Bulgaria Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Estonia will go all out for a win against Bulgaria to push for top spot in Group C4 of the UEFA Nations League (UNL) on the final matchday. This match on Monday in Tallinn between the 2nd-placed ‘Blueshirts’ and the 3rd-placed ‘Lions’ could be a low-scoring affair with under 1.5 goals, our match prediction.
With nine points (W2, D3), Estonia started this matchday two points behind leaders Iceland. They are guaranteed to finish second and qualify for the promotion play-offs. They can still finish first if they win and Iceland lose to Luxembourg. Bulgaria can at best finish third.
A 1-0 away win over Luxembourg on Friday extended Estonia’s unbeaten run to seven matches (W4, D3). All three draws have come in this UNL edition, where they have conceded only one goal and kept four clean sheets in a row. Even a run of three wins from their last four home games gives them an edge here.
Bulgaria lost 5-0 at home to Iceland on Friday, making it four defeats from their last seven matches (W1, D2). They have failed to score in three of the last four UNL games, so questions remain over their attacking power. The Bulgarians have failed to score in four of their last six away competitive games, putting the spotlight on their scoring fortunes.
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Estonia v Bulgaria Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.04 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
|
|
2.20 | 3.26 | 3.72 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.20 | 3.86 |
|
|
2.10 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.10 | 3.75 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estonia and Bulgaria?
Our prediction for the Estonia vs Bulgaria match is: under 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2026 between Estonia and Bulgaria in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.32% for a win of Estonia against Bulgaria with odds of 2.2 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estonia vs Bulgaria is 34.86% with odds of 3.26 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Bulgaria vs Estonia with odds of 3.95 at Betsson.
Estonia vs Bulgaria Form
Estonia and Bulgaria's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +2 |
|
3
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 |
Estonia and Bulgaria Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
Estonia vs Bulgaria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Estonia vs Bulgaria last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Igonen
Andre Karl Vallner
DefenderJ. Saliste
F. Liivak
T. Tammik
M. Kolobov
MidfielderM. Ainsalu
M. Miller
V. Kreida
M. Skvortsov
ForwardM. Paalberg
K. Mustmaa
A. Bozhev
P. Andreev
DefenderR. Bozhinov
T. Valentinov Ivanov
D. Velkovski
I. Turitsov
MidfielderI. Pankov
I. Chochev
S. Kovachev
A. Chandarov
ForwardM. Petkov
G. Lazarov
Most goals and assists
Estonia
Bulgaria
M. Paskotsi
(2 Goals)
A. Chandarov
(1 Goals)
,
A. Iliev
(1 Goals)
,
K. Balov
(1 Goals)
R. Peetson
(1 Assists)
,
R. Shein
(1 Assists)
D. Velkovski
(1 Assists)
,
G. Rusev
(1 Assists)
,
E. Tsenov
(1 Assists)
Estonia and Bulgaria Stats in UEFA Nations League
Estonia - Bulgaria Key Points
- Six of Estonia’s last seven matches have produced under 1.5 goals.
- Estonia’s last four home games have returned fewer than two goals.
- Bulgaria have failed to score in three of their last four UNL matches.
- Bulgaria failed to score in four of their last eight away UNL matches.
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Our Estonia vs Bulgaria Prediction
There is a slim chance for Estonia to finish first, as they need to win and hope Iceland loses. For Bulgaria, they can at best finish third and can only hope to keep the Estonians at bay – much like the 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture. The hosts are, however, well-placed to push for a win, thanks to their defensive strengths.
Estonia have seen fewer than two goals in six of their last seven matches in this competition, and that trend could continue here. That’s why our Estonia vs Bulgaria prediction is under 1.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
