Poland vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Thanks to a barnstorming run in League B of the UEFA Nations League, Sweden are set for the top tier. They will complete their group stage engagements with an away game in Poland. The Swedes are five points clear after beating Bosnia Herzegovina 3-2 last time out. Poland have lost eight times in the last 10 outings against Sweden, and this prediction backs the same.
Poland’s only win in this pool was against the bottom-placed team, Romania. They are, however, coming off a 2-1 loss against the same opponent.
That marked their fifth defeat in eight matches. Home form offers some reprieve, with Poland unbeaten in the last three and keeping two clean sheets.
Sweden are on fire coming into this game. They overcame Bosnia & Herzegovina 3-2 to secure top spot in this group.
That was their fourth win in five outings, and talisman Viktor Gyokeres was once again outstanding, with two goals in the match. He has now scored in eight straight UNL matches, but Sweden haven’t had the meanest of defences.
They’ve only managed one clean sheet across their five matches in this group. Sweden’s only defeats in the last 10 outings were against top-10 ranked nations - France and the Netherlands.
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Poland v Sweden Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.24 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.69 | 3.12 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.74 | 2.59 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.66 | 3.24 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Poland and Sweden?
Our prediction for the Poland vs Sweden match is: Sweden wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/11/2026 between Poland and Sweden in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.56% for a win of Poland against Sweden with odds of 2.28 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Poland vs Sweden is 31.18% with odds of 3.74 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Sweden vs Poland with odds of 3.24 at 22bet.
Poland vs Sweden Form
Poland and Sweden's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 |
|
3
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +2 |
Poland and Sweden Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
Poland vs Sweden Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
23 Jun 2021 - Euro
Poland vs Sweden last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
S. Abramowicz
M. Kochalski
DefenderK. Piatkowski
T. Kedziora
T. Puchacz
MidfielderA. Pyrka
K. Urbanski
B. Mazurek
L. Poreba
ForwardA. Benedyczak
M. Zukowski
M. Skoras
J. Widell Zetterstrom
N. Tornqvist
DefenderH. Ekdal
A. Bernhardsson
E. Smith
F. Beijmo
G. Antwi
E. Stroud
MidfielderJ. Karlstrom
B. Nygren
D. Kulusevski
ForwardA. Njie
Most goals and assists
Poland
Sweden
R. Lewandowski
(3 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(6 Goals)
N. Zalewski
(2 Assists)
,
S. Szymanski
(2 Assists)
Y. Ayari
(1 Assists)
,
S. Nanasi
(1 Assists)
,
P. Walemark
(1 Assists)
,
V. Lindelof
(1 Assists)
,
A. Bernhardsson
(1 Assists)
,
A. Elanga
(1 Assists)
Poland and Sweden Stats in UEFA Nations League
Poland - Sweden Key Points
- Sweden beat Poland in their last two meetings.
- Poland have only beaten Sweden once in 10 meetings.
- Sweden have won four of their last five matches.
- Poland suffered three defeats in their last four matches.
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Our Poland vs Sweden Prediction
After suffering earlier in the UEFA Nations League, Sweden are hitting the right codes in the Nations League this season. They are set to finish top in their League B group after a clinical run, winning four of their five matches.
Head coach Graham Potter has done well with the Swedes bringing out the best of Arsenal forward Viktor Gyökeres. The striker’s goals have been crucial and the work to be done has to be in defence. Our prediction for Poland v Sweden is that Sweden wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
