Sudan vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Sudan
16/11/2026 08:00
Senegal

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and Senegal to win

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in AFCON Predictions

Senegal could lock a top-two place in Group J of the 2027 AFCON qualifiers this Monday when they travel to Sudan. The two nations are separated by four points ahead of this game, with Senegal leading the group by seven and Sudan three. Senegal have dominated this fixture and our prediction here backs them to win again.

The Lions of Teranga remain the only unbeaten side in this pool but didn’t really start on a high. Matchday one yielded a 1-1 draw away to Mozambique before winning 1-0 in Ethiopia.

Patrick Vieira’s side went all out in their first home game, beating Sudan 4-1 in Round 3. Another such result, coupled with a Mozambique win will confirm Senegal’s qualification for AFCON with two games to spare.

Sudan, on the other hand, are looking to add to their only win in this group. They started the qualifiers with a 1-0 win at home against Ethiopia but have failed to add to the win since.

They lost 4-1 in Mozambique and by the same margin in Senegal last time out. That is why they will welcome a return to playing at home. However, they don’t have the full advantage, as this match is scheduled for play in neighboring South Sudan.

Having never beaten Senegal before is another stat that will work against Sudan.

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Sudan v Senegal Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
9.80 4.70 1.28
1xbet
11.30 4.90 1.27
Melbet
11.30 4.90 1.27
Bet365
11.00 4.75 1.24
Roobet
10.00 4.60 1.29
Check all Sudan vs Senegal odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sudan and Senegal?

Our prediction for the Sudan vs Senegal match is: over 2.5 goals and Senegal to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2026 between Sudan and Senegal in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 5.27% for a win of Sudan against Senegal with odds of 11.3 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sudan vs Senegal is 17.05% with odds of 4.9 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 77.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Senegal vs Sudan with odds of 1.31 at Shangrila.

Sudan vs Senegal Form

Sudan and Senegal's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Senegal
7 3 2 1 0 +4
3 Sudan
3 3 1 0 2 -5

Sudan and Senegal Last Matches

Sudan
Sudan Last matches
W L L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
4 :  1
Sudan

29 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Mozambique
4 :  1
Sudan

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Sudan
1 :  0
Ethiopia

3 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan

31 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Sudan
0 :  2
Burkina Faso

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Sudan
D D D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Sudan
1 :  0
Ethiopia

31 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Sudan
0 :  2
Burkina Faso

6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Sudan
0 :  2
Iraq

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sudan
0 :  0
Mauritania

29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Senegal

23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Algeria
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
4 :  1
Sudan

29 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Mozambique
4 :  1
Sudan

3 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan

28 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
0 :  1
Sudan

24 Dec 2025 - AFCON

Algeria
3 :  0
Sudan

9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup

Bahrain
3 :  1
Sudan
Senegal
Senegal Last matches
W L D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
4 :  1
Sudan

4 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies

Comoros
0 :  1
Senegal

29 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  1
Senegal

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Mozambique
1 :  1
Senegal

1 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
3 :  2
Senegal

26 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Senegal
5 :  0
Iraq
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
4 :  1
Sudan

26 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Senegal
5 :  0
Iraq

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
3 :  1
Gambia

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Senegal
2 :  0
Peru

18 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Morocco
L L L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies

Comoros
0 :  1
Senegal

29 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  1
Senegal

25 Sept 2026 - AFCON

Mozambique
1 :  1
Senegal

1 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
3 :  2
Senegal

22 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Norway
3 :  2
Senegal

16 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Senegal

Sudan vs Senegal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sudan

0 %

Draw

50 %

Senegal

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

12 Nov 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
4 :  1
Sudan

3 Jan 2026 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Sudan

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
2 :  0
Sudan

29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Senegal

19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
0 :  0
Senegal

22 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Sudan
0 :  0
Senegal
Sudan vs Senegal Prediction

Missing players

Sudan
Sudan
Senegal
Senegal
Defender

A. Mendy

Midfielder

H. Diarra

B. Ndiaye

Forward

I. Sarr

Sudan and Senegal Stats in AFCON

Sudan
Sudan
Senegal
Senegal
33%
Wins
67%
67%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
33%
3.67
Average goals per match
2.67
1
Goals scored per match
2
2.67
Goals conceded per match
0.67
33%
Under 2.5 goals
67%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
33%
No goals conceded
33%
67%
BTTS
67%

Sudan - Senegal Key Points

  1. Sudan have conceded eight times in their last two Group J games.
  2. Senegal have scored five goals in their last two matches.
  3. Nine goals were scored in these nations’ last two meetings.
  4. Senegal are unbeaten in their last four matches, winning three.
  5. Sudan have lost four times in their last five outings.
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Our Sudan vs Senegal Prediction

Sudan have a poor run against Senegal, and in most cases it doesn't even matter whether they play at home or not. The hosts’ situation currently is that they can’t host this game in their own country, and that really messes them up.

Senegal, as expected, have risen to the challenge, even though they are still finding away games somewhat challenging. We don’t expect the African giants to find this too hard, having won six of their last seven FIFA-recognized meetings. Our prediction for Sudan v Senegal is for over 2.5 goals and Senegal to win.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals and Senegal to win

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.