Iceland vs Luxembourg Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Iceland will look to finish their UEFA Nations League (UNL) League C engagements on a high when they host a struggling Luxembourg on Monday in Reykjavik. This match between the 1st-placed ‘Our Boys’ and the 4th-placed ‘Red Lions’ could see a clean sheet, and our match prediction is BTTS: No.
With 11 points (W3, D2), Iceland have a two-point advantage over Estonia. With a superior goal difference, a draw here may be enough to win the group and get promoted directly. Luxembourg can at best finish third.
After a 5-0 thrashing of Bulgaria away on Friday, Iceland have confirmed at least a second spot and a promotion playoff place. Three wins from their last four games (D1) and clean sheets in all four underline their defensive credentials.
They are unbeaten at home in three competitive matches (W1, D2) but have only one clean sheet in their last four home fixtures.
Luxembourg were beaten 1-0 at home by Estonia on Friday for a fourth consecutive defeat in this UNL edition. All four losses have come with them failing to score, since a 2-1 win over Bulgaria on matchday one. There is no threat of relegation, as League D has been disbanded, but three wins in their last four away games (L1) make them a threat here despite recent form.
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Iceland v Luxembourg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.26 | 10.00 |
|
|
1.30 | 5.35 | 10.00 |
|
|
1.30 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.00 | 9.60 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Iceland and Luxembourg?
Our prediction for the Iceland vs Luxembourg match is: BTTS: No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2026 between Iceland and Luxembourg in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.43% for a win of Iceland against Luxembourg with odds of 1.35 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Iceland vs Luxembourg is 30.28% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Luxembourg vs Iceland with odds of 10 at 1xbet.
Iceland vs Luxembourg Form
Iceland and Luxembourg's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +11 |
|
4
|
3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 |
Iceland and Luxembourg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Iceland vs Luxembourg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
8 Sept 2023 - Euro
Iceland vs Luxembourg last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
R. Runarsson
A. Einarsson
DefenderH. Magnusson
MidfielderI. Thorvaldsson
K. Hlynsson
T. Helgason
M. Anderson
A. Sigurdsson
B. Andersen Willumsson
G. Sigurdsson
J. Thorsteinsson
A. Gunnarsson
L. Fox
T. Pereira
DefenderM. Goncalves
E. Mahmutovic
E. Dzogovic
MidfielderE. dos Santos
E. Veiga
F. Ikene
O. Natami
T. Rupil
ForwardP. Macedo Batista
J. Videira Pereira
Most goals and assists
Iceland
Luxembourg
A. Gudjohnsen
(5 Goals)
V. Thill
(1 Goals)
,
L. Barreiro
(1 Goals)
H. Haraldsson
(3 Assists)
H. Kadamani
(1 Assists)
Iceland and Luxembourg Stats in UEFA Nations League
Iceland - Luxembourg Key Points
- Iceland kept a clean sheet in 13 of their last 15 wins.
- In just one of Iceland’s last seven matches, both teams scored.
- Both teams scored in just one of Luxembourg’s last 14 matches.
- Only three of Luxembourg’s last nine away UNL matches have seen both teams score.
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Our Iceland vs Luxembourg Prediction
Iceland have an edge in the race to finish top of the group standings, as they start this matchday two points ahead of Estonia. It’s their scoring record that’s doing the job, as the Icelanders have scored 12 goals and conceded just once, while Luxembourg have netted just two in this UNL campaign. Both those goals were scored on matchday one, followed by four consecutive blanks.
Iceland won the reverse fixture 3-0, and their recent record suggests there could be another clean sheet here. That’s why our Iceland vs Luxembourg prediction is BTTS: No.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
