Spain vs England Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Group A3 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League will draw to a close on Sunday night when Spain host England at the Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid. The reverse fixture between these sides ended 3-2 to Spain at Wembley in September, and we are going with both sides getting on the scoresheet again in this match as our main prediction.
La Roja kept their flawless UNL Group A3 record intact with a comfortable 2-0 victory over the Czech Republic on Thursday night. Luis de la Fuente’s side lead the group by three points and are assured a spot in this season’s quarter-finals, while the result in Prague extended their historic unbeaten run to 43 matches dating back to March 2024.
The Three Lions roared to a 2-1 win over Croatia under the Wembley arch on Thursday night to secure their quarter-final spot. Despite being guaranteed a last-eight berth, Thomas Tuchel and co have made clear that they are determined to finish top of the group, which requires nothing less than a victory in Madrid this weekend. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Spain v England Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.70 | 3.95 | 4.20 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.20 | 4.66 |
|
|
1.70 | 4.10 | 4.56 |
|
|
1.50 | 4.37 | 5.30 |
|
|
1.70 | 4.10 | 4.56 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Spain and England?
Our prediction for the Spain vs England match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/11/2026 between Spain and England in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.82% for a win of Spain against England with odds of 1.74 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Spain vs England is 28.33% with odds of 4.37 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.85% chance ⭐ for a win of England vs Spain with odds of 5.3 at Betwinner.
Spain vs England Form
Spain and England's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +9 |
|
2
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +12 |
Spain and England Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
19 Jul 2026 - World Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
19 Jul 2026 - World Cup
10 Jul 2026 - World Cup
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2026 - World Cup
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - World Cup
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - World Cup
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
Spain vs England Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
20 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
15 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sept 2018 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2016 - International Friendlies
Spain - England: Form Analysis
Spain eased to a 2-0 victory over Czechia on Thursday to take their goals tally to 14 (conceded five) in the UNL this season. They need only a draw to finish top of Group A3 this weekend.
La Roja have the second-best xG (11.6) and have created the most big chances (26) in League A of this competition. They have the fourth-lowest xGA (4.7) and the second-highest average possession (65.6%).
This week’s hosts are averaging 2.5 goals per game across their last 10 home matches since mid-October 2024. However, they were beaten by England in their last competitive encounter on home soil back in 2018.
Spain beat England 3-2 at Wembley in the reverse fixture back in September!
Meanwhile, England’s 2-1 victory over Croatia in London on Thursday means they are now the highest-scoring team (16) and have conceded the second-fewest goals in League A of the UNL.
The Three Lions’ underlying stats are also impressive. They have the most clean sheets (3), highest xG (14.5), second-most big chances created (25), and average 59.1% possession per 90.
The visitors have won their last five away matches and scored nine goals in their two games on the road in this competition. Notably, they have also kept clean sheets in five of their last six outings.
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Spain vs England last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Garcia
D. Raya
DefenderM. Pubill
J. Ramon
A. Grimaldo
MidfielderP. Barrios
M. Roca
M. Merino
Pedri
ForwardV. Munoz
R. Fernandez
J. De Frutos
J. Steele
J. Trafford
DefenderB. White
J. Hill
J. Branthwaite
MidfielderJ. Bellingham
E. Eze
M. Gibbs-White
J. Garner
J. King
ForwardD. Calvert-Lewin
R. Ngumoha
Spain & England Squad Analysis
Lamine Yamal sat out the win against Czechia with a knee issue, but De la Fuente confirmed he will be available this weekend. The teenage sensation leads the team with four goals in this competition and has 17 goals and 13 assists in 20 games for club and country this season.
Real Sociedad striker Mikel Oyarzabal is also expected to return for this match. Both he and Yamal scored in Spain’s victory over England at Wembley in September and are likely to go straight back into the starting 11.
Ferran Torres is likely to continue to lead the line for La Roja. The Barca forward has the second-highest xG per 90 in League A (1.09), and has recorded five shots at goal in his last two appearances.
Can Spain stop the rampant Harry Kane in Madrid?
The newly crowned Ballon d’Or winner became England’s most-capped player against Croatia and marked the occasion by scoring the winner. He leads the UNL this season in goals scored (7), goal contributions (8), and xG (4.5).
Jude Bellingham has been the creative spark for the Three Lions. The Real Madrid man set up Morgan Rogers for the opener at Wembley on Thursday and now leads the competition in assists (5) and big chances created (8).
Ezri Konsa was left out of the squad against Vatreni due to an injury, but he is expected to return this weekend, while Myles Lewis-Skelly will be available for selection again, having now served his one-match ban.
Most goals and assists
Spain
England
L. Yamal
(4 Goals)
H. Kane
(7 Goals)
D. Olmo
(3 Assists)
J. Bellingham
(5 Assists)
Spain and England Stats in UEFA Nations League
Spain - England Key Points
- Four of Spain’s five UNL matches this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Spain have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 home matches.
- England and Spain have the highest (14.5) and second-highest (11.6) xG in this competition.
- England have scored two or more goals in all five of their UNL matches this season.
- Each of the last five matches between these sides have ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Spain vs England Prediction
While Spain and England have already secured their places in the quarter-finals of this season’s Nations League, both these European giants have made it clear that their goal is to finish top of Group A3.
That sets us up for what should be a thrilling finale to the group stage. Five goals were scored when these two met at Wembley a couple of months ago, and we are expecting another free-flowing, high-quality encounter this weekend. Our Spain vs England prediction is BTTS.
Spain vs England Alternative Predictions
Spain wins
Harry Kane to score or assist
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Spain vs England - FAQs
The UEFA Nations League match between Spain and England will be broadcast on RTVE Play (Spain) and ITV1 (United Kingdom).
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
