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Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP 20 Czech Republic
Tomas Machac
08/04/2025 08:45
ATP 33 Argentina
Sebastian Baez

Prediction :

 

Match to have three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Predictions

Tomas Machac and Sebastian Baez will go head-to-head at the Monte Carlo Masters in their first career meeting. The winner from this match will set up a clash against Alex De Minaur. We have a prediction below.

Machac is making his Monte Carlo bow. In a season that’s proving great for Czech players, he’ll be gunning for his second tour title this year. The 24-year-old bagged the ATP 500 title in Acapulco early in March.

As he seeks a deep run here, Machac will be hoping his physical problems ease. He has already been forced to retire and hand a walkover this season. His 14-5 record so far indicates when fit, he can be a player to bank on.

Sebastian Baez is at Monte Carlo seeking a second title for the season. He will need a massive effort to replicate his ATP 250 performances at this level.

The Argentine is known to struggle at such stages, and that’s why his Monte Carlo record reads 2-3 after three appearances. He has never gone past the first round at this event with his wins only coming in the qualifying stage.

Earlier in the season, he won the Rio title, but he has gone on to lose two more finals – in Santiago and most recently Bucharest. He is coming from a 2-0 defeat in to Flavio Cobolli in Bucharest.

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The Best Betting Odds for Tomas Machac v Sebastian Baez Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.73 2.1
Ladbrokes
1.65 2.15
1xbet
1.74 2.12
22bet
1.74 2.12
Betobet
1.79 2.07
Check all Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez odds
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Who will win the Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez match is: match to have three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez game on 08/04/2025 of the current ATP Monte Carlo Masters season:

  • Tomas Machac has a 60.99% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.79.
  • Sebastian Baez has a 39.01% probability of winning facing Tomas Machac ⭐ with odds of 2.26 at Tonybet.

Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tomas Machac has a 60.99 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Tomas Machac60.99 %
Sebastian Baez39.01 %

Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Form

Tomas Machac and Sebastian Baez Last Matches

Tomas Machac Last matches
W W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

25 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Tomas Machac
withdraw
Jakub Mensik

24 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Reilly Opelka
0 :  2
Tomas Machac

22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Tomas Machac

7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Tomas Machac
abort
Yosuke Watanuki

1 Mar 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Tomas Machac
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

28 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Tomas Machac
2 :  1
Brandon Nakashima
Sebastian Baez Last matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

6 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

5 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Marton Fucsovics

4 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Francisco Comesana

2 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Gabriel Diallo

19 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Sebastian Baez

6 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Gigante
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez
Compare Tomas Machac and Sebastian Baez with our comparison tool.

Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez Key Points

  1. Machac failed to win a set in just one of his last 11 completed matches.
  2. A deciding set was required in four of Machac’s last five clay matches.
  3. Four of Baez’s five matches at Monte Carlo were settled by a third set.
  4. Four of Baez’s last six clay court matches went to three sets.
  5. Six of Baez’s last 10 matches played to three sets.
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Our Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Prediction

One of these two players will set their best record at the Monte Carlo Open after this match. Baez has never gone past the first round while Machac is making his debut. Four of Machac’s last five clay court matches had to be settled by deciding set. The same is the case for Baez in four of six matches on the same surface.

As both have their struggles coming here, we expect the same. Baez has had trouble performing at this level while Machac’s physical problems have slowed him this season. Our prediction for Tomas Machac v Sebastian Baez is for the match to have three sets.

Prediction :

 

Match to have three sets

 
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When you place a bet on the match between Tomas Machac and Sebastian Baez you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

It does not matter whether you bet on Tomas Machac or Sebastian Baez , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
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