ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
Will it be fifth time lucky for 31st seed Lorenzo Sonego? He faces fourth-seeded Taylor Fritz in round three of the Cincinnati Open. Fritz has won all four of the previous matches they've played on hard courts. Time for our match prediction.
Seeded opposition will be faced by the winner in the last 16 of this Masters tournament. That'll be either tenth-seeded Frances Tiafoe or 20th seed Ugo Humbert.
Fritz has reached the last eight of this tournament twice in the past three years but lost in round one last year. He had a comfortable opening match in 2025 with a 6-4 6-4 win over qualifier Emilio Nava.and is fourth in the live rankings. He's reached at least the quarter-final in each of his last four tournaments.
The 27-year-old leads Sonego 6-2 in previous meetings. The only wins for the Italian came on clay.
Lorenzo Sonego beat Zizou Bergs in straight sets in his opening match in Cincinnati That ended a poor run in which he'd only won two of his last eight hard court matches. He'll want to get back to the form that saw him reach quarter-finals in both the Australian Open and Marseille earlier this year.
We tip Taylor Fritz to win this in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Taylor Fritz v Lorenzo Sonego Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 5.5 |
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|
1.17 | 5 |
|
|
1.18 | 4.75 |
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|
1.15 | 5 |
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1.18 | 5.1 |
|
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Who will win the Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego match is: Taylor Fritz to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego game on 11/08/2025 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:
- Taylor Fritz has a 69.19% chance to win against Lorenzo Sonego according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.18.
- Lorenzo Sonego has a 30.81% probability of winning facing Taylor Fritz ⭐ with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Taylor Fritz has a 69.19 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | 69.19 % |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 30.81 % |
Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego Form
Taylor Fritz and Lorenzo Sonego Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
6 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
5 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
3 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
7 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
16 Aug 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open
2 Nov 2021 - Rolex Paris Masters
10 Apr 2021 - Cagliari, Italy, Qualifying
Taylor Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego Key Points
- Fritz has won six of his previous eight matches against Sonego.
- Sonego has lost all four of his hard court matches against Fritz.
- All three of the wins Fritz has had over Sonego in an outdoor hard court match were won in straight sets.
- Fritz has made it to at least the quarter-finals in each of his last four tournaments.
- Sonego hasn't won two successive matches in an ATP Tour hard court event since February.
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Our Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction
Lorenzo Sonego had a much-needed win in round two. The Italian is 35th in the live rankings and has work to do to be seeded at the upcoming US Open. He's not won two successive matches in a hard court tournament since doing so in February.
Taylor Fritz has never lost to Sonego on this surface. He's fourth in the live rankings and far more consistent than his opponent. Our Taylor Fritz v Lorenzo Sonego prediction is Taylor Fritz to win in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Taylor Fritz vs. Lorenzo Sonego game!
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It does not matter whether you bet on Taylor Fritz or Lorenzo Sonego , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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