Switzerland vs Slovenia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

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Europe - UEFA Nations League

Switzerland
03/10/2026 14:45
Slovenia

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

It’s a top-of-the-table clash between two unbeaten nations in Group B1 of the UEFA Nations League (UNL) as Switzerland host Slovenia on matchday two. This match on Saturday at Thermoplan Arena in Luzern between the 1st-placed ‘Red Crosses’ and the 2nd-placed Slovenians could end up being a tight game with under 2.5 goals, our match prediction.

After two matchdays, the Swiss are top of the group standings with six points (W2), while Slovenia are right behind with four points (W1, D1).

Switzerland won 3-0 away at Scotland on Tuesday to bring up their second win in this UNL cycle. Both those wins have come by the same 3-0 scoreline, making it four clean sheets in their last five matches within 90 minutes.

That’s a far cry from what the Swiss dished out in the last UNL cycle, where they failed to win a single game in League A (D2, L4) and got relegated, with both those draws coming in their latest home UNL games.

Slovenia won 2-0 against North Macedonia on Tuesday, building up on the 0-0 draw against Scotland on matchday one. Both those games were played at home, and the Slovenians are now unbeaten in five UNL matches within 90 minutes (W1, D4).

Away form remains a concern, as Slovenia have won just one of their last six designated away games (D2, L3).

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Switzerland v Slovenia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.33 4.8 8.6
1xbet
1.37 5.01 10
Melbet
1.34 4.9 9.7
Betwinner
1.34 4.9 9.7
Bet365
1.3 4.75 9.5
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What is the prediction for the football match between Switzerland and Slovenia?

Our prediction for the Switzerland vs Slovenia match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/10/2026 between Switzerland and Slovenia in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.71% for a win of Switzerland against Slovenia with odds of 1.37 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Switzerland vs Slovenia is 32.12% with odds of 5.01 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 10.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Slovenia vs Switzerland with odds of 10.5 at Betsson.

Switzerland vs Slovenia Form

Switzerland and Slovenia's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Switzerland
6 2 2 0 0 +6
2 Slovenia
4 2 1 1 0 +2

Switzerland and Slovenia Last Matches

Switzerland
Switzerland Last matches
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Scotland
0 :  3
Switzerland

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

North Macedonia
0 :  3
Switzerland

11 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Argentina
3 :  1
Switzerland

7 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
0 :  0
Colombia

2 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
2 :  0
Algeria

24 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
2 :  1
Canada
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
0 :  0
Colombia

2 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
2 :  0
Algeria

24 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
2 :  1
Canada

18 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
1 :  1
Australia

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
4 :  1
Jordan
D D D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Scotland
0 :  3
Switzerland

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

North Macedonia
0 :  3
Switzerland

11 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Argentina
3 :  1
Switzerland

13 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Qatar
1 :  1
Switzerland

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
0 :  0
Switzerland

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Kosovo
1 :  1
Switzerland
Slovenia
Slovenia Last matches
L W D L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovenia
2 :  0
North Macedonia

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovenia
0 :  0
Scotland

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Croatia
2 :  1
Slovenia

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovenia
1 :  1
Cyprus

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Montenegro
2 :  3
Slovenia

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
1 :  0
Slovenia
D D L D D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovenia
2 :  0
North Macedonia

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovenia
0 :  0
Scotland

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovenia
1 :  1
Cyprus

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
0 :  2
Kosovo

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
0 :  0
Switzerland

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
2 :  2
Sweden
L D D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Croatia
2 :  1
Slovenia

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Montenegro
2 :  3
Slovenia

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
1 :  0
Slovenia

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Kosovo
0 :  0
Slovenia

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
3 :  0
Slovenia

Switzerland vs Slovenia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Switzerland

50 %

Draw

50 %

Slovenia

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
0 :  0
Switzerland

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
3 :  0
Slovenia
Switzerland vs Slovenia Prediction

Switzerland vs Slovenia last Lineups

Switzerland

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
G. Kobel
13
R. Rodriguez
4
N. Elvedi
5
M. Akanji
16
Z. Athekame
8
R. Freuler
14
A. Jashari
20
M. Aebischer
9
J. Manzambi
11
D. Ndoye
10
Z. Amdouni
18
Z. Vipotnik
15
D. Sturm
8
S. Lovric
7
T. Begic
2
Z. Karnicnik
22
A. Gnezda Cerin
13
E. Janza
21
V. Drkusic
6
J. Bijol
23
D. Brekalo
1
J. Oblak

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Slovenia

Substitutes

Switzerland
Switzerland
Goalkeeper

Y. Mvogo

M. Keller

Defender

S. Britschgi

A. Bajrami

E. Coemert

I. Schmidt

Midfielder

A. Sanches

F. Rieder

V. Sierro

D. Sow

Forward

W. Boteli

C. Itten

Slovenia
Slovenia
Goalkeeper

Z. Leban

M. Vidovsek

Defender

J. Balkovec

D. Zec

S. Kuzmic

Midfielder

T. Elsnik

T. Horvat

T. Svetlin

M. Zabukovnik

Forward

A. Sporar

Z. Celar

A. Matko

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Switzerland
CD Huachipato Slovenia
Top Goalscorer
Switzerland Z. Amdouni (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Slovenia S. Lovric (1 Goals) ,  Slovenia A. Matko (1 Goals)
Best assists
Switzerland Z. Athekame (2 Assists) , 
Switzerland D. Ndoye (2 Assists)
Best assists
Slovenia D. Sturm (1 Assists) , 
Slovenia T. Begic (1 Assists)

Switzerland and Slovenia Stats in UEFA Nations League

Switzerland
Switzerland
Slovenia
Slovenia
100%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
50%
3
Average goals per match
1
3
Goals scored per match
1
0
Goals conceded per match
0
0%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
100%
No goals conceded
100%
0%
BTTS
0%

Switzerland - Slovenia Key Points

  1. Switzerland kept a clean sheet in four of their last five matches within 90 minutes.
  2. Slovenia’s last five UNL matches have all produced fewer than three goals.
  3. Five of Slovenia’s last six away UNL matches have produced two or fewer goals.
  4. Four of the last six matches between these sides produced under 2.5 goals.
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Our Switzerland vs Slovenia Prediction

Switzerland have started on a high, keeping a clean sheet in both their matches in this UNL cycle, while Slovenia are not far behind by keeping a clean sheet in both their games and staying unbeaten. The Slovenians have gone unbeaten in five UNL matches now, which makes them a tricky opponent, but the Swiss have strong momentum in their corner.

Eight of Slovenia’s last ten matches have produced fewer than three goals, and that trend could continue here. That’s why our Switzerland vs Slovenia prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.