Sweden vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
28/09/2026 14:45
Poland

Prediction :

 

Sweden wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Sweden and Poland, two nations separated by one spot in the FIFA ranking, face off in Round 2 of the UEFA Nations League. They clash in League B in a repeat of the dramatic playoff that saw Sweden head to the 2026 World Cup. Sweden are unbeaten in nine home games against Poland, and our prediction will back them for a 10th.

Sweden have all the reasons to stay positive going into this encounter. They booked an opening win in this league, beating Romania 2-1 to shoot to the Group B4 summit.

Facing Poland at home will be a chance to further extend their advantage, as they have done well against this visitor.

While Sweden take into this encounter a four-game unbeaten run at home (2W, 2D), Poland are checking in winless in their last four matches (2L, 2D).

This streak started with a loss to Sweden in March and has culminated in a winless start to the Nations League. They are coming off a 0-0 draw with a tricky Bosnia & Herzegovina.

The visitors will need a boost to their confidence here. Despite still having the evergreen Robert Lewandowski, Poland have failed to score in two of their last three matches.

The one stat that will fuel some optimism is that they only failed to score in one of the last seven away matches. However, they've gone on to lose four of the seven games.

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Sweden v Poland Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
2.09 3.60 3.15
1xbet
2.02 3.80 3.42
Melbet
1.99 3.78 3.48
Betwinner
2.11 3.72 3.22
22bet
1.98 3.80 3.50
Check all Sweden vs Poland odds
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Sweden vs Poland Form

Sweden and Poland's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Sweden
13 5 4 1 0 +5
3 Poland
4 5 1 1 3 +2

Sweden and Poland Last Matches

Sweden
Sweden Last matches
D W L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
2 :  1
Romania

30 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Japan
1 :  1
Sweden

20 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
5 :  1
Sweden

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
5 :  1
Tunisia

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece
L D W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
2 :  1
Romania

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
5 :  1
Tunisia

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  1
Kosovo
L W L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Japan
1 :  1
Sweden

20 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
5 :  1
Sweden

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Sweden
Poland
Poland Last matches
W W L L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  2
Nigeria

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
0 :  2
Ukraine

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  1
Albania

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Malta
2 :  3
Poland
W D W L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  2
Nigeria

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
0 :  2
Ukraine

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  1
Albania

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Poland
1 :  1
Netherlands

9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Poland
1 :  0
New Zealand
L L D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Malta
2 :  3
Poland

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
0 :  2
Poland

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Netherlands
1 :  1
Poland

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Poland

15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
5 :  1
Poland

Sweden vs Poland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sweden

67 %

Draw

0 %

Poland

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

29 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  0
Sweden

23 Jun 2021 - Euro

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland
Sweden vs Poland Prediction

Sweden against Poland Lineups: Starting 11

Sweden

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

12
V. Johansson
8
D. Svensson
15
C. Starfelt
3
V. Lindelof
5
G. Gudmundsson
11
P. Walemark
7
L. Bergvall
18
Y. Ayari
22
B. Zeneli
10
B. Nygren
17
V. Gyokeres
13
M. Zukowski
20
S. Szymanski
15
T. Puchacz
16
W. Nowak
10
P. Zielinski
21
N. Zalewski
14
J. Kiwior
5
J. Bednarek
3
P. Wisniewski
2
M. Cash
1
M. Bulka

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Poland

Substitutes

Sweden
Sweden
Goalkeeper

N. Tornqvist

M. Ellborg

Defender

A. Bernhardsson

P. Walemark 80'

G. Lagerbielke

J. Mellberg

H. Skoglund

E. Stroud

Midfielder

W. Swedberg

Y. Ayari 89'

P. Abraham

H. Larsson

B. Nygren 80'

J. Karlstrom

V. Gyokeres 89'

S. Nanasi

B. Zeneli 63'

Poland
Poland
Goalkeeper

M. Kochalski

S. Abramowicz

Defender

T. Kedziora

K. Potulski

W. Monka

P. Frankowski

T. Puchacz 65'

Midfielder

B. Slisz

K. Urbanski

P. Zielinski 75'

M. Regula

Forward

R. Lewandowski

P. Wisniewski 88'

M. Skoras

S. Szymanski 75'

K. Swiderski

M. Cash 75'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sweden
CD Huachipato Poland
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Poland R. Lewandowski (3 Goals)
Best assists
Sweden Y. Ayari (1 Assists) , 
Sweden S. Nanasi (1 Assists) , 
Sweden P. Walemark (1 Assists) , 
Sweden V. Lindelof (1 Assists) , 
Sweden A. Bernhardsson (1 Assists) , 
Sweden A. Elanga (1 Assists)
Best assists
Poland N. Zalewski (2 Assists) , 
Poland S. Szymanski (2 Assists)

Sweden - Poland Key Points

  1. Sweden have beaten Poland in four of their last five meetings.
  2. Poland are winless in their last four matches, losing twice.
  3. Poland suffered four defeats in their last seven away matches.
  4. In their last nine home matches against Poland, Sweden are unbeaten, winning eight.
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Our Sweden vs Poland Prediction

Sweden have had more joy than Poland in this fixture, but they can’t afford to rest on their laurels yet. They will know too well that Poland are here on a revenge mission, the Swedes having denied them the chance to progress to the 2026 World Cup.

While Poland wishes to get one over Sweden, this trip has rarely brought them joy. The Poles are winless in nine away matches against Sweden, eight of which they lost. Our prediction for Sweden v Poland is that Sweden wins.

Prediction :

 

Sweden wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.