Sweden vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Nella Wagah | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Sweden and Poland, two nations separated by one spot in the FIFA ranking, face off in Round 2 of the UEFA Nations League. They clash in League B in a repeat of the dramatic playoff that saw Sweden head to the 2026 World Cup. Sweden are unbeaten in nine home games against Poland, and our prediction will back them for a 10th.
Sweden have all the reasons to stay positive going into this encounter. They booked an opening win in this league, beating Romania 2-1 to shoot to the Group B4 summit.
Facing Poland at home will be a chance to further extend their advantage, as they have done well against this visitor.
While Sweden take into this encounter a four-game unbeaten run at home (2W, 2D), Poland are checking in winless in their last four matches (2L, 2D).
This streak started with a loss to Sweden in March and has culminated in a winless start to the Nations League. They are coming off a 0-0 draw with a tricky Bosnia & Herzegovina.
The visitors will need a boost to their confidence here. Despite still having the evergreen Robert Lewandowski, Poland have failed to score in two of their last three matches.
The one stat that will fuel some optimism is that they only failed to score in one of the last seven away matches. However, they've gone on to lose four of the seven games.
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Sweden v Poland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.92 | 3.65 | 3.6 |
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1.95 | 3.89 | 3.83 |
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|
1.91 | 3.8 | 3.74 |
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|
1.91 | 3.8 | 3.74 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.8 | 3.74 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sweden and Poland?
Our prediction for the Sweden vs Poland match is: Sweden wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2026 between Sweden and Poland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.1% for a win of Sweden against Poland with odds of 1.98 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sweden vs Poland is 25.05% with odds of 3.89 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Poland vs Sweden with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
Sweden vs Poland Form
Sweden and Poland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
|
2
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Sweden and Poland Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Sweden vs Poland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
23 Jun 2021 - Euro
Sweden vs Poland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Ellborg
N. Tornqvist
DefenderH. Skoglund
H. Ekdal
G. Gudmundsson
D. Svensson
J. Mellberg
MidfielderW. Swedberg
J. Karlstrom
B. Nygren
P. Walemark
H. Larsson
S. Abramowicz
M. Kochalski
DefenderT. Puchacz
P. Frankowski
T. Kedziora
P. Wisniewski
MidfielderK. Urbanski
W. Nowak
M. Regula
N. Zalewski
ForwardK. Swiderski
M. Zukowski
Sweden and Poland Stats in UEFA Nations League
Sweden - Poland Key Points
- Sweden have beaten Poland in four of their last five meetings.
- Poland are winless in their last four matches, losing twice.
- Poland suffered four defeats in their last seven away matches.
- In their last nine home matches against Poland, Sweden are unbeaten, winning eight.
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Our Sweden vs Poland Prediction
Sweden have had more joy than Poland in this fixture, but they can’t afford to rest on their laurels yet. They will know too well that Poland are here on a revenge mission, the Swedes having denied them the chance to progress to the 2026 World Cup.
While Poland wishes to get one over Sweden, this trip has rarely brought them joy. The Poles are winless in nine away matches against Sweden, eight of which they lost. Our prediction for Sweden v Poland is that Sweden wins.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sweden vs. Poland game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
