Finland vs San Marino Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Their respective UEFA Nations League (UNL) campaigns are over, but Finland and San Marino still have reasonable targets as they finish their League C final matchday on Sunday at Bolt Arena. This match in Helsinki between the 3rd-placed ‘Eagle-Owls’ and the 4th-placed ‘La Serenissima’ could be a high-scoring one, going by the history in this fixture, so our match prediction is over 3.5 goals.
Finland have seven points (W2, D1, L2) and are set to finish third even if they win, owing to their inferior head-to-head record against Belarus. San Marino have no points (L5) and are guaranteed to finish last.
A 2-0 away loss at Albania on Thursday ended Finland’s hopes of catching the top two, as it was their second defeat in a row. This run has erased the positive three-game unbeaten start (W2, D1), including a 7-0 win in the reverse fixture. Home form gives an extra edge for Finland (W4, D1) in UNL League C.
San Marino lost 2-0 at home against Belarus on Thursday, marking their seventh defeat in a row. Four of their five defeats in this UNL campaign have come without scoring, which remains a concern. The visitors have lost 18 of their last 19 matches (D1), while eight consecutive defeats away from home is an equally big concern.
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Finland v San Marino Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 15.00 | 35.00 |
|
|
1.02 | 20.00 | 51.00 |
|
|
1.02 | 20.00 | 51.00 |
|
|
1.02 | 18.00 | 45.00 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Finland and San Marino?
Our prediction for the Finland vs San Marino match is: over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/11/2026 between Finland and San Marino in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 82.23% for a win of Finland against San Marino with odds of 1.02 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Finland vs San Marino is 14.49% with odds of 20 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 3.28% chance ⭐ for a win of San Marino vs Finland with odds of 51 at Melbet.
Finland vs San Marino Form
Finland and San Marino's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +5 |
|
4
|
0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -17 |
Finland and San Marino Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
Finland vs San Marino Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
Finland vs San Marino last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
V. Sinisalo
L. Bergstrom
DefenderR. Ivanov
T. Miettinen
MidfielderL. Hyrylainen
D. Hakans
A. Suhonen
O. Valakari
S. Vaananen
N. Skytta
ForwardJ. Lahteenmaki
J. Pohjanpalo
M. De Angelis
P. Amici
DefenderA. Tosi
D. Rossi
T. Benvenuti
MidfielderP. Marinucci
A. Contadini
A. Golinucci
M. Mularoni
S. Pancotti
C. Meloni
ForwardF. Salicioni
Most goals and assists
Finland
San Marino
L. Walta
(4 Goals)
L. Lazzari
(1 Goals)
A. Svanback
(2 Assists)
L. Capicchioni
(1 Assists)
Finland and San Marino Stats in UEFA Nations League
Finland - San Marino Key Points
- Finland scored 2+ goals in four of their last six home matches.
- San Marino have conceded 16 goals in their four UNL games this term.
- San Marino lost 19 of their last 20 matches, drawing the other.
- Finland scored 30 goals in the seven previous head-to-head matches, including a 7-0 win in reverse fixture.
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Our Finland vs San Marino Prediction
San Marino lost all five of their games this UNL cycle and have conceded 18 goals so far. Although seven of those goals were conceded in the reverse fixture, San Marino’s defence still remains a concern. Finland’s campaign is over, and the best they can do is end the season on a high with a big win.
Recent games featuring San Marino may not be high-scoring, but their record against Finland is unflattering. This match could see the hosts feast on goals, so our Finland vs San Marino prediction is over 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
