Belgium vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Belgium hosts Italy in a League A Group 1 cracker to wrap up the first stage of this season’s Nations League. Top spot is up for grabs here, as Italy head into the match atop the group with 10 points, while Belgium, in third, have nine. An average of 2.9 goals have been scored in these teams’ last 10 meetings, and our prediction is for a high score.
Belgium were strong starters this season in the Nations League, beating Italy 2-0 away from home. They would soon fizzle out courtesy of two defeats by France, but wins against Turkey ensured they enter this round with hopes of finishing in the top two positions still intact.
On Thursday they came from behind to beat Turkey 2-1.
Italy also needed a comeback in their latest game, against France, which they won 3-1 at home. While it was a welcome outcome, Italy will still feel they need to do a lot in defence.
They haven’t managed a clean sheet in five Nations League matches. In terms of attack, they’ve registered many positives, as they scored in each of the four games that followed their home loss against Belgium.
Italy have scored 3+ in three of their last four matches. As both sides have scored in six of these sides’ last 10 meetings, a bet for over 2.5 goals here might pass.
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Belgium v Italy Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.09 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.84 | 3.29 |
|
|
2.10 | 3.76 | 3.20 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.76 | 2.78 |
|
|
2.10 | 3.76 | 3.20 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Belgium and Italy?
Our prediction for the Belgium vs Italy match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/11/2026 between Belgium and Italy in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.88% for a win of Belgium against Italy with odds of 2.2 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belgium vs Italy is 29.42% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy vs Belgium with odds of 3.29 at 1xbet.
Belgium vs Italy Form
Belgium and Italy's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 |
|
3
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 |
Belgium and Italy Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jul 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jul 2026 - World Cup
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
Belgium vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
20 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2021 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2021 - Euro
Belgium vs Italy last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Vandevoordt
M. Penders
DefenderK. Sabbe
J. Seys
J. Ndenge Kongolo
A. Theate
MidfielderM. Keita
H. Vanaken
ForwardM. Godts
D. Lukebakio
H. Cuypers
L. Trossard
G. Vicario
M. Carnesecchi
DefenderF. Dimarco
M. Palestra
D. Ghilardi
MidfielderI. Doumbia
A. Romano
S. Ricci
N. Fagioli
A. Vergara
ForwardG. Scamacca
L. Koleosho
Missing players
G. Mancini
Most goals and assists
Belgium
Italy
K. De Bruyne
(3 Goals)
F. Esposito
(4 Goals)
C. De Ketelaere
(2 Assists)
F. Esposito
(1 Assists)
,
N. Barella
(1 Assists)
,
A. Romano
(1 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(1 Assists)
,
N. Cambiaghi
(1 Assists)
Belgium and Italy Stats in UEFA Nations League
Belgium - Italy Key Points
- Italy have scored three or more in three of their last four games.
- Belgium’s last three matches posted over 2.5 goals on average.
- 14 goals have been scored in Belgium’s last five matches.
- Six times in the last 10 meetings between these sides over 2.5 goals were scored.
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Our Belgium vs Italy Prediction
A total of 29 goals have been scored in the last 10 meetings between these two nations. With the stakes so high, there seems to be a strong possibility that we will have another exciting game.
While Italy have scored three or more in three of their last four games, they haven’t kept a clean sheet in five. Belgium are also coming off high-scoring games, while they haven’t managed a lot of shutouts lately. Our prediction for Belgium v Italy is for over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
