Latvia vs Armenia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
15/11/2026 08:00
Armenia

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

In an inconsequential game to finish the UEFA Nations League (UNL) group C2 engagements, Latvia’s quest for a first win sees them host Armenia. This match on Sunday at Skonto Stadions in Riga between the 4th-placed ’11 Wolves’ and the 3rd-placed ‘Havakakan’ could be a low-scoring one with goals likely to be at a premium. That’s why our match prediction is under 2.5 goals.

With one point (D1, L4), Latvia start this matchday at the bottom of the standings and are four points behind the third-placed Armenia. The visitors have just five points (W1, D2, L2) and are three points behind Cyprus, whom they can’t catch even with a win, owing to their poor head-to-head record against Cyprus.

Latvia lost 2-1 away at Montenegro to continue their poor recent run with six defeats from their last seven matches (D1). One of those defeats was a 2-0 result in the away reverse leg on matchday one. Even at home they have struggled with four defeats from their last six home UNL matches.

Armenia drew 1-1 at home against Cyprus last matchday to keep them winless in four games (D2, L2) since starting with a win. Having failed to win against Cyprus in this edition, they are set to finish third, while a winless eight-game away sequence (D2, L6) doesn’t guarantee a positive result here.

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Latvia v Armenia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
2.90 3.25 2.24
1xbet
3.03 3.35 2.49
Melbet
2.94 3.38 2.39
888Starz
2.97 3.28 2.44
Betsson
2.95 3.30 2.25
Check all Latvia vs Armenia odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Latvia and Armenia?

Our prediction for the Latvia vs Armenia match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/11/2026 between Latvia and Armenia in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.8% for a win of Latvia against Armenia with odds of 3.03 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Latvia vs Armenia is 33.37% with odds of 3.38 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Armenia vs Latvia with odds of 2.49 at 1xbet.

Latvia vs Armenia Form

Latvia and Armenia's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Armenia
5 5 1 2 2 -1
4 Latvia
1 5 0 1 4 -5

Latvia and Armenia Last Matches

Latvia
Latvia Last matches
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
2 :  1
Latvia

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Cyprus
2 :  1
Latvia

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
1 :  2
Montenegro

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
0 :  0
Cyprus

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
2 :  0
Latvia

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Faroe Islands
D L W L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
1 :  2
Montenegro

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
0 :  0
Cyprus

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Faroe Islands

31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
1 :  0
Gibraltar

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  5
England

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
2 :  2
Andorra
L W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
2 :  1
Latvia

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Cyprus
2 :  1
Latvia

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
2 :  0
Latvia

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Latvia

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
0 :  1
Latvia

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
2 :  1
Latvia
Armenia
Armenia Last matches
D W L L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
1 :  1
Cyprus

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
0 :  0
Armenia

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Cyprus
2 :  0
Armenia

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
2 :  3
Montenegro

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
2 :  0
Latvia

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Moldova
L D D W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Nov 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
1 :  1
Cyprus

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
2 :  3
Montenegro

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
2 :  0
Latvia

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Moldova

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Kazakhstan

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  2
Belarus
D L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
0 :  0
Armenia

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Cyprus
2 :  0
Armenia

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Portugal
9 :  1
Armenia

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Ireland
1 :  0
Armenia

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Hungary
2 :  0
Armenia

9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Montenegro
2 :  2
Armenia

Latvia vs Armenia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Latvia

20 %

Draw

0 %

Armenia

80 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
2 :  0
Latvia

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
1 :  2
Armenia

7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
4 :  1
Latvia

12 Oct 2023 - Euro

Latvia
2 :  0
Armenia

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

Armenia
2 :  1
Latvia
Latvia vs Armenia Prediction

Latvia vs Armenia last Lineups

Latvia

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

23
R. Matrevics
13
R. Jurkovskis
21
D. Melniks
5
A. Cernomordijs
4
O. Vientiess
3
D. Cirkin
7
E. Daskevics
17
L. Vapne
15
D. Zelenkovs
14
A. Ciganiks
20
R. Uldrikis
18
A. Garibyan
10
Z. Shaghoyan
9
A. Serobyan
22
N. Grigoryan
6
I. Ugochukwu
8
K. Hovhannisyan
21
N. Tiknizyan
5
S. Mkrtchyan
4
G. Arutiunian
2
A. Bandikyan
16
A. Mishiev

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Armenia

Substitutes

Latvia
Latvia
Goalkeeper

N. Purins

F. Orols

Defender

D. Balodis

Midfielder

E. Emsis

R. Savalnieks

J. Ikaunieks

K. Cudars

D. Patijcuks

K. Grabovskis

Forward

V. Gutkovskis

A. Aleksanjan

Armenia
Armenia
Goalkeeper

O. Chancharevich

A. Beglaryan

Defender

A. Petrosyan

E. Grigoryan

E. Piloyan

Midfielder

E. Piloyan

N. Hovhannisyan

K. Muradyan

H. Harutyunyan

E. Sevikyan

Forward

G. Ranos

G. Manvelyan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Latvia
CD Huachipato Armenia
Top Goalscorer
Latvia M. Strods (1 Goals) , 
Latvia E. Daskevics (1 Goals) , 
Latvia D. Melniks (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Armenia A. Garibyan (2 Goals)
Best assists
Latvia K. Cudars (1 Assists) , 
Latvia V. Gutkovskis (1 Assists) , 
Latvia A. Ciganiks (1 Assists)
Best assists
Armenia Z. Shaghoyan (1 Assists) , 
Armenia E. Spertsyan (1 Assists) , 
Armenia A. Serobyan (1 Assists)

Latvia and Armenia Stats in UEFA Nations League

Latvia
Latvia
Armenia
Armenia
0%
Wins
25%
75%
Losses
50%
25%
Draws
25%
2
Average goals per match
2.25
0.5
Goals scored per match
1
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.25
50%
Under 2.5 goals
75%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
25%
No goals conceded
50%
50%
BTTS
25%

Latvia - Armenia Key Points

  1. Six of Latvia’s last nine matches saw under 2.5 goals during regular time.
  2. In six of their last ten UNL matches, Latvia saw fewer than three goals scored.
  3. Six of Armenia’s last seven matches saw at most two goals scored.
  4. Armenia have scored just one goal in their last three UNL matches.
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Our Latvia vs Armenia Prediction

Latvia won just one point in this UNL campaign and are bound to finish fourth irrespective of the result here. Armenia are also set to finish third, although they would love to do the double over Latvia, having defeated them 2-0 on matchday one.

There’s little left for both teams in terms of qualification, having already been eliminated from promotion – direct or playoffs. This match could go the same way as the reverse leg, and our Latvia vs Armenia prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.