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Stade Toulousain vs RC Toulonnais Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
26/10/2025 16:05
RC Toulonnais

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain -23.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Fifth-placed Stade Toulousain host eighth-placed RC Toulon in this Top 14 matchday eight fixture on Sunday at Stade Ernest-Wallon. The defending champions will look to return to winning ways against the visitors following last week's defeat against Section Paloise. Here is our prediction for the match.

Stade Toulousain surrendered a seven-point lead in the first half to fall 30-26 against Section Paloise in their last outing. This result marked their third defeat in five Top 14 matches and saw them fall five points behind table-toppers Stade Francais Paris.

However, the Red and Blacks have proven difficult opponents for visiting teams since last season, winning 17 of their last 18 matches at Stade Ernest-Wallon. This includes a perfect record in their three home matches this season, all won by wide margins. 

After a 17-point loss to Clermont, RC Toulon returned to winning ways at the weekend by defeating Racing 92 45-21. They won both halves to secure their fourth victory in six matches this season.

Nevertheless, Pierre Mignoni's side have struggled in their recent encounters with Stade Toulousain. They have lost their last three meetings with the Toulouse-based giants, two of which by 34 points or more. They have also lost their last eight away matches, including their last four trips to Stade Ernest-Wallon.

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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Toulousain v RC Toulonnais Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.02 51 13
William Hill
1.02 41 12
Betway
1.02 51 15
Ladbrokes
1.04 41 10
Unibet
1.01 56 17
Check all Stade Toulousain vs RC Toulonnais odds

Stade Toulousain vs RC Toulonnais Form

Stade Toulousain and RC Toulonnais's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
20 7 4 0 3 70
8
RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais
19 6 4 0 2 34

Stade Toulousain and RC Toulonnais Last Matches

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
30 :  26
Stade Toulousain

12 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
56 :  13
Union Bordeaux Begles

5 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
40 :  26
Stade Toulousain

27 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  12
Castres Olympique

20 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
44 :  14
Stade Toulousain

13 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  13
USA Perpignan
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

12 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
56 :  13
Union Bordeaux Begles

27 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  12
Castres Olympique

13 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  13
USA Perpignan

28 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  33
Union Bordeaux Begles

20 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
32 :  25
Aviron Bayonne

1 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
43 :  3
Lyon Ou
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
30 :  26
Stade Toulousain

5 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
40 :  26
Stade Toulousain

20 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
44 :  14
Stade Toulousain

7 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
24 :  34
Stade Toulousain

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
42 :  35
Stade Toulousain

10 May 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  50
Stade Toulousain
RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais Last matches
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

19 Oct 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
45 :  21
Racing 92

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
27 :  10
RC Toulonnais

4 Oct 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
33 :  17
Section Paloise

28 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  32
RC Toulonnais

13 Sep 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  12
Castres Olympique

6 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
17 :  27
RC Toulonnais
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

19 Oct 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
45 :  21
Racing 92

4 Oct 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
33 :  17
Section Paloise

13 Sep 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  12
Castres Olympique

14 Jun 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
52 :  23
Castres Olympique

1 Jun 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  10
Union Bordeaux Begles

10 May 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  50
Stade Toulousain
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
27 :  10
RC Toulonnais

28 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  32
RC Toulonnais

6 Sep 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
17 :  27
RC Toulonnais

21 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
39 :  24
RC Toulonnais

7 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
18 :  10
RC Toulonnais

17 May 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
25 :  21
RC Toulonnais

Stade Toulousain vs RC Toulonnais Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Toulousain

67 %

Draw

0 %

RC Toulonnais

33 %

10 May 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
16 :  50
Stade Toulousain

13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
18 :  21
Stade Toulousain

27 Oct 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
57 :  5
RC Toulonnais

20 Apr 2024 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
20 :  19
Stade Toulousain

23 Dec 2023 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
25 :  17
RC Toulonnais

18 Feb 2023 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
17 :  6
Stade Toulousain

Stade Toulousain - RC Toulonnais Key Points

  1. Stade Toulousain have won 17 of their last 18 home matches, dating back to last season.
  2. Stade Toulousain have won their three Top 14 home matches this season by wide margins.
  3. Stade Toulousain have won their last three encounters with RC Toulon, two of which by 34 points or more.
  4. RC Toulon have lost eight of their last nine away matches, including their last five trips to face Stade Toulousain.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs RC Toulonnais Prediction

Stade Toulousain will be desperate to bounce back and relaunch themselves into the race to retain the title. They enter this match as the overwhelming favorites given their impressive home record since last season. The defending champions have also won their three Top 14 home matches this season by wide margins.

Meanwhile, RC Toulon have endured a poor run of form on the road, and have lost their last three meetings with the Ugo Mola-led side, two of which by 34 points or more. Our Stade Toulousain vs RC Toulon prediction is Stade Toulousain -23.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain -23.5 handicap points

 
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Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Stade Toulousain and RC Toulonnais? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Top 14! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stade Toulousain vs RC Toulonnais Prediction

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