Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayer Leverkusen will hope to break their string of draws as they visit high-flying St Pauli on matchday five of the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign on Saturday. This match at Millerntor-Stadion between the fifth-placed Kiezkicker (seven points) and the 11th-placed Die Werkself (five points) comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
St Pauli are only a win away from second-placed Dortmund ahead of this matchday, while Leverkusen find themselves equidistant (two points) from their hosts and the relegation zone.
A 2-0 away loss to Stuttgart on the last matchday was St Pauli’s first defeat of the campaign. They started the season with three wins in four competitive matches, including a win via penalties in the cup competition.
It’s the home form that could give them a hope of returning to their best, as St. Pauli have picked up four points from their two home league games this season.
Leverkusen were held to a 1-1 home draw by Borussia Monchengladbach last matchday, making it three draws and one win from their last four competitive games.
Two of those draws came in the league, and both saw them concede an equaliser beyond regular time. Working on that will be top priority as Leverkusen look to extend their unbeaten away run this season (W1, D2).
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The Best Betting Odds for St. Pauli v Bayer Leverkusen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.05% for a win of St. Pauli against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 3.4 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen is 33.74% with odds of 3.65 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli with odds of 2.25 at 22bet.
St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
|
11
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sep 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sep 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
12 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
D. Nemeth
K. Mets
MidfielderR. Jones
J. Irvine
ForwardA. Ceesay
J. Belocian
MidfielderE. Palacios
E. Fernandez
R. Andrich
ForwardM. Terrier
Most goals and assists
St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
P. Schick
(4 Goals)
, 
A. Grimaldo
(4 Goals)
D. Sinani
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Saliakas
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Fujita
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Pereira Lage
(1 Assists)
C. Kofane
(1 Assists)
, 
N. Tella
(1 Assists)
,
A. Grimaldo
(1 Assists)
St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen Stats in Bundesliga
St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- St. Pauli scored at least two goals in three of their four league matches this season.
- St. Pauli failed to keep a clean sheet in nine of their last ten home Bundesliga matches.
- In four of their last six home league matches, St. Pauli saw both teams score goals.
- In their last five competitive matches this season, Leverkusen saw goals from both teams.
- Six of Leverkusen’s last seven away league matches including four in a row produced BTTS.
- The two league matches between these teams last season saw both teams score goals.
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Our St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Leverkusen extended their unbeaten run to four matches last weekend, but the visitors are still sweating over converting those to wins. Three of those were draws, as they find themselves far from those in the title hunt. St Pauli are in better shape, although they come here on the back of a defeat to Stuttgart, where they failed to score.
Leverkusen’s matches have been full of goals this season, while last season’s games between these sides also saw BTTS. That’s why our St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is both teams to score.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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