Slovenia vs North Macedonia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Slovenia
29/09/2026 14:45
North Macedonia

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

The two laggards of Group 1 in League B of the 2026-26 UEFA Nations League (UNL) – Slovenia and North Macedonia – will face off on matchday two on Tuesday. This match at Stadion Stozice in Ljubljana between the third-placed Slovenians and the fourth-placed ‘Lions’ could be a low-scoring encounter, and under 2.5 goals is our match prediction.

After the first matchday, Slovenia have one point, while North Macedonia have none. The first two teams will be in line for promotion, while the last-placed side will face the risk of relegation.

Slovenia kept Scotland at bay in a 0-0 home draw in their first game of this year’s competition. That result not just underlined their failure to score but also meant they won just once across their last 11 fixtures (D6, L4).

Goals remain in low supply in Slovenia’s Nations League fixtures, with their last three matches in this competition ending in 0-0 draws within 90 minutes.

North Macedonia couldn’t stand up to Switzerland’s assault, losing 3-0 at home on matchday one. The result extended their winless run to nine games (D5, L4), including consecutive defeats.

The concern for the visitors is that they failed to score in seven of those nine games, including five in a row. Worryingly, they have even failed to score in five of their last six away fixtures.

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Slovenia v North Macedonia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.6 3.7 5.6
1xbet
1.69 3.78 5.71
Melbet
1.65 3.72 5.65
Betwinner
1.65 3.7 5.6
22bet
1.65 3.72 5.65
Check all Slovenia vs North Macedonia odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Slovenia and North Macedonia?

Our prediction for the Slovenia vs North Macedonia match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/09/2026 between Slovenia and North Macedonia in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35% for a win of Slovenia against North Macedonia with odds of 1.69 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Slovenia vs North Macedonia is 43.54% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.46% chance ⭐ for a win of North Macedonia vs Slovenia with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.

Slovenia vs North Macedonia Form

Slovenia and North Macedonia's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Slovenia
1 1 0 1 0 0
4 North Macedonia
0 1 0 0 1 -3

Slovenia and North Macedonia Last Matches

Slovenia
Slovenia Last matches
D L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovenia
0 :  0
Scotland

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Croatia
2 :  1
Slovenia

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovenia
1 :  1
Cyprus

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Montenegro
2 :  3
Slovenia

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
1 :  0
Slovenia

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia
W D D L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovenia
0 :  0
Scotland

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovenia
1 :  1
Cyprus

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
0 :  2
Kosovo

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
0 :  0
Switzerland

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Slovenia
2 :  2
Sweden

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Slovenia
2 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina
L D D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Croatia
2 :  1
Slovenia

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Montenegro
2 :  3
Slovenia

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
1 :  0
Slovenia

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Kosovo
0 :  0
Slovenia

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
3 :  0
Slovenia
North Macedonia
North Macedonia Last matches
L L D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

North Macedonia
0 :  3
Switzerland

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Turkiye
4 :  0
North Macedonia

29 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Bosnia Herzegovina
0 :  0
North Macedonia

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Ireland
0 :  0
North Macedonia

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Denmark
4 :  0
North Macedonia

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Wales
7 :  1
North Macedonia
D D W D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

North Macedonia
0 :  3
Switzerland

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

North Macedonia
0 :  0
Latvia

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

North Macedonia
1 :  1
Kazakhstan

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

North Macedonia
5 :  0
Liechtenstein

6 Jun 2025 - World Cup

North Macedonia
1 :  1
Belgium

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

North Macedonia
1 :  1
Wales
D L L D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Turkiye
4 :  0
North Macedonia

29 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Bosnia Herzegovina
0 :  0
North Macedonia

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Ireland
0 :  0
North Macedonia

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Denmark
4 :  0
North Macedonia

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Wales
7 :  1
North Macedonia

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Belgium
0 :  0
North Macedonia

Slovenia vs North Macedonia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Slovenia

0 %

Draw

0 %

North Macedonia

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

10 Oct 2019 - Euro

North Macedonia
2 :  1
Slovenia
Slovenia vs North Macedonia Prediction

Slovenia vs North Macedonia last Lineups

Slovenia

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

1
J. Oblak
23
D. Brekalo
6
J. Bijol
21
V. Drkusic
13
E. Janza
2
Z. Karnicnik
22
A. Gnezda Cerin
10
T. Elsnik
20
A. Matko
15
D. Sturm
9
A. Sporar
9
B. Miovski
11
E. Rastoder
7
E. Elmas
10
E. Bardhi
16
M. Gashtarov
18
T. Kostadinov
3
S. Herera
6
V. Musliu
5
G. Zajkov
2
B. Ilievski
23
S. Dimitrievski

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

North Macedonia

Substitutes

Slovenia
Slovenia
Goalkeeper

Z. Leban

M. Vidovsek

Defender

S. Kuzmic

D. Zec

J. Balkovec

Midfielder

M. Zabukovnik

T. Svetlin

T. Horvat

S. Lovric

Forward

Z. Vipotnik

T. Begic

Z. Celar

North Macedonia
North Macedonia
Goalkeeper

D. Siskovski

D. Taleski

Defender

M. Mladenovski

E. Alioski

A. Meljichi

Midfielder

D. Mitrovski

A. Elezi

L. Doriev

J. Atanasov

A. Stojchevski

Forward

A. Omeragikj

H. Maleski

Slovenia and North Macedonia Stats in UEFA Nations League

Slovenia
Slovenia
North Macedonia
North Macedonia
0%
Wins
0%
0%
Losses
100%
100%
Draws
0%
0
Average goals per match
3
0
Goals scored per match
0
0
Goals conceded per match
3
100%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
100%
No goals conceded
0%
0%
BTTS
0%

Slovenia - North Macedonia Key Points

  1. Seven of Slovenia’s last nine matches produced under 2.5 goals.
  2. Five of Slovenia’s last six UNL matches saw fewer than three goals.
  3. North Macedonia failed to score in their last five matches.
  4. Seven of North Macedonia’s last ten UNL games have seen at most two goals.
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Our Slovenia vs North Macedonia Prediction

Slovenia and North Macedonia failed to score on matchday one, with the former picking up a point in a 0-0 draw against Scotland. Their scoring troubles continue to trouble them lately, while North Macedonia have been no better when it comes to scoring – especially as they failed to score in their last five matches.

Three of the last four matches between these sides were low-scoring games, and that pattern could well repeat here. That’s why our Slovenia vs North Macedonia prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.