Shabana FC vs Gor Mahia Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Nella Wagah | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
After a push and pull regarding the match venue, it seems Shabana will have their way in hosting Gor Mahia in Kisii. The two sides are set to face off in the 16th round of the Kenyan Premier League, with Gor Mahia being second and Shabana fifth. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Shabana’s push to challenge for the league title took a hit last time out as they lost at home 3-1 against Nairobi United. That defeat ended their eight-game unbeaten run in the league, having won four times.
As they target bouncing back, home form will be a concern for the Glamour Boys. They’ve lost four times in the last six home games, winning just once.
While Shabana look to find their footing, Gor Mahia have already overcome their slump and will be looking to rise to the league summit. The former champions trail league leaders AFC Leopards by a point.
The Green Army had a tough run towards the end of last year, losing two of their year-ending four matches and only winning once. They, however, started 2026 with a win, overcoming struggling Kariobangi Sharks 4-1.
That, and their record of three wins in four against Shabana, will boost Gor Mahia’s confidence heading here. Away from home, Gor are unbeaten in 18 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Shabana FC v Gor Mahia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.25 | 1.14 | 7.75 |
|
|
3.09 | 3.09 | 2.31 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.85 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.38 | 2.76 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.38 | 2.76 | 2.26 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Shabana FC and Gor Mahia?
Our prediction for the Shabana FC vs Gor Mahia match is: Gor Mahia to win and under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2026 between Shabana FC and Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.78% for a win of Shabana FC against Gor Mahia with odds of 7.25 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shabana FC vs Gor Mahia is 21.73% with odds of 3.09 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Gor Mahia vs Shabana FC with odds of 7.75 at Stake.
Shabana FC - Gor Mahia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shabana FC Gor Mahia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia wins | 61.49% | 7.75 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 69.09% | 1.55 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 58.33% | 1.47 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gor Mahia | 31.03% |
Shabana FC vs Gor Mahia Form
Shabana FC and Gor Mahia's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
33 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | +14 |
|
4
|
27 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +4 |
Shabana FC and Gor Mahia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Shabana FC vs Gor Mahia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
11 Dec 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
11 May 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Shabana FC - Gor Mahia Key Points
- Only five goals were scored in the four previous meetings between these sides.
- Gor Mahia are unbeaten in the four meetings with Shabana, winning three.
- Under 2.5 goals were scored in three of Gor Mahia’s last four matches.
- Shabana’s last five home matches produced a total of nine goals.
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Our Shabana FC vs Gor Mahia Prediction
Gor Mahia recovered from a three-match winless run with two straight wins ahead of this one. They will be keen on a third straight victory, and their head-to-head history against Shabana works well in their favor. Gor Mahia posted three wins in their last four meetings with Shabana, though this fixture hasn’t been one to serve goals.
Across the four meetings between these teams, only five goals were scored. Shabana’s performances against Gor, given they are coming from defeat, will have them uneasy. Our prediction for Shabana v Gor Mahia is for Gor Mahia to win and under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shabana FC Gor Mahia
| Shabana FC vs Gor Mahia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shabana FC wins | 3.05 | 7.25 | +137.7% |
| Draw | 2.8 | 3.09 | +10.4% |
| Gor Mahia wins | 2.3 | 7.75 | +237.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gor Mahia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 237.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 12.9% (-30.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Shabana FC vs. Gor Mahia game!
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Try your luck on this year's Kenyan Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
