San Marino vs Finland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
26/09/2026 12:00
Finland

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

San Marino's debut in League C of the UEFA Nations League faces a stern test as they play host to Finland at San Marino Stadium on matchday one. The last time these two sides clashed, Finland came out on top in a 2-1 victory in the European Championship qualifiers. With both sides getting on the scoreboard, this strengthens our prediction of both teams to score.

San Marino are making their debut in League C of the UEFA Nations League after their surprising performance in the 2024-25 League D campaign.

Despite being minnows in Group D1, the Sammarinese topped the group, finishing with seven points, one point ahead of Gibraltar in second place.

They ended their previous campaign with a 3-1 away victory over Liechtenstein. Since then, however, results have been less encouraging. They have lost eight straight competitive matches.

Finland will want to capitalize on their opponent's poor display and get their League C campaign in the right direction.

The Eagle-Owls failed to secure promotion to League A in the previous UEFA Nations League campaign. The team suffered defeats in all six of their Group B2 matches, finishing the tournament at the bottom of the group.

Following that was a disappointing display in the World Cup qualifiers, finishing third in Group G with ten points. This ended their hopes of appearing at football's grandest stage for just the second time.

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San Marino v Finland Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
28 9.8 1.07
1xbet
50 10.4 1.09
Melbet
39 9.3 1.09
Betwinner
49 10 1.07
22bet
49 10 1.07
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What is the prediction for the football match between San Marino and Finland?

Our prediction for the San Marino vs Finland match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/09/2026 between San Marino and Finland in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.06% for a win of San Marino against Finland with odds of 50 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between San Marino vs Finland is 11.66% with odds of 10.4 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 66.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Finland vs San Marino with odds of 1.11 at Shangrila.

San Marino vs Finland Form

San Marino and Finland Last Matches

San Marino
San Marino Last matches
L L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Azerbaijan

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Bangladesh

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
0 :  0
Andorra

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Faroe Islands

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Romania
7 :  1
San Marino

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Czechia
1 :  0
San Marino
L L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Azerbaijan

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Bangladesh

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
0 :  0
Andorra

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  2
Faroe Islands

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

San Marino
0 :  4
Cyprus

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

San Marino
0 :  6
Bosnia Herzegovina
L D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
3.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Romania
7 :  1
San Marino

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Czechia
1 :  0
San Marino

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Austria
10 :  0
San Marino

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Malta
3 :  1
San Marino

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Modena
0 :  0
San Marino

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  0
San Marino
Finland
Finland Last matches
L W W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
2 :  1
Finland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Germany
4 :  0
Finland

29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

New Zealand
0 :  2
Finland

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Finland
4 :  0
Andorra

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  1
Malta
L L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Finland
4 :  0
Andorra

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  1
Malta

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Lithuania

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Poland

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Finland
0 :  2
Netherlands

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  2
Greece
L L W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
2 :  1
Finland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Germany
4 :  0
Finland

29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Finland

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

New Zealand
0 :  2
Finland

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Netherlands
4 :  0
Finland

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Poland
3 :  1
Finland

San Marino vs Finland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

San Marino

0 %

Draw

0 %

Finland

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
4
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

20 Nov 2023 - Euro

San Marino
1 :  2
Finland

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

Finland
6 :  0
San Marino
San Marino vs Finland Prediction

San Marino - Finland Key Points

  1. San Marino have seen both teams score in four of their last five matches.
  2. Finland have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last three matches.
  3. San Marino have scored in each of their last two UEFA Nations League games.
  4. In the previous UEFA Nations League campaign, Finland conceded 2.16 goals per match.
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Our San Marino vs Finland Prediction

San Marino an overwhelming underdog, but for a side that managed to top their group en route to promotion to League C of the UEFA Nations League should not be underestimated in causing an upset. Considering they have scored in four of their last five matches, their goal shouldn't be ruled out here.

On paper, Finland are a superior opponent in this fixture. However, their recent struggles in defense, which have seen them concede seven goals in three games, are cause for concern. Keeping a clean sheet is out of the question. Our San Marino vs Finland prediction: BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.